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Gornik Zabrze crestGornik Zabrze
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Legia Warszawa crestLegia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa | Fri 30 Oct, 19:30

Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa meet in an intriguing Ekstraklasa clash where both sides have shown offensive intent this season. Gornik Zabrze ranks second with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Legia Warszawa, fourth in the table, averages 1.6 goals scored per match. Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to find the net regularly, with Legia boasting an 80% BTTS rate and Gornik 60%. This fixture promises tactical battles with attacking players eager to exploit defensive gaps, setting the stage for a potentially open and goal-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Legia Warszawa has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals scored and conceded.
  • Gornik Zabrze concedes only 0.6 goals per game, but still has a 60% BTTS rate, showing they also score regularly.
  • Both teams average over 14 shots per game, with Gornik at 18.6 and Legia at 14.2, supporting attacking intent.
  • The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 3.6, suggesting a history of high-scoring games.
  • Top attackers like R. Adamski (Legia) and R. Massimo (Gornik) contribute significantly to goal threats and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking performances and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Legia Warszawa's high BTTS rate of 80% and Gornik Zabrze's 60% rate underpin this . The fixture's history of 3.6 average goals per match and substantial shot volumes from key attackers like R. Massimo further reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. This pick offers clear value at 1.75 with an 18.9% , supported by balanced offensive and defensive profiles.

Legia Warszawa BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Gornik Zabrze BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Average Goals in H2H3.6 per match
Positive
Shot Volume (Gornik)18.6 shots/game
Positive
Shot Volume (Legia)14.2 shots/game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent attacking output and a willingness to concede goals, making Both Teams to Score a compelling selection. Legia Warszawa's offensive firepower combined with Gornik Zabrze's occasional defensive lapses suggest a match where both sides find the net. The data supports this with high BTTS percentages and a history of goal-rich encounters between these teams.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with clear attacking intent and some defensive vulnerabilities, creating an ideal scenario for both teams to score. Legia's forwards and Gornik's midfield runners should ensure goal opportunities at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Legia Warszawa has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals scored and conceded.

Gornik Zabrze concedes only 0.6 goals per game, but still has a 60% BTTS rate, showing they also score regularly.

Both teams average over 14 shots per game, with Gornik at 18.6 and Legia at 14.2, supporting attacking intent.

The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 3.6, suggesting a history of high-scoring games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.6 per game, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This suggests a fast tempo with attacking opportunities for both sides.
  • The trend supports the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and aligns with the BTTS market, highlighting offensive strengths and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gornik Zabrze1.4
Avg goals scored
Legia Warszawa1.6
Gornik Zabrze0.6
Avg goals conceded
Legia Warszawa1
Gornik Zabrze60%
BTTS rate
Legia Warszawa80%
Gornik Zabrze20%
Over 2.5 goals
Legia Warszawa40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have high BTTS rates this season, with Legia at 80% and Gornik at 60%, reflecting frequent goals conceded and scored. Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game, underscoring a history of open, attacking matches. This trend aligns with their current offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting the BTTS selection.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gornik Zabrze

DDWDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
23 Oct 2026A Widzew Łódź1-1
18 Oct 2026H Piast Gliwice1-1
10 Oct 2026A Jagiellonia3-1
19 Sep 2026A Motor Lublin0-0
15 Sep 2026A Korona Kielce2-0

Legia Warszawa

LDWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
25 Oct 2026H Lech Poznan1-2
17 Oct 2026A Cracovia Krakow1-1
11 Oct 2026H Wisla Krakow2-0
20 Sep 2026A Jagiellonia3-1
13 Sep 2026H Widzew Łódź1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 60% · edge +4.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Legia Warszawa to WinBetUK guide price · model 36%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Legia Warszawa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Gornik Zabrze to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows Gornik Zabrze scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 0.6 per game, while Legia Warszawa scores 1.6 and concedes 1. Both teams have accumulated similar points recently, indicating competitive balance. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively reflect ongoing tendencies to both score and concede, reinforcing the BTTS pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Legia Warszawa to WinBetUK guide price · model 36%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Legia Warszawa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Gornik Zabrze to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 72.1% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Gornik Zabrze show a 60% BTTS rate and Legia Warszawa show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5
40%Legia Warszawa Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.6 per game, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters. This suggests a fast tempo with attacking opportunities for both sides. The trend supports the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and aligns with the BTTS market, highlighting offensive strengths and defensive gaps.

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