Football Stats Hub

Morocco crestMorocco
v
Madagascar crestMadagascar

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 18:00

Morocco v Madagascar Stats

Data last updated: Mon 01 Jun 2026, 03:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Morocco hosts Madagascar in a lively international friendly at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, with Morocco building strong momentum under Mohamed Ouahbi, having won four of their last five matches including a commanding 5-0 victory over Burundi. Madagascar arrives with attacking after scoring six goals in their last two away fixtures, including a 5-2 win over Kyrgyzstan. Morocco aims to sharpen tactical combinations and pressing triggers ahead of the World Cup, while Madagascar seeks to test themselves against a superior opponent. The match promises an open, high-tempo contest with both sides showing recent offensive prowess.

BT4Y best bet

Morocco to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

  • Morocco won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 goals in last friendly.
  • Madagascar scored 6 goals in last two away games, including 5-2 win.
  • Both previous Morocco vs Madagascar meetings ended with Morocco scoring exactly 3 goals.
  • Recent form shows Morocco and Madagascar have high Over 2.5 Goals rates (67% and 50% respectively).
  • Morocco’s attacking fluidity under Ouahbi and Madagascar’s offensive freedom suggest multiple goals likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 57.3% chance for Morocco to win with over 2.5 goals, reflecting Morocco's strong recent attacking form and Madagascar's tendency to concede and score in open games. Morocco's recent 5-0 win and historical 3-goal matches against Madagascar support an expectation of multiple goals. The price at 3.5 offers positive value given the model's higher probability. The data quality is solid, supporting in the attacking patterns and defensive vulnerabilities shaping this bet.

Morocco recent form4 wins in last 5, 5 goals in last friendly
Strong positive
Madagascar attacking output6 goals in last 2 away matches
Positive
Historical H2H goalsMorocco scored 3 goals in both previous meetings
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals rateMorocco 67%, Madagascar 50%
Positive
Price vs model chance3.5 odds vs 57.3% chance
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Morocco’s recent attacking rhythm and tactical sharpness under Mohamed Ouahbi make them strong favorites to win this friendly. Madagascar’s recent goal-scoring form suggests Morocco’s defense will be tested, supporting the expectation of multiple goals. This bet combines Morocco’s control with an open game scenario, reflecting both teams’ offensive momentum.

Main risk

The absence of key Morocco players like Achraf Hakimi and Brahim Diaz could disrupt attacking fluidity and defensive stability, while Madagascar’s attacking freedom might lead to unpredictable defensive lapses that could affect the final goal tally.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal expectation

“Morocco’s blend of tactical control and attacking depth, combined with Madagascar’s willingness to attack freely, sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter where Morocco’s quality should prevail.”

Key Data Signals

Morocco to Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Morocco won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 goals in last friendly.

Madagascar scored 6 goals in last two away games, including 5-2 win.

Both previous Morocco vs Madagascar meetings ended with Morocco scoring exactly 3 goals.

Recent form shows Morocco and Madagascar have high Over 2.5 Goals rates (67% and 50% respectively).

What To Watch In The Data

Morocco to Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent matches between Morocco and Madagascar have averaged 5 goals, with Morocco consistently scoring 3 goals.
  • Over the last five matches for Morocco, over 2.5 goals occurred 67% of the time, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring games in this fixture context.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Morocco2.67
Avg goals scored
Madagascar3
Morocco0.67
Avg goals conceded
Madagascar1.5
Morocco67%
BTTS rate
Madagascar100%
Morocco67%
Over 2.5 goals
Madagascar50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking output recently, with Morocco scoring five goals in their last friendly and Madagascar netting six in their last two away games. Historical meetings also featured multiple goals, supporting an expectation of both teams scoring and a high total goal count in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies hubfull betting preview for Morocco v Madagascarfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 92% · edge -34.4 pts
1.09
Check odds @ 1.09
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The 3.5 for Morocco to win with over 2.5 goals reflect a price-sensitive value opportunity, as the model estimates a 57.3% chance. This pricing balances Morocco’s strong form and attacking potential against the volatility of requiring multiple goals and a win, making it an attractive but not overwhelming value bet.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Morocco1.5
Avg corners for
Madagascar-
Morocco3.5
Avg total corners
Madagascar-
Morocco2
Avg yellow cards
Madagascar-
Morocco9
Avg shots
Madagascar-
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 52% · edge -17.4 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Morocco averages 6 shots and 4 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Their discipline shows an average of 3 yellow cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled match. Limited data on Madagascar’s corners and cards restricts deeper analysis, but Morocco’s offensive control should generate set-piece opportunities and pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Morocco

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
26 May 2026H Burundi5-0
31 Mar 2026H Paraguay2-1
27 Mar 2026H Ecuador1-1

Madagascar

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
31 Mar 2026A Equatorial Guinea1-1
28 Mar 2026A Kyrgyzstan5-2
Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 92% · edge -34.4 pts
1.09
Check odds @ 1.09
Morocco’s recent form is strong, with four wins in five matches and a high goal-scoring rate of 2.67 goals per game. Madagascar’s form shows a potent attack with 3 goals per game but a leaky defense conceding 1.5 goals on average. Both teams’ recent matches have a high incidence of over 2.5 goals, reinforcing the bet’s rationale.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Morocco wins
0Draws
0Madagascar wins
30 Aug 2025Madagascar v Morocco2-3
Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 92% · edge -34.4 pts
1.09
Check odds @ 1.09
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The single previous head-to-head meeting ended 3-2 in favor of Morocco, highlighting a history of open, attacking games with multiple goals. This limited sample still supports expectations of Morocco scoring multiple times and Madagascar posing offensive threats, though current form and tactical context carry more weight.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Morocco3
Played
Madagascar2
Morocco2.7
Avg goals for
Madagascar3
Morocco0.7
Avg goals against
Madagascar1.5
Morocco1
Clean sheets
Madagascar0
Market aligned with main pickMorocco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 92% · edge -34.4 pts
1.09
Check odds @ 1.09
Morocco’s season stats reveal a potent attack combined with a solid defense conceding less than one goal per game, supporting their likelihood to win and score multiple goals. Madagascar’s stats show a more open style with higher goals conceded, aligning with expectations of an open, high-scoring friendly.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Morocco Over 2.5
50%Madagascar Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
Recent matches between Morocco and Madagascar have averaged 5 goals, with Morocco consistently scoring 3 goals. Over the last five matches for Morocco, over 2.5 goals occurred 67% of the time, indicating a strong trend towards high-scoring games in this fixture context.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Morocco v Madagascar prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Tajikistan v PalestineFriendlies · Mon 01 Jun 14:00Slovakia v MaltaFriendlies · Mon 01 Jun 17:00Bulgaria v MontenegroFriendlies · Mon 01 Jun 17:00Türkiye v FYR MacedoniaFriendlies · Mon 01 Jun 17:30

Competition and hubs

Friendlies hubFriendlies hubfull betting preview for Morocco v Madagascarfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre