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Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers
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Derry City crestDerry City

Premier Division | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45

Sligo Rovers v Derry City Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Derry City host Sligo Rovers at the Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in a Premier Division clash with significant stakes for both sides. Derry City have demonstrated strong territorial control recently, averaging 57.4% possession and 12.9 attempts per game, but have struggled to convert control into consistent wins. Sligo Rovers, sitting lower in the table, have defensive vulnerabilities but pose a counter-attacking threat led by Cian Kavanagh. The tactical battle will likely see Derry pressing high and controlling possession, while Sligo aims to absorb pressure and exploit transitions. Both teams have scored in recent matches, setting the stage for an open contest with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Derry City average 57.4% possession and 12.9 attempts per game, showing strong attacking intent.
  • Sligo Rovers concede 2.4 goals and 22.7 attempts per game, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of Sligo's recent matches and 40% of Derry's games, supporting BTTS.
  • Derry City have conceded in five of their last six matches, indicating defensive lapses.
  • Sligo Rovers' counter-attacking threat, led by Cian Kavanagh, increases chances of goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates 'Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score' positively due to Derry's strong attacking metrics, including high possession and shot volume, combined with Sligo Rovers' defensive weaknesses and counter-attacking threat. The of 12.1% suggests the current of 3.1 offer good value. Derry's ability to create chances and Sligo's consistent scoring despite defensive struggles underpin the likelihood of both teams scoring and a Derry victory. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Derry City's possession and shot creation57.4% possession, 12.9 attempts per game
Strong positive
Sligo Rovers' defensive concessions2.4 goals and 22.7 attempts conceded per game
Strong positive
Both teams scoring frequency60% BTTS rate for Sligo, 40% for Derry
Positive
Derry's recent defensive lapsesConceded in 5 of last 6 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Derry City's control in possession and shot creation combined with Sligo Rovers' defensive vulnerabilities make a home win with goals at both ends a compelling scenario. The tactical setup suggests Derry will control the game, but Sligo's counter-attacking threat ensures they can find the net, supporting the combined bet of a Derry win and both teams scoring.

Main risk

Sligo's counter-attacking threat ensures they score, but Derry's attacking firepower should secure multiple goals.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match tactical and statistical analysis

“Derry City's high territorial control and shot volume clash with Sligo Rovers' defensive fragility and counter-attacking threat, making a home win with goals on both sides a logical outcome at the Brandywell.”

Key Data Signals

Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Derry City average 57.4% possession and 12.9 attempts per game, showing strong attacking intent.

Sligo Rovers concede 2.4 goals and 22.7 attempts per game, highlighting defensive frailties.

Both teams have scored in 60% of Sligo's recent matches and 40% of Derry's games, supporting BTTS.

Derry City have conceded in five of their last six matches, indicating defensive lapses.

What To Watch In The Data

Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Recent form shows a 60% over 2.5 goals rate for Sligo and 40% for Derry, suggesting a reasonable likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture, driven by Derry's attacking pressure and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sligo Rovers0.6
Avg goals scored
Derry City1.2
Sligo Rovers2.8
Avg goals conceded
Derry City1
Sligo Rovers60%
BTTS rate
Derry City40%
Sligo Rovers60%
Over 2.5 goals
Derry City40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 46% · edge +13.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability recently, with Sligo Rovers scoring in 60% of matches and Derry in 40%. Derry's attacking volume and Sligo's counter-attacking threat combined with defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends are likely, supporting the BTTS component of the pick.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDerry City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Derry City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The 43.6% for Derry City to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 32.3% implied by the current price (+11.3 pts). Derry City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sligo Rovers on 1 and Derry City on 10. Derry's scoring consistency contrasts with Sligo's defensive concessions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sligo Rovers

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 7L
23 Oct 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-4
17 Oct 2026H Dundalk1-1
09 Oct 2026A Shelbourne1-5
19 Sep 2026H St Patrick's Athl.0-1
14 Sep 2026H Galway United1-3

Derry City

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
23 Oct 2026H Dundalk2-1
19 Oct 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-0
16 Oct 2026A Drogheda United0-2
18 Sep 2026H Galway United1-0
14 Sep 2026A Waterford2-2
Market aligned with main pickDerry City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Derry City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Derry City have collected 10 points recently with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game, showing improved attacking efficiency and moderate defensive solidity. Sligo Rovers have struggled, earning only 1 point with 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game, highlighting their defensive struggles and reliance on limited scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
40%Derry City Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Recent form shows a 60% over 2.5 goals rate for Sligo and 40% for Derry, suggesting a reasonable likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture, driven by Derry's attacking pressure and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities.

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