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Famalicaov
AlvercaPrimeira Liga | Sat 16 May, 20:30
Famalicao v Alverca Stats
BT4Y best bet
Alverca to Win
- At 5, Alverca to Win is priced at roughly 20% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 41%, so the current line is showing a +21-point value edge.
- Famalicao have a recent record of 1W-4D-0L, while Alverca come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Alverca to Win angle: Famalicao have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Alverca to Win angle: Alverca have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 5, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 30% · edge +21.2 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
40%Famalicao Over 2.5
40%Alverca Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Famalicao
DDWDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 6D 0L
11 May 2026A Estrela0-0
02 May 2026H Benfica2-2
26 Apr 2026A Estoril1-0
19 Apr 2026A SC Braga2-2
10 Apr 2026H Moreirense1-1
Alverca
DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 4D 3L
10 May 2026H Estoril1-1
02 May 2026A FC Porto0-1
24 Apr 2026H Arouca2-1
18 Apr 2026A Nacional0-1
12 Apr 2026H Casa Pia3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 30% · edge +21.2 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Famalicao1.2
Avg goals scoredAlverca1.2
Famalicao1
Avg goals concededAlverca1
Famalicao60%
BTTS rateAlverca60%
Famalicao40%
Over 2.5 goalsAlverca40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1Famalicao wins
0Draws
1Alverca wins
04 Jan 2026Alverca v Famalicao1-0
20 Nov 2021Alverca v Famalicao1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Famalicao7
Avg corners forAlverca6.25
Famalicao11.2
Avg total cornersAlverca12.25
Famalicao3
Avg yellow cardsAlverca2
Famalicao12
Avg shotsAlverca9.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleDiogo Martins Anytime GoalscorerDiogo Martins · 0 goals · 11.25 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
Diogo MartinsAlverca · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
M. ZabiriFamalicao · Attacker
Goal threat81/100
Shots /903.13
SOT /902.04
M. MilovanovićAlverca · Attacker
Goal threat69/100
Shots /901.82
SOT /901.23
Tiago Rafael Fernandes LeiiteAlverca · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /905.41
SOT /902.71
R. BeneyFamalicao · Attacker
Goal threat43/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /902.07
G. CabezasAlverca · Midfielder
Goal threat8/100
Shots /901.7
SOT /900
Gonzalo PastorFamalicao · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
Primeira Liga
Famalicao33
PlayedAlverca33
Famalicao1.2
Avg goals forAlverca1.1
Famalicao0.9
Avg goals againstAlverca1.5
Famalicao16
Clean sheetsAlverca6
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 30% · edge +21.2 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Famalicao | 53 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Alverca | 39 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -16 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
