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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
Waterford crestWaterford

Premier Division | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45

Shelbourne v Waterford Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne host Waterford in a Premier Division clash marked by contrasting struggles. Shelbourne aim to end a nine-game home winless streak, relying on a structured 4-5-1 formation that emphasizes midfield control and territorial pressure. Waterford arrive burdened by a 13-match away win drought, deploying a compact 5-3-2 setup focused on defensive resilience and quick transitions. Both teams have shown attacking promise but defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a tense encounter where momentum swings and emotional intensity could dictate the outcome. Recent form and tactical setups suggest an open game with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Shelbourne have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 20 matches overall.
  • Waterford have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 league matches.
  • Both teams have scored in Waterford's last four matches, reflecting consistent attacking threat.
  • Shelbourne average 13.3 attempts and 5.5 corners per match, indicating sustained offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly supports Both Teams to Score with a 76% chance, reflecting the clear attacking intent and defensive frailties of both sides. Shelbourne's consistent creation of chances and Waterford's high concession rate of shots and goals underpin this view. The price at 1.95 offers positive value with a 24.7% edge. While both teams have defensive issues, their offensive capabilities, led by key players like Tom Lonergan and John Martin, make goals at both ends highly probable. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Shelbourne BTTS Rate75% in last 20 matches
Strong positive
Waterford Defensive Concessions1.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Waterford BTTS Rate100% in last 4 matches
Strong positive
Model Value Edge76% model chance vs 69.4% implied (+6.6 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a fitting selection given Shelbourne's offensive pressure and Waterford's defensive struggles. Shelbourne's attempts to regain home form and Waterford's recent scoring streak create a scenario where goals at both ends are expected. The match's tactical balance and recent trends support this outcome as the most plausible.

Main risk

The concern is obvious though.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture's blend of attacking intent and defensive vulnerability from both sides makes Both Teams to Score a compelling choice, reflecting the likely open and tense nature of the game.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Shelbourne have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 20 matches overall.

Waterford have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 league matches.

Both teams have scored in Waterford's last four matches, reflecting consistent attacking threat.

Shelbourne average 13.3 attempts and 5.5 corners per match, indicating sustained offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, with multiple matches featuring goals from both teams.
  • Recent trends show a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate for Shelbourne and 100% for Waterford, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities likely, supporting the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shelbourne2.4
Avg goals scored
Waterford2.2
Shelbourne1
Avg goals conceded
Waterford2
Shelbourne80%
BTTS rate
Waterford100%
Shelbourne60%
Over 2.5 goals
Waterford100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Shelbourne have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 20 matches, while Waterford have conceded 1.8 goals per game and scored in their last four fixtures. The attacking intent combined with defensive lapses on both sides creates a high likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Waterford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 69.4% implied by the current price (+6.6 pts). Shelbourne show a 80% BTTS rate and Waterford show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Waterford arrive with both teams scoring in each of their last four fixtures and in seven of their previous 10 overall.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shelbourne

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
23 Oct 2026A Bohemians1-0
16 Oct 2026A St Patrick's Athl.2-1
09 Oct 2026H Sligo Rovers5-1
25 Sep 2026A Galway United1-1
18 Sep 2026A Dundalk3-2

Waterford

WWLLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
23 Oct 2026H Drogheda United3-1
19 Oct 2026H Galway United3-2
16 Oct 2026A Bohemians1-2
18 Sep 2026A Shamrock Rovers2-3
14 Sep 2026H Derry City2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 86% vs implied 75% · edge +10.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Waterford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Waterford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Shelbourne have accumulated 13 points recently, scoring 2.4 goals per game but conceding 1.0, reflecting attacking strength tempered by defensive inconsistency. Waterford have 7 points, scoring 2.2 goals but conceding 2.0 per match, highlighting their defensive struggles. Both teams' recent form underlines the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Shelbourne Over 2.5
100%Waterford Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, with multiple matches featuring goals from both teams. Recent trends show a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate for Shelbourne and 100% for Waterford, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities likely, supporting the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.

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