Football Stats Hub

Morocco crestMorocco
v
Madagascar crestMadagascar

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 18:00

Morocco v Madagascar Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 01:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Morocco face Madagascar in Friendlies on Tue 02 Jun, 18:00. Morocco enter this international fixture with immense rhythm having recorded four victories out of their previous five outings. Recent Form: Goals Scored in Most Recent Matches A thrilling 5-2 victory showcased their ability to produce major offensive danger when playing with tactical freedom.

BT4Y best bet

, the selection requires Morocco to win and for there to be three or more goals scored in regular time

  • At 5/2, , the selection requires Morocco to win and for there to be three or more goals scored in regular time implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Madagascar scored six goals over their last two away fixtures, opening spaces that the hosts will ruthlessly exploit at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah.
  • Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Madagascar.
  • Morocco have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the , the selection requires Morocco to win and for there to be three or more goals scored in regular time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for , the selection requires Morocco to win and for there to be three or more goals scored in regular time sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Madagascar. Madagascar scored six goals over their last two away fixtures, opening spaces that the hosts will ruthlessly exploit at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Morocco have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Madagascar scored six goals over their last two away.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Morocco Win is the preferred angle because madagascar scored six goals over their last two away fixtures, opening spaces that the hosts will ruthlessly exploit at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah. Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Madagascar. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

, the selection requires Morocco to win and for there to be three or more goals scored in regular time evidence

Madagascar scored six goals over their last two away fixtures, opening spaces that the hosts will ruthlessly exploit.

Morocco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Madagascar.

Morocco have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Morocco Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

, the selection requires Morocco to win and for there to be three or more goals scored in regular time notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Morocco2.67
    Avg goals scored
    Madagascar3
    Morocco0.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Madagascar1.5
    Morocco67%
    BTTS rate
    Madagascar100%
    Morocco67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Madagascar50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 89% · edge -32 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Morocco to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Morocco1.5
    Avg corners for
    Madagascar-
    Morocco3.5
    Avg total corners
    Madagascar-
    Morocco2
    Avg yellow cards
    Madagascar-
    Morocco9
    Avg shots
    Madagascar-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 52% · edge -17.4 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Morocco

    WWD
    Last 52W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 0L
    26 May 2026H Burundi5-0
    31 Mar 2026H Paraguay2-1
    27 Mar 2026H Ecuador1-1

    Madagascar

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026A Equatorial Guinea1-1
    28 Mar 2026A Kyrgyzstan5-2
    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 89% · edge -32 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Morocco wins
    0Draws
    0Madagascar wins
    30 Aug 2025Madagascar v Morocco2-3
    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 89% · edge -32 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Morocco to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Morocco5
    Played
    Madagascar3
    Morocco2.6
    Avg goals for
    Madagascar2
    Morocco0.6
    Avg goals against
    Madagascar2.3
    Morocco2
    Clean sheets
    Madagascar0
    Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 89% · edge -32 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Season data supports Morocco to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Morocco Over 2.5
    50%Madagascar Over 2.5
    5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Morocco sit at 67% and Madagascar sit at 50% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.