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Brisbane Roar crestBrisbane Roar
v
Auckland crestAuckland

A-League | Fri 30 Oct, 09:00

Brisbane Roar v Auckland Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 11:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brisbane Roar and Auckland meet in an A-League clash where both teams have shown attacking intent early in the season. Each side has scored multiple goals in their opening matches, with Brisbane Roar boasting a perfect record of games exceeding 2.5 goals. Auckland, similarly, has been involved in high-scoring encounters, reflecting an open style of play. This fixture promises offensive action, with both teams eager to capitalize on their attacking strengths and secure early points in the league standings.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Brisbane Roar has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Auckland also maintains a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Both teams average high shots per game: 14 for Brisbane Roar and 10 for Auckland.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 51.3%, indicating clear value. Both Brisbane Roar and Auckland have consistently participated in high-scoring games, each with a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent fixtures. The attacking prowess is underscored by Brisbane's average of 14 shots and 6 on target per game, and Auckland's 10 shots with 4 on target. This attacking intensity, combined with open defensive tendencies, supports the expectation of multiple goals in this match.

Model Probability66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameBrisbane 14, Auckland 10
Positive
Market Implied Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Brisbane Roar and Auckland both prioritize offense early in the season. Their high shot volumes and consistent over 2.5 goal matches suggest a lively contest with multiple goals. This match-up offers a strong chance for a goal-rich encounter given the teams' offensive tendencies and recent scoring patterns.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking styles

“Brisbane Roar and Auckland’s attacking styles and recent high-scoring matches make Over 2.5 Goals a compelling pick. Both sides create numerous chances, and their defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of a goal-filled game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Brisbane Roar has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Auckland also maintains a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Both teams average high shots per game: 14 for Brisbane Roar and 10 for Auckland.

Recent head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last five matches involving these teams, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred consistently, with an average of 2.4 goals per game in head-to-head meetings.
  • This trend reflects a pattern of open play and goal opportunities, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brisbane Roar2
Avg goals scored
Auckland2.5
Brisbane Roar1
Avg goals conceded
Auckland3
Brisbane Roar100%
BTTS rate
Auckland100%
Brisbane Roar100%
Over 2.5 goals
Auckland100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have demonstrated a strong tendency for high-scoring games and both teams to score, with 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rates recently. Their offensive output and defensive openness create conditions conducive to multiple goals and mutual scoring, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Auckland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Brisbane Roar to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Auckland to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 66.3% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Brisbane Roar and 100% for Auckland, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brisbane Roar

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Oct 2026H Perth Glory2-1

Auckland

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
24 Oct 2026A Western Sydney Wanderers2-5
17 Oct 2026H Melbourne City3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Auckland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Brisbane Roar to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Auckland to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Brisbane Roar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Recent form data shows both teams have scored multiple goals in their latest matches, with Brisbane Roar and Auckland each recording 100% Over 2.5 Goals rates. This consistent scoring trend highlights their offensive effectiveness and supports expectations for a high-scoring encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Brisbane Roar Over 2.5
100%Auckland Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last five matches involving these teams, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred consistently, with an average of 2.4 goals per game in head-to-head meetings. This trend reflects a pattern of open play and goal opportunities, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.

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