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Fiorentina crestFiorentina
v
Atalanta crestAtalanta

Serie A | Thu 29 Oct, 19:45

Fiorentina v Atalanta Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 05:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fiorentina face Atalanta in Serie A on Thu 29 Oct, 19:45. Conversely, Atalanta BC historically struggle at this venue, managing just two wins in their last 24 league visits to Florence. Fiorentina are unbeaten in seven consecutive home Serie A fixtures at the Franchi.

BT4Y best bet

, meaning the selection is successful if the designated team wins or if the match concludes in a draw

  • , meaning the selection is successful if the designated team wins or if the match concludes in a draw is rated around 31% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Fiorentina have drawn three of their last six home matches, indicating high draw consistency when holding solid shapes.
  • Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina.
  • Atalanta have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the , meaning the selection is successful if the designated team wins or if the match concludes in a draw angle.
  • Fiorentina sit 17 in the table, while Atalanta sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates , meaning the selection is successful if the designated team wins or if the match concludes in a draw around 31% on the latest available numbers. Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina. Fiorentina have drawn three of their last six home matches, indicating high draw consistency when holding solid shapes.

Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Atalanta have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Fiorentina have drawn three of their last six home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fiorentina Win is the preferred angle because fiorentina have drawn three of their last six home matches, indicating high draw consistency when holding solid shapes. Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

, meaning the selection is successful if the designated team wins or if the match concludes in a draw evidence

Fiorentina have drawn three of their last six home matches, indicating high draw consistency when holding solid shapes.

Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina.

Atalanta have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Fiorentina Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Fiorentina sit 17 in the table, while Atalanta sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

, meaning the selection is successful if the designated team wins or if the match concludes in a draw notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fiorentina1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Atalanta1
    Fiorentina2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Atalanta1.4
    Fiorentina60%
    BTTS rate
    Atalanta60%
    Fiorentina80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Atalanta60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fiorentina

    DWLLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 3L
    20 Sep 2026H Napoli1-1
    11 Sep 2026A Venezia4-2
    05 Sep 2026H Torino1-2
    29 Aug 2026H Frosinone0-3
    24 Aug 2026A AS Roma0-4

    Atalanta

    LLLWW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 3L
    20 Sep 2026A Juventus0-2
    12 Sep 2026H Cagliari1-2
    05 Sep 2026A AS Roma1-2
    31 Aug 2026H Bologna1-0
    23 Aug 2026H Sassuolo2-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Fiorentina Over 2.5
    60%Atalanta Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fiorentina sit at 80% and Atalanta sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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