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AZ Picerno crestAZ Picerno
v
Cosenza crestCosenza

Serie C - Girone C | Mon 12 Oct, 19:30

AZ Picerno v Cosenza Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AZ Picerno hosts Cosenza in a Serie C - Girone C clash where both teams face contrasting fortunes. AZ Picerno sits comfortably in 8th place with 12 points, showing a more potent attack averaging 1.4 goals per game but conceding heavily at 2.4 per match. Cosenza struggles near the bottom with just 2 points and a modest 0.6 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.8. The tactical battle will likely see AZ Picerno pushing forward aggressively, while Cosenza aims to absorb pressure and counter. Recent form suggests a lively encounter with chances at both ends, setting the stage for a contest where both sides could find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • AZ Picerno scores and concedes frequently, with 80% BTTS rate recently
  • Cosenza has a lower BTTS rate at 40%, but concedes 1.8 goals per game
  • Recent matches between these teams average 2.5 goals, indicating openness
  • AZ Picerno’s recent form shows a high rate of over 2.5 goals matches (80%)
  • Model projects a 70% chance for both teams to score, with positive value at 1.83

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 70% probability for both teams to score, driven by AZ Picerno’s high scoring and conceding rates and Cosenza’s defensive vulnerabilities despite a lower scoring output. The recent form data supports an open game with AZ Picerno’s 80% BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates contrasting with Cosenza’s defensive frailties. The 2.5 average goals in their limited head-to-head meetings further underline the likelihood of goals at both ends. The current of 1.83 offer positive value without price warnings, making this a solid selection based on attacking and defensive patterns.

Model Chance69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
AZ Picerno BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Cosenza Goals Against1.8 per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Avg Goals2.5 goals
Positive
Odds Value Edge69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede, especially AZ Picerno, who play an attacking style that leaves defensive gaps. Cosenza’s struggles in attack are offset by their defensive resilience, but the data suggests both sides will find scoring chances. This BTTS pick aligns with tactical openness and recent scoring trends, making it a logical choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking intent of AZ Picerno combined with Cosenza’s defensive lapses creates a fertile ground for goals at both ends. Expect an open game where both teams will likely breach each other’s defenses.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

AZ Picerno scores and concedes frequently, with 80% BTTS rate recently

Cosenza has a lower BTTS rate at 40%, but concedes 1.8 goals per game

Recent matches between these teams average 2.5 goals, indicating openness

AZ Picerno’s recent form shows a high rate of over 2.5 goals matches (80%)

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two meetings, the average goals tally stands at 2.5, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • AZ Picerno’s recent 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Cosenza’s 20%, suggesting the home team’s attacking tempo drives goal-rich matches, supporting the BTTS pick through offensive pressure and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AZ Picerno1.4
Avg goals scored
Cosenza0.6
AZ Picerno2.4
Avg goals conceded
Cosenza1.8
AZ Picerno80%
BTTS rate
Cosenza40%
AZ Picerno80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cosenza20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Goal trends show AZ Picerno averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, with an 80% BTTS rate, highlighting their open play style. Cosenza’s lower scoring (0.6) but 1.8 goals conceded per game suggests defensive frailty. Their two previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Cosenza to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Cosenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
AZ Picerno Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
AZ Picerno to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The 69.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). AZ Picerno show a 80% BTTS rate and Cosenza show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AZ Picerno

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 4L
04 Oct 2026A Potenza2-4
26 Sep 2026H Audace Cerignola2-1
19 Sep 2026A Team Altamura1-2
15 Sep 2026H Catania2-4
12 Sep 2026A Sorrento0-1

Cosenza

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 6L
04 Oct 2026H Foggia0-2
26 Sep 2026A Bari0-1
19 Sep 2026H Scafatese1-1
15 Sep 2026A Giugliano2-5
12 Sep 2026H Cavese0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +5.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Cosenza to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Cosenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
AZ Picerno Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
AZ Picerno to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
AZ Picerno’s recent form includes a 3-point haul with an 80% BTTS and over 2.5 goals rate, indicating matches with multiple goals and open play. Cosenza’s form is weaker with 2 points and a 40% BTTS rate, but their defensive concessions keep the door open for goals. This contrast suggests a match where both teams can score despite differing form levels.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%AZ Picerno Over 2.5
20%Cosenza Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two meetings, the average goals tally stands at 2.5, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. AZ Picerno’s recent 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Cosenza’s 20%, suggesting the home team’s attacking tempo drives goal-rich matches, supporting the BTTS pick through offensive pressure and defensive gaps.

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