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Fiorentina
AtalantaSerie A | Fri 22 May, 19:45
Fiorentina v Atalanta Stats
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 2.2, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 46% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 65%, so the current line is showing a +19-point value edge.
- Fiorentina are at 20% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Atalanta are at 40%, and the H2H goal average is 2.8.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Fiorentina have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Atalanta have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
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Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Fiorentina
Atalanta
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
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Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
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Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
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Season team stats
Serie A
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atalanta | 58 | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 41 | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | -9 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
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