Famalicao
AlvercaPrimeira Liga | Sat 16 May, 20:30
Famalicao v Alverca Stats
Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 02:38 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Famalicao face Alverca in Primeira Liga on Sat 16 May, 20:30. Famalicão are unbeaten in 11 league matches and have turned their home ground into a fortress. Famalicão's 11-match unbeaten streak and Alverca's defensive inconsistency away from home suggest a high probability for a home win. Famalicao average just 0.
A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes
- At 8/15, A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
- Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded Average
- Famalicao have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Famalicao sit 5 in the table, while Alverca sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 43% (-22.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +14.6 pts edge at 2.15.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 43% for A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Famalicao have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes angle more than a raw possession edge. Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded Average
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Famalicao Win is the preferred angle because defensive Stability: Goals Conceded Average Famalicao have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Famalicao Win angle more than a raw possession edge. High-variance markets, like Correct Score, have lower probabilities of winning but offer much higher rewards.
High-variance markets, like Correct Score, have lower probabilities of winning but offer much higher rewards.
Key Data Signals
A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes evidence
Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded Average
Famalicao have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Famalicao Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Famalicao sit 5 in the table, while Alverca sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
A specific team like Famalicão to succeed over 90 minutes notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Famalicao
Alverca
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Famalicao | 56 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -17 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Primeira Liga
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
