Football Stats Hub

Nantes crestNantes
v
Clermont Foot crestClermont Foot

Ligue 2 | Fri 30 Oct, 19:00

Nantes v Clermont Foot Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nantes and Clermont Foot meet in a Ligue 2 clash where both teams have shown cautious attacking output recently. Nantes have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.2, and Clermont Foot have netted 1.2 but conceded 1.8 on average. Both sides have a moderate rate of matches going over 2.5 goals at 40%, suggesting a tendency towards tighter games. The teams sit close in the standings, with Nantes 15th and Clermont Foot 17th, adding competitive tension but no clear control. This encounter is likely to be tactically balanced with defensive discipline a priority for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Nantes and Clermont Foot both have a 40% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating generally low-scoring games.
  • Average goals per game in their recent matches hover below 2, supporting an under 2.5 goals outcome.
  • Nantes average 13 shots per game but only 3 on target, showing limited finishing threat.
  • Clermont Foot concede 1.8 goals per game, but their attacking output is modest, averaging 8.4 shots per game.
  • Head-to-head average goals over 10 meetings is 1.9, reinforcing a low-scoring trend.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 63.5% probability, reflecting both teams' recent low scoring and defensive tendencies. Nantes and Clermont Foot have modest attacking stats and a history of tight matches with an average of 1.9 goals per game in their head-to-head. Both sides have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating that most games stay under this threshold. The price at 2.0 offers positive value given the model's higher implied chance. This suggests a well-founded expectation of a match with fewer goals, driven by tactical caution and limited finishing efficiency.

Model Probability63.5% model chance vs 50% implied (+13.5 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals ScoredNantes 0.8, Clermont 1.2 per game
Positive
Shots and FinishingNantes 13 shots (3 on target), Clermont 8.4 shots (3.2 on target)
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals1.9 average goals in last 10 matches
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams at 40%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactically cautious match with both Nantes and Clermont Foot prioritizing defensive solidity over aggressive attacking. The low average goals scored and conceded by both teams suggest a tight contest unlikely to exceed 2.5 goals. This pick aligns with recent form and head-to-head trends, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible choice for this Ligue 2 fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match scoring potential

“This fixture features two teams with limited attacking firepower and a tendency to keep matches tight. The statistical profile and recent performances point towards a low-scoring game, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical selection.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Average goals per game in their recent matches hover below 2, supporting an under 2.5 goals outcome.

Nantes average 13 shots per game but only 3 on target, showing limited finishing threat.

Clermont Foot concede 1.8 goals per game, but their attacking output is modest, averaging 8.4 shots per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, underscoring a consistent pattern of low-scoring games between these teams.
  • This trend, combined with recent form and season data, suggests a match tempo that limits goal-scoring opportunities and favors Under 2.5 Goals outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nantes0.8
Avg goals scored
Clermont Foot1.2
Nantes1.2
Avg goals conceded
Clermont Foot1.8
Nantes40%
BTTS rate
Clermont Foot60%
Nantes40%
Over 2.5 goals
Clermont Foot40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +13.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both Nantes and Clermont Foot have low scoring averages and moderate BTTS rates, with Nantes at 40% and Clermont at 60%. The combined data suggests a match where goals may be scarce but not impossible, with a slight lean towards one or both teams failing to score. The overall goal expectation aligns with an under 2.5 goals scenario.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nantes

LLDWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
24 Oct 2026A Saint Etienne0-1
17 Oct 2026H Dunkerque2-3
10 Oct 2026H Reims0-0
19 Sep 2026A Boulogne2-1
12 Sep 2026A Sochaux0-1

Clermont Foot

LDLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 7D 3L
23 Oct 2026H Guingamp0-2
16 Oct 2026A Laval3-3
10 Oct 2026H RED Star FC 932-3
18 Sep 2026A Grenoble1-1
11 Sep 2026H Boulogne0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Clermont Foot Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Clermont Foot to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Nantes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Nantes to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Recent form data shows Nantes scoring 0.8 goals per game and conceding 1.2, while Clermont Foot score 1.2 and concede 1.8. Both teams have only 40% of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters. This form supports the Under 2.5 Goals pick as both sides appear cautious and defensively oriented in recent matches.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionClermont Foot Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Clermont Foot to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Nantes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 63.5% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+13.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Nantes and 40% for Clermont Foot, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Nantes Over 2.5
40%Clermont Foot Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, underscoring a consistent pattern of low-scoring games between these teams. This trend, combined with recent form and season data, suggests a match tempo that limits goal-scoring opportunities and favors Under 2.5 Goals outcomes.

Loading deeper match data…