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St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45

St Patrick's Athl. v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash between St Patrick's Athl. and Bohemians promises an intriguing contest as both teams sit near the top of the table, separated by just two points. St Patrick's Athl. have shown solid defensive form recently, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, while Bohemians average 1.2 goals conceded but compensate with a higher scoring rate of 1.4 goals per match. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Bohemians' attacking intent against St Patrick's Athl.'s disciplined defense, with both sides eager to secure vital points in this closely fought league race.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Bohemians have an 80% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goal exchanges.
  • St Patrick's Athl. concede just 0.6 goals per game, showing defensive resilience.
  • Both teams average over 13 shots per game combined, suggesting attacking activity.
  • Recent form shows Bohemians score more frequently, but St Patrick's Athl. have a strong home defensive record.
  • Head-to-head matches average 1.8 goals, supporting a moderate scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score with a 63.3% chance, reflecting Bohemians' strong recent scoring and BTTS rate of 80%, combined with St Patrick's Athl.'s occasional concessions despite their defensive solidity. The attacking presence of players like A. Rooney for St Patrick's Athl., alongside Bohemians' key creators such as M. Strods, supports a scenario where both sides find the net. The at 1.7 offer a small positive , making this a reasonable pick based on balanced attacking and defensive profiles.

Bohemians BTTS Rate80% recent matches
Strong positive
St Patrick's Athl. Goals Against0.6 per game
Positive
Model Chance63.3% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+4.5 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance63.3% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+4.5 pts)
Positive
Key Players' Goal ThreatA. Keena 10 goals, S. Rooney high shot volume
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and the ability to score regularly, especially Bohemians with their high BTTS rate. St Patrick's Athl.'s defense is solid but not impermeable, suggesting a good chance for both sides to find the net in this competitive fixture. The balance of attacking threats and defensive records supports backing Both Teams to Score.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Bohemians' consistent goal-scoring combined with St Patrick's Athl.'s occasional defensive lapses make Both Teams to Score a compelling angle here, especially given the attacking roles of Keena and Strods.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Bohemians have an 80% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goal exchanges.

St Patrick's Athl. Concede just 0.6 goals per game, showing defensive resilience.

Both teams average over 13 shots per game combined, suggesting attacking activity.

Recent form shows Bohemians score more frequently, but St Patrick's Athl. Have a strong home defensive record.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.8 per game, with a moderate frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes.
  • This suggests a balanced tempo with chances for goals but not an overly high-scoring affair.
  • The trend supports a game where both teams can score but the total goals may remain around two to three.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St Patrick's Athl.1.2
Avg goals scored
Bohemians1.4
St Patrick's Athl.0.6
Avg goals conceded
Bohemians1.2
St Patrick's Athl.20%
BTTS rate
Bohemians80%
St Patrick's Athl.40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bohemians80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Bohemians have scored in 80% of recent matches with BTTS also at 80%, while St Patrick's Athl. have a lower BTTS rate of 20% but concede only 0.6 goals per game. The combined data suggests a moderate goal environment where Bohemians' attacking pressure often results in both teams scoring, supported by an average of 1.8 goals in their last 10 meetings.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Bohemians to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 63.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+4.5 pts). St Patrick's Athl. Show a 20% BTTS rate and Bohemians show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St Patrick's Athl.

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
23 Oct 2026A Galway United0-0
19 Oct 2026A Derry City0-1
16 Oct 2026H Shelbourne1-2
19 Sep 2026A Sligo Rovers1-0
14 Sep 2026A Dundalk4-0

Bohemians

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
23 Oct 2026H Shelbourne0-1
16 Oct 2026H Waterford2-1
12 Oct 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-2
02 Oct 2026A Dundalk2-1
18 Sep 2026H Drogheda United2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Bohemians to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bohemians have accumulated 9 points recently with a high BTTS rate of 80%, reflecting consistent scoring and conceding. St Patrick's Athl. have 7 points with a lower BTTS rate of 20% but maintain a strong defense conceding only 0.6 goals per game. This contrast highlights Bohemians' attacking openness versus St Patrick's Athl.'s defensive resilience, supporting a scenario where both teams can score.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
80%Bohemians Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.8 per game, with a moderate frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes. This suggests a balanced tempo with chances for goals but not an overly high-scoring affair. The trend supports a game where both teams can score but the total goals may remain around two to three.

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