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Nice crestNice
v
Rennes crestRennes

Ligue 1 | Fri 30 Oct, 18:00

Nice v Rennes Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 11:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nice hosts Rennes at Allianz Riviera in a Ligue 1 clash where both sides seek to build on solid recent performances. Nice remain unbeaten at home this season, showing defensive resilience but limited attacking creativity, while Rennes bring prolific scoring form yet defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Rennes sit second in the table, just behind Paris Saint-Germain, and their attacking threat is spearheaded by players like Boulaye Dia and Sebastian Szymanski. Nice's home solidity contrasts with Rennes' away defensive struggles, setting up a contest where both teams are likely to find the net in a closely fought encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Rennes have scored 18 goals in eight Ligue 1 matches, more than double Nice's tally.
  • Nice are unbeaten in four home league matches, scoring in each game.
  • Rennes conceded seven goals in their last two away league matches, showing defensive fragility.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Nice have created only 16 big chances this season, the third-lowest in Ligue 1.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Rennes' strong attacking output of 18 goals in eight matches combined with their defensive vulnerabilities away from home, conceding seven goals in their last two away fixtures. Nice's unbeaten home record and consistent scoring in all four home games further strengthen the case. Although Nice's chance creation is low, their ability to convert limited opportunities and Rennes' defensive lapses suggest both sides will score. The price reflects good value with a 16% edge over implied , making this a confident selection.

Rennes Attack18 goals in 8 matches
Strong positive
Rennes Away Defence7 goals conceded in last 2 away matches
Positive
Nice Home FormUnbeaten in 4 home matches, scoring in all
Strong positive
Nice Chance Creation16 big chances this season (3rd lowest)
Negative
Price Value Edge73.3% model chance vs 66.7% implied (+6.6 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown clear attacking capabilities, with Rennes boasting a potent offense and Nice maintaining a solid home scoring record. Rennes' defensive weaknesses away from home provide Nice with opportunities to score despite their limited chance creation. This tactical balance and recent form data make Both Teams to Score a logical and well-supported pick for this fixture.

Main risk

However, attacking creativity remains a concern.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking and defensive balance

“Rennes' high goal output paired with their away defensive lapses creates a prime scenario for both sides to find the net, especially against a home side that consistently scores despite limited chances.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Rennes have scored 18 goals in eight Ligue 1 matches, more than double Nice's tally.

Nice are unbeaten in four home league matches, scoring in each game.

Rennes conceded seven goals in their last two away league matches, showing defensive fragility.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, with both teams frequently scoring.
  • Both Nice and Rennes have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities likely in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nice1.4
Avg goals scored
Rennes2.2
Nice1.2
Avg goals conceded
Rennes1.8
Nice80%
BTTS rate
Rennes40%
Nice80%
Over 2.5 goals
Rennes80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have strong scoring records this season, with Rennes netting 18 goals and Nice scoring in all four home matches. Rennes' defensive struggles on the road, conceding seven goals in their last two away games, combine with Nice's ability to score despite low chance creation, making goals from both sides likely in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Rennes Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Rennes to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 66.7% implied by the current price (+6.6 pts). Nice show a 80% BTTS rate and Rennes show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nice

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
23 Oct 2026A Stade Brestois 292-1
18 Oct 2026A Lyon1-2
11 Oct 2026H Strasbourg2-1
20 Sep 2026H Lille2-1
12 Sep 2026A Auxerre0-1

Rennes

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
25 Oct 2026H Strasbourg3-0
18 Oct 2026A Paris FC3-4
11 Oct 2026H Auxerre4-1
19 Sep 2026A Lyon0-4
11 Sep 2026H Marseille1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Rennes Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Rennes to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Nice to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form shows both teams scoring in four of their last five matches, with Nice unbeaten at home and Rennes displaying strong attacking output despite defensive lapses away. Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Nice Over 2.5
80%Rennes Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, with both teams frequently scoring. Both Nice and Rennes have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities likely in this fixture.

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