Football Stats Hub

America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali
v
Fortaleza FC crestFortaleza FC

Primera A | Thu 29 Oct, 23:15

America de Cali v Fortaleza FC Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 02:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

America de Cali face Fortaleza FC in Primera A on Thu 29 Oct, 23:15. America de Cali come in with 10 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Fortaleza FC have 4 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

America de Cali to Win

  • At 1.62, America de Cali to Win implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • America de Cali have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortaleza FC.
  • America de Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the America de Cali to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • America de Cali sit 2 in the table, while Fortaleza FC sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for America de Cali to Win sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. America de Cali have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortaleza FC.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
America de Cali have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
America de Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: America de Cali Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers America de Cali have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortaleza FC. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

America de Cali to Win evidence

America de Cali have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortaleza FC.

America de Cali have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the America de Cali Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

America de Cali sit 2 in the table, while Fortaleza FC sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

America de Cali to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    America de Cali1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Fortaleza FC1
    America de Cali1
    Avg goals conceded
    Fortaleza FC1.2
    America de Cali80%
    BTTS rate
    Fortaleza FC80%
    America de Cali60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fortaleza FC40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    America de Cali

    WDLWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    25 Oct 2026H Cucuta3-1
    18 Oct 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
    12 Oct 2026H Independiente Medellin1-2
    05 Oct 2026A Llaneros2-1
    24 Sep 2026H Águilas Doradas1-0

    Fortaleza FC

    DLDDD
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 7D 3L
    25 Oct 2026H Deportivo Cali1-1
    21 Oct 2026A Internacional de Bogota1-2
    09 Oct 2026H Millonarios1-1
    04 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pasto0-0
    28 Sep 2026H Deportes Tolima2-2
    Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    America de Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    America de Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    America de Cali to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%America de Cali Over 2.5
    40%Fortaleza FC Over 2.5
    1.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: America de Cali sit at 60% and Fortaleza FC sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…