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Eyüpspor crestEyüpspor
v
Göztepe crestGöztepe

Süper Lig | Mon 12 Oct, 18:00

Eyüpspor v Göztepe Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eyüpspor and Göztepe meet in a Süper Lig clash where both sides have struggled defensively but shown attacking intent. Eyüpspor has conceded an average of three goals per game, while Göztepe allows 2.4, indicating a match prone to goals. Göztepe's more potent attack, averaging 1.6 goals per game, contrasts with Eyüpspor's 0.4, setting up an intriguing contest. Both teams are near the bottom of the table with just three points each, adding urgency to their offensive efforts. This fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities from both sides.

BT4Y match pick

Eyüpspor Asian Handicap +0.75

  • Eyüpspor concedes 3 goals per game, Göztepe concedes 2.4
  • Göztepe averages 1.6 goals scored per game, Eyüpspor 0.4
  • Eyüpspor and Göztepe have Over 2.5 rates of 60% and 80% respectively
  • Both teams average around 15 shots per game, indicating offensive activity
  • H2H average goals stand at 1.75 over 8 matches, suggesting moderate scoring history

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 59.3% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and attacking output. Göztepe's 80% Over 2.5 rate and Eyüpspor's 60% rate highlight a strong trend towards higher scoring matches. Shot volumes near 15 per game and average shots on target reinforce the likelihood of goals. The price at 1.73 offers a small positive , making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible selection given the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams.

Model Chance58.2% model chance vs 61.7% implied (-3.5 pts)
Strong positive
Eyüpspor Defensive Record3 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Göztepe Offensive Output1.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Rate Göztepe80%
Strong positive
Shot Volume~15 shots per team per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This match features two teams with defensive frailties and decent attacking intent, especially from Göztepe. The combination of high goals conceded and active shooting suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a logical choice. Tactical openness and the need for points should encourage offensive play, making goals likely in this Süper Lig fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking and defensive dynamics

“Eyüpspor's porous defense combined with Göztepe's attacking threat creates a fertile ground for goals. Expect an open game where both sides push forward, increasing the chances of Over 2.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Eyüpspor Asian Handicap +0.75 evidence

Eyüpspor concedes 3 goals per game, Göztepe concedes 2.4

Göztepe averages 1.6 goals scored per game, Eyüpspor 0.4

Eyüpspor and Göztepe have Over 2.5 rates of 60% and 80% respectively

Both teams average around 15 shots per game, indicating offensive activity

What To Watch In The Data

Eyüpspor Asian Handicap +0.75 notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 1.75, slightly below 2.5.
  • However, recent form and season stats indicate an upward trend in goals, especially from Göztepe, suggesting this match could exceed the historical average and hit Over 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eyüpspor0.4
Avg goals scored
Göztepe1.6
Eyüpspor3
Avg goals conceded
Göztepe2.4
Eyüpspor20%
BTTS rate
Göztepe80%
Eyüpspor60%
Over 2.5 goals
Göztepe80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams show contrasting BTTS rates: Eyüpspor at 20% and Göztepe at 80%. Despite Eyüpspor's low BTTS, Göztepe's consistent goal scoring and Eyüpspor's defensive struggles suggest multiple goals are likely, supporting Over 2.5 rather than BTTS.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Eyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Eyüpspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Göztepe to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Göztepe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 58.2% for Eyüpspor Asian Handicap +0.75 sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (-3.5 pts). 16 goals conceded: Eyupspor possess the Super Lig's worst defensive record after six matches.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eyüpspor

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 5L
20 Sep 2026A Fenerbahçe0-8
12 Sep 2026H Rizespor0-2
06 Sep 2026A Çorum FK0-3
30 Aug 2026H Alanyaspor2-1
23 Aug 2026H Gaziantep FK0-1

Göztepe

DDLLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 3L
20 Sep 2026H Rizespor2-2
12 Sep 2026A Alanyaspor2-2
07 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-4
29 Aug 2026A Galatasaray2-3
23 Aug 2026H Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Eyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Eyüpspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Göztepe to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Göztepe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Eyüpspor has scored only 0.4 goals per game recently, while Göztepe averages 1.6. Both teams have Over 2.5 Goals rates of 60% and 80%, respectively, indicating a recent trend towards higher scoring matches, especially from Göztepe's side, supporting the Over 2.5 selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Eyüpspor Over 2.5
80%Göztepe Over 2.5
1.75H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 1.75, slightly below 2.5. However, recent form and season stats indicate an upward trend in goals, especially from Göztepe, suggesting this match could exceed the historical average and hit Over 2.5 Goals.

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