Football Stats Hub

Torino crestTorino
v
Udinese crestUdinese

Serie A | Mon 12 Oct, 19:45

Torino v Udinese Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 16:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie A clash features Torino visiting Udinese at the Dacia Arena in a tightly poised mid-table battle. Udinese have struggled to score at home recently, failing to find the net in their last three matches, while Torino arrive in strong form under Roberto D'Aversa, having collected 14 points from their last eight games. Torino's attack, led by Giovanni Simeone and Nikola Vlasic, thrives on quick transitions, contrasting with Udinese's possession-based approach. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Torino Win & Over 2.5 Goals

  • Udinese have failed to score in their last three home matches, highlighting a home scoring drought.
  • Torino have conceded 30 goals in 17 away games, averaging 1.76 goals against per match.
  • Torino have earned 14 points from their last eight matches, showing strong recent form.
  • Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate and 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent goal-scoring games.
  • Giovanni Simeone and Nikola Vlasic provide Torino with consistent attacking threats in transition.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Torino Win & Over 2.5 Goals with a 24% chance, notably higher than the 16% implied by the , indicating positive value. Torino's recent surge under Roberto D'Aversa, combined with their attacking potency and Udinese's home scoring struggles, supports this pick. Both teams' defensive frailties and high BTTS rates suggest multiple goals. The model is strong at 81%, reflecting consistent data signals. No data limitations affect this fixture, reinforcing the reliability of this selection.

Model Chance vs Implied Chance24% model chance vs 16% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive
Torino Recent Form14 points from last 8 games
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilitiesTorino concede 1.76 goals away; Udinese failed to score last 3 home matches
Positive
BTTS and Over 2.5 RatesBoth teams 80% BTTS, 60% Over 2.5
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Torino's recent form under Roberto D'Aversa has revitalized their attack, making them a strong candidate for victory. Udinese's home scoring drought and defensive inconsistencies suggest Torino can exploit gaps and push for multiple goals. The combination of Torino's momentum and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities makes a Torino win with over 2.5 goals a compelling outcome.

Main risk

Their recent performances suggest they are not far off bridging that gap—but football is rarely that simple.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal expectation

“Torino's attacking rhythm and Udinese's home scoring struggles set up a fixture ripe for goals and an away win. The visitors' transition play and key players like Simeone and Vlasic could decisively impact the match.”

Key Data Signals

Torino Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Udinese have failed to score in their last three home matches, highlighting a home scoring drought.

Torino have conceded 30 goals in 17 away games, averaging 1.76 goals against per match.

Torino have earned 14 points from their last eight matches, showing strong recent form.

Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate and 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent goal-scoring games.

What To Watch In The Data

Torino Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent matches show a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting this fixture is likely to continue the trend of multiple goals, driven by defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Torino1
Avg goals scored
Udinese1.6
Torino1.6
Avg goals conceded
Udinese2.2
Torino80%
BTTS rate
Udinese80%
Torino60%
Over 2.5 goals
Udinese60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have shown a strong propensity to score and concede this season, with an 80% BTTS rate and 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate each. Udinese's recent 3-3 draw with Lazio and Torino's defensive frailties on the road underpin the expectation of goals at both ends, supporting the combined bet of a Torino win with multiple goals.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Torino v Udinesecorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTorino to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 42% · edge -0.5 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 24% for Torino Win & Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 16% implied by the current price (+8 pts). While Udinese have struggled to score at home recently, Torino have conceded 30 goals away this season.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Torino

DLWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
19 Sep 2026A Bologna1-1
14 Sep 2026H AS Roma0-2
05 Sep 2026A Fiorentina2-1
29 Aug 2026A Sassuolo1-2
23 Aug 2026H AC Milan1-2

Udinese

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
19 Sep 2026H Cagliari0-1
14 Sep 2026A Inter3-5
07 Sep 2026H Lazio1-2
29 Aug 2026A Monza3-2
22 Aug 2026H Como1-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 75% · edge -4.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Torino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Torino's recent form is impressive, securing 14 points from their last eight matches, highlighting a strong momentum shift under Roberto D'Aversa. Udinese's form is less consistent, particularly at home where they have failed to score in three consecutive matches. This contrast in form and favors Torino's ability to secure a win while contributing to a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Torino Over 2.5
60%Udinese Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent matches show a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting this fixture is likely to continue the trend of multiple goals, driven by defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent from both sides.

Loading deeper match data…