Football Stats Hub

Radomiak Radom crestRadomiak Radom
v
Motor Lublin crestMotor Lublin

Ekstraklasa | Mon 12 Oct, 17:00

Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin face off in a crucial Ekstraklasa clash where both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, separated by just two points. Radomiak Radom's recent form shows slightly better defensive solidity but limited attacking output, while Motor Lublin has been more active offensively but concedes at a similar rate. The tactical battle is likely to be intense with both sides pushing for territorial advantage, which historically leads to a high number of set-piece opportunities. This fixture's stakes and playing styles suggest a contest with sustained pressure and frequent corner situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Radomiak Radom averages 9.2 corners per game, Motor Lublin 4.2, combining for over 13 corners on average.
  • Both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, increasing set-piece chances.
  • Recent matches for both sides feature a 40% rate of Over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking transitions.
  • Player data shows active attackers like K. Czubak and Ronaldo Afonso who generate shots and pressure, likely forcing defensive clearances and corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 8.5 Corners at a 75% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 54.9%, indicating strong value. Radomiak Radom's high corner average (9.2) combined with Motor Lublin's 4.2 corners per game supports this expectation. Both teams' playing styles and recent form suggest frequent territorial exchanges and attacking pressure, which naturally lead to more corners. The presence of active shooters and key passers further increases the likelihood of forced defensive clearances resulting in corners. No data limitations or price warnings reduce in this selection.

Model Chance69.9% model chance vs 54.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance69.9% model chance vs 54.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Radomiak Radom Avg Corners9.2 per game
Strong positive
Motor Lublin Avg Corners4.2 per game
Positive
Recent Form Offensive PressureModerate to high
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained attacking phases and territorial battles, leading to numerous corner kicks. Radomiak Radom's strong corner generation combined with Motor Lublin's willingness to attack supports the Over 8.5 Corners pick. The data and tactical context align well, making this a compelling selection for corner markets.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture's tactical setup and player profiles suggest a high volume of corners as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and create set-piece chances under pressure.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Radomiak Radom averages 9.2 corners per game, Motor Lublin 4.2, combining for over 13 corners on average.

Both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, increasing set-piece chances.

Recent matches for both sides feature a 40% rate of Over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking transitions.

Player data shows active attackers like K. Czubak and Ronaldo Afonso who generate shots and pressure, likely forcing defensive clearances and corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.88, indicating moderately open games.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests tempo and attacking transitions that often produce corners.
  • The sample supports an expectation of active attacking phases conducive to a higher corner count.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Radomiak Radom0.6
Avg goals scored
Motor Lublin0.8
Radomiak Radom1.6
Avg goals conceded
Motor Lublin1.6
Radomiak Radom40%
BTTS rate
Motor Lublin60%
Radomiak Radom40%
Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 38% · edge +9.1 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate and mixed BTTS records, indicating moderately open games. While goal totals are modest, the attacking intent and defensive lapses suggest transitions and set-piece situations will be frequent, indirectly supporting corner accumulation rather than high scoring alone.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Radomiak Radom to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Radomiak Radom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Motor Lublin Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 69.9% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 54.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Radomiak Radom lead the corner sample at 9.2 per match, with Motor Lublin lower at 4.2.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Radomiak Radom

LLDWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 5L
20 Sep 2026A Lech Poznan1-5
14 Sep 2026H Piast Gliwice0-2
05 Sep 2026A Widzew Łódź0-0
29 Aug 2026H Cracovia Krakow2-1
23 Aug 2026H Zaglebie Lubin0-0

Motor Lublin

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 5L
19 Sep 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-0
11 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa1-2
05 Sep 2026H Legia Warszawa2-3
29 Aug 2026H Piast Gliwice0-2
22 Aug 2026A Korona Kielce1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 69% · edge +11.3 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Radomiak Radom to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Radomiak Radom Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Motor Lublin Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Motor Lublin to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form shows Radomiak Radom earning 5 points with a 40% Over 2.5 rate, while Motor Lublin has 2 points and a 40% Over 2.5 rate as well. Both teams' recent matches have featured sustained attacking phases, supporting the likelihood of multiple corners as defenses are tested repeatedly.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Radomiak Radom Over 2.5
40%Motor Lublin Over 2.5
2.88H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.88, indicating moderately open games. While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests tempo and attacking transitions that often produce corners. The sample supports an expectation of active attacking phases conducive to a higher corner count.

Loading deeper match data…