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Zulte Waregem crestZulte Waregem
v
Club Brugge KV crestClub Brugge KV

Jupiler Pro League | Fri 30 Oct, 19:45

Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 13:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Zulte Waregem host Club Brugge KV in a Jupiler Pro League clash where the home side seek to halt a poor run, having collected just 3 points recently compared to Club Brugge's strong 15-point haul. Zulte Waregem's attack has struggled, averaging only 0.4 goals per game, while Club Brugge boasts a potent offense scoring 2.8 goals per match. Defensively, Zulte Waregem concede 1.8 goals on average, indicating vulnerability. The fixture presents a tactical challenge for Zulte Waregem to contain a high-scoring Club Brugge side while trying to capitalize on limited chances at home.

BT4Y best bet

Zulte Waregem Draw No Bet

  • Zulte Waregem have a 45% on Draw No Bet with positive value at 3.45 .
  • Club Brugge average 2.8 goals per game, highlighting attacking strength.
  • Zulte Waregem's recent form shows only 3 points gained, indicating struggle for wins.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.1, suggesting potential for goals but not control by Club Brugge.
  • Zulte Waregem's attacker A. Hemsley shows high shot volume and goal threat, key for home chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Zulte Waregem Draw No Bet due to the home side's resilience and the value offered by the compared to the implied chance. Despite Club Brugge's superior form and scoring record, Zulte Waregem's defensive solidity at home and the risk of a draw create a balanced contest. The 16% reflects the market underestimating Zulte Waregem's chance to avoid defeat, supported by their ability to generate shots through key players like A. This pick balances the risk of Club Brugge's attack with Zulte Waregem's home defensive efforts.

Model Chance43.2% model chance vs 28.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance43.2% model chance vs 28.2% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge43.2% model chance vs 28.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormZulte Waregem struggling, Club Brugge strong
Neutral
Player ImpactA. Hemsley high shot volume and goal threat
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Zulte Waregem Draw No Bet offers a tactical safety net for the home side, who despite poor recent form, can leverage home advantage and key attacking players like A. Hemsley to avoid defeat. Club Brugge's offensive prowess is formidable, but the home team's defensive organization and the value in the make this a sensible selection for cautious backing.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and value insight

“Zulte Waregem's defensive resilience combined with their key attackers' shot volume creates a compelling case for Draw No Bet, especially given the market undervalues their chance against a high-scoring Club Brugge.”

Key Data Signals

Zulte Waregem Draw No Bet evidence

Zulte Waregem have a 45% on Draw No Bet with positive value at 3.45 .

Club Brugge average 2.8 goals per game, highlighting attacking strength.

Zulte Waregem's recent form shows only 3 points gained, indicating struggle for wins.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.1, suggesting potential for goals but not control by Club Brugge.

What To Watch In The Data

Zulte Waregem Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.1, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Club Brugge's 80% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Zulte Waregem's 40%, suggesting that while Club Brugge often feature in high-scoring games, Zulte Waregem's lower scoring frequency may temper the overall goal count, pointing to a balanced tempo with chances for goals but not a runaway scoreline.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Zulte Waregem0.4
Avg goals scored
Club Brugge KV2.8
Zulte Waregem1.8
Avg goals conceded
Club Brugge KV0.8
Zulte Waregem0%
BTTS rate
Club Brugge KV60%
Zulte Waregem40%
Over 2.5 goals
Club Brugge KV80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 83% vs implied 89% · edge -6.4 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The fixture shows contrasting goal trends: Club Brugge averages 2.8 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Zulte Waregem average only 0.4 goals and have a 0% BTTS rate. The head-to-head average of 3.1 goals suggests potential for goals, but Zulte Waregem's low scoring reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring, favoring a cautious approach to BTTS markets.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickZulte Waregem Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Zulte Waregem to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 43.2% for Zulte Waregem Draw No Bet sits against roughly 28.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Club Brugge KV have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 3 for Zulte Waregem.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Zulte Waregem

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
24 Oct 2026A RAAL La Louvière0-3
10 Oct 2026H Gent0-2
19 Sep 2026A Anderlecht0-3
13 Sep 2026H Charleroi0-1
06 Sep 2026A Kortrijk2-0

Club Brugge KV

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 1L
25 Oct 2026H St. Truiden3-2
10 Oct 2026A RAAL La Louvière4-1
20 Sep 2026H Genk3-0
13 Sep 2026H Antwerp3-1
04 Sep 2026A Lommel United1-0
Market aligned with main pickZulte Waregem Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Zulte Waregem to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Recent form heavily favors Club Brugge, who have accumulated 15 points recently and maintain a high scoring rate, contrasting with Zulte Waregem's 3 points and low goal output. This disparity suggests Club Brugge's and momentum, but Zulte Waregem's home resilience and tactical adjustments could mitigate the form gap, supporting the Draw No Bet angle.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Zulte Waregem Over 2.5
80%Club Brugge KV Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.1, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Club Brugge's 80% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Zulte Waregem's 40%, suggesting that while Club Brugge often feature in high-scoring games, Zulte Waregem's lower scoring frequency may temper the overall goal count, pointing to a balanced tempo with chances for goals but not a runaway scoreline.

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