Football Stats Hub

Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
Waterford crestWaterford

Premier Division | Fri 22 May, 19:45

Shelbourne v Waterford Stats

Data last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026, 02:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne face Waterford in Premier Division on Fri 22 May, 19:45. The hosts have conceded 47 goals in 25 league games and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their last 20 Premier Division fixtures.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 65%, above the 60% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 8/15, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Waterford’s home resilience contrasts with Shelbourne’s attacking ambition, indicating a tight match with potential for either side to prevail.
  • Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Waterford.
  • Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Waterford sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 60% (-5.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.8.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 60% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Waterford. Waterford’s home resilience contrasts with Shelbourne’s attacking ambition, indicating a tight match with potential for either side to prevail.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Waterford sit 9.Visible data support
Positive
Waterford’s home resilience contrasts with Shelbourne’s attacking ambition, indicating.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shelbourne Win is the preferred angle because waterford’s home resilience contrasts with Shelbourne’s attacking ambition, indicating a tight match with potential for either side to prevail. Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Waterford. Shelbourne’s defence is more reliable but still vulnerable to Waterford’s attack.

Main risk

Shelbourne’s defence is more reliable but still vulnerable to Waterford’s attack.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Waterford’s home resilience contrasts with Shelbourne’s attacking ambition, indicating a tight match with potential for either side.

Shelbourne have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Waterford.

Shelbourne have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Shelbourne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shelbourne sit 5 in the table, while Waterford sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shelbourne1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Waterford1.6
    Shelbourne1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Waterford2.2
    Shelbourne60%
    BTTS rate
    Waterford80%
    Shelbourne60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Waterford80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 74% · edge -13.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Shelbourne to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Shelbourne6.6
    Avg corners for
    Waterford5.2
    Shelbourne10.8
    Avg total corners
    Waterford11.4
    Shelbourne4
    Avg yellow cards
    Waterford2.6
    Shelbourne16.6
    Avg shots
    Waterford12.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +14.7 pts
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shelbourne

    WDDWL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    15 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-0
    08 May 2026H Sligo Rovers0-0
    04 May 2026A Bohemians2-2
    01 May 2026A Dundalk2-1
    24 Apr 2026H Drogheda United3-4

    Waterford

    WDLDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 5D 4L
    18 May 2026H Drogheda United2-1
    15 May 2026H Derry City2-2
    08 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-4
    04 May 2026H Dundalk3-3
    01 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 74% · edge -13.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 85%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Shelbourne wins
    3Draws
    1Waterford wins
    06 Feb 2026Waterford v Shelbourne1-1
    26 Sep 2025Shelbourne v Waterford2-1
    23 Jun 2025Waterford v Shelbourne2-2
    05 May 2025Shelbourne v Waterford0-1
    21 Feb 2025Waterford v Shelbourne0-1
    18 Jan 2025Shelbourne v Waterford4-1
    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 74% · edge -13.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Shelbourne to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Shelbourne25
    Played
    Waterford26
    Shelbourne1.4
    Avg goals for
    Waterford1.3
    Shelbourne1.4
    Avg goals against
    Waterford1.8
    Shelbourne5
    Clean sheets
    Waterford4
    Market aligned with main pickShelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 74% · edge -13.9 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Shelbourne Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Season data supports Shelbourne to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Shelbourne34258107-1
    9Waterford252651011-13
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Shelbourne Over 2.5
    80%Waterford Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shelbourne sit at 60% and Waterford sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.