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Grazer AK crestGrazer AK
v
TSV Hartberg crestTSV Hartberg

Bundesliga | Fri 30 Oct, 18:30

Grazer AK v TSV Hartberg Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 12:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Bundesliga clash between Grazer AK and TSV Hartberg promises an open contest given both teams' recent attacking tendencies. Grazer AK has struggled defensively but shown willingness to commit forward, while TSV Hartberg boasts a more potent offense with a higher goal average. Both sides have recorded high rates of matches featuring goals at both ends, suggesting a lively encounter. The mid-table stakes add competitive edge, with both teams eager to secure points in a fixture that could see end-to-end action and multiple scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with goals scored by both sides this season.
  • Grazer AK concedes an average of 2 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • TSV Hartberg averages 2.2 goals scored per game, showcasing strong attacking output.
  • Both teams maintain high shot volumes, with Grazer AK averaging 13.4 shots and TSV Hartberg 14 per match.
  • Recent form shows Grazer AK with 6 points and TSV Hartberg with 8 points, reflecting competitive momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by strong attacking stats and defensive frailties on both sides. Grazer AK's 80% BTTS rate and TSV Hartberg's potent offense with 2.2 goals per game underpin this view. The price at 1.75 offers positive value given the model's implied chance of 57.1%. The attacking roles of key players like A. Hoffmann further enhance scoring prospects, making BTTS a compelling selection for this fixture.

Grazer AK BTTS rate80%
Strong positive
TSV Hartberg goals per game2.2
Strong positive
Model BTTS chance76%
Strong positive
Market implied chance72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Price value edge72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities that make goals likely at both ends. TSV Hartberg's higher scoring average combined with Grazer AK's tendency to concede suggests a lively match where both sides can score. This BTTS pick aligns with recent form and player attacking profiles, offering a strong tactical and statistical basis for backing goals from both teams.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear offensive strengths and defensive lapses, making both teams to score a logical and well-supported choice. The attacking contributions from players like Radulović and Hoffmann highlight the threat posed by TSV Hartberg, while Grazer AK's openness at the back increases scoring chances for both.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with goals scored by both sides this season.

Grazer AK concedes an average of 2 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

TSV Hartberg averages 2.2 goals scored per game, showcasing strong attacking output.

Both teams maintain high shot volumes, with Grazer AK averaging 13.4 shots and TSV Hartberg 14 per match.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 1.57, slightly lower than recent season averages.
  • However, both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (60% for Grazer AK and 80% for TSV Hartberg) indicate a trend towards higher-scoring games, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps that favor goal-scoring chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Grazer AK1.2
Avg goals scored
TSV Hartberg2.2
Grazer AK2
Avg goals conceded
TSV Hartberg2.2
Grazer AK80%
BTTS rate
TSV Hartberg80%
Grazer AK60%
Over 2.5 goals
TSV Hartberg80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches featuring goals at both ends, supported by Grazer AK conceding 2 goals per game and TSV Hartberg scoring 2.2. This pattern reflects open play and defensive vulnerabilities, increasing the probability of goals from both sides in this encounter.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
TSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Grazer AK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The 72.1% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Grazer AK show a 80% BTTS rate and TSV Hartberg show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Grazer AK

DLDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
24 Oct 2026A WSG Wattens1-1
18 Oct 2026A Sturm Graz1-6
10 Oct 2026H Red Bull Salzburg0-0
19 Sep 2026H Austria Vienna2-2
12 Sep 2026A SCR Altach2-1

TSV Hartberg

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
24 Oct 2026H Wolfsberger AC1-0
16 Oct 2026A Rapid Vienna1-3
11 Oct 2026H Austria Lustenau4-3
20 Sep 2026H Lask Linz3-3
13 Sep 2026A WSG Wattens2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
TSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Grazer AK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Grazer AK to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data shows Grazer AK with 6 points and TSV Hartberg with 8 points from their last matches, reflecting competitive momentum. Both teams have maintained high BTTS rates of 80%, indicating consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns that support the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Grazer AK Over 2.5
80%TSV Hartberg Over 2.5
1.57H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 1.57, slightly lower than recent season averages. However, both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (60% for Grazer AK and 80% for TSV Hartberg) indicate a trend towards higher-scoring games, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps that favor goal-scoring chances.

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