Legia Warszawa
Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa | Sun 11 Oct, 19:15
Legia Warszawa v Wisla Krakow Stats
Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Ekstraklasa clash features second-placed Legia Warszawa hosting fourth-placed Wisla Krakow in a tightly contested fixture. Both sides have shown solid attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game, but Wisla Krakow boasts a slightly better defensive record, conceding 0.8 goals per match compared to Legia's 1.2. Wisla Krakow's recent form includes 11 points from their last matches, indicating strong momentum. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Wisla's ability to absorb pressure and exploit counter-attacks, making this a competitive encounter with Wisla Krakow looking to secure a valuable away win.
Wisla Krakow to Win
- Wisla Krakow holds a 51.4% to win, with strong value at 3.3 .
- Wisla Krakow concedes fewer goals on average (0.8) than Legia Warszawa (1.2).
- Legia Warszawa has a 100% BTTS rate, but Wisla Krakow's BTTS rate is 60%, indicating a more balanced defensive approach.
- Top Wisla Krakow attacker J. Guillemenot averages 3.46 shots and shots on target per 90 minutes, posing a significant goal threat.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Wisla Krakow to win due to their superior defensive solidity and efficient attacking threat, particularly from key players like J. Guillemenot who consistently generates high-quality shots. Despite Legia Warszawa's strong home standing and attacking volume, Wisla Krakow's ability to limit goals conceded and capitalize on chances creates a compelling value opportunity at current . The data quality is robust, supporting in this selection without major caveats.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Wisla Krakow's disciplined defense and effective counter-attacking style make them a strong candidate for victory despite being away. Their recent form and key attacking players provide the necessary firepower to challenge Legia Warszawa, who have been less consistent defensively. This match could hinge on Wisla's ability to maintain defensive composure and exploit scoring opportunities.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Wisla Krakow to Win
“Wisla Krakow's defensive resilience combined with J. Guillemenot's attacking prowess creates a balanced threat that could unsettle Legia Warszawa's usually strong home form. Their tactical discipline and recent momentum make them a compelling pick for the win.”
Key Data Signals
Wisla Krakow to Win evidence
Wisla Krakow holds a 51.4% to win, with strong value at 3.3 .
Wisla Krakow concedes fewer goals on average (0.8) than Legia Warszawa (1.2).
Legia Warszawa has a 100% BTTS rate, but Wisla Krakow's BTTS rate is 60%, indicating a more balanced defensive approach.
Top Wisla Krakow attacker J. Guillemenot averages 3.46 shots and shots on target per 90 minutes, posing a significant goal threat.
What To Watch In The Data
Wisla Krakow to Win notes
- In the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, indicating a relatively open and attacking fixture historically.
- Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rate stands at 40%, suggesting a moderate tempo with chances for multiple goals, driven by transitions and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Legia Warszawa
Wisla Krakow
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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