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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
Waterford crestWaterford

Premier Division | Fri 22 May, 19:45

Shelbourne v Waterford Stats

Data last updated: Sat 04 Jul 2026, 01:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne face Waterford in Premier Division on Fri 22 May, 19:45. With Shelbourne currently suffering a nine-game winless run on home turf and travel-weary Waterford failing to win any of their last 13 away fixtures, another draw appears logical.

BT4Y best bet

Where you predict whether both teams will score at least one goal during the match

  • At 19/20, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Waterford arrive with both teams scoring in each of their last four fixtures and in seven of their previous 10 overall.
  • Shelbourne show a 60% BTTS rate and Waterford show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Shelbourne average 1.6 goals scored and Waterford average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Shelbourne show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Waterford show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Waterford arrive with both teams scoring in each of their last four fixtures and in seven of their previous 10 overall.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Shelbourne show a 60% BTTS rate and Waterford show a.Visible data support
Positive
Shelbourne average 1.6 goals scored and Waterford average 1.6, so.Visible data support
Positive
Waterford arrive with both teams scoring in each of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because waterford arrive with both teams scoring in each of their last four fixtures and in seven of their previous 10 overall. Shelbourne show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Waterford show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The concern is obvious though.

Main risk

The concern is obvious though.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Waterford arrive with both teams scoring in each of their last four fixtures and in seven of their.

Shelbourne show a 60% BTTS rate and Waterford show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Shelbourne average 1.6 goals scored and Waterford average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shelbourne1.6
Avg goals scored
Waterford1.6
Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals conceded
Waterford2.2
Shelbourne60%
BTTS rate
Waterford80%
Shelbourne60%
Over 2.5 goals
Waterford80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Waterford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Waterford to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shelbourne6.6
Avg corners for
Waterford5.2
Shelbourne10.8
Avg total corners
Waterford11.4
Shelbourne4
Avg yellow cards
Waterford2.6
Shelbourne16.6
Avg shots
Waterford12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +14.7 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shelbourne

WDDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
15 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-0
08 May 2026H Sligo Rovers0-0
04 May 2026A Bohemians2-2
01 May 2026A Dundalk2-1
24 Apr 2026H Drogheda United3-4

Waterford

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
18 May 2026H Drogheda United2-1
15 May 2026H Derry City2-2
08 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-4
04 May 2026H Dundalk3-3
01 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
Best odds for this sectionWaterford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 23% · edge +19.3 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.74
Check odds @ 2.74
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Waterford to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Shelbourne wins
3Draws
1Waterford wins
06 Feb 2026Waterford v Shelbourne1-1
26 Sep 2025Shelbourne v Waterford2-1
23 Jun 2025Waterford v Shelbourne2-2
05 May 2025Shelbourne v Waterford0-1
21 Feb 2025Waterford v Shelbourne0-1
18 Jan 2025Shelbourne v Waterford4-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Waterford to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Shelbourne23
Played
Waterford23
Shelbourne1.4
Avg goals for
Waterford1.4
Shelbourne1.5
Avg goals against
Waterford2
Shelbourne5
Clean sheets
Waterford2
Best odds for this sectionWaterford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 23% · edge +19.3 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
Waterford to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
7
Check odds @ 7
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Season data supports Waterford Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Shelbourne342481060
9Waterford20234811-14
Shelbourne sit in position 5, while Waterford sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Shelbourne Over 2.5
80%Waterford Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shelbourne sit at 60% and Waterford sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Shelbourne v Waterford prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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