Football Stats Hub

Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Fri 04 Sep, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Thu 03 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Dublin Premier Division clash features Shamrock Rovers, the league leaders, facing Bohemians, third in the table and on a strong winning streak. Rovers arrive after consecutive league defeats, missing key attacking players through injury, which places pressure on their youthful forwards. Bohemians have regained momentum with three straight wins, scoring nine goals, but their home form remains inconsistent with multiple draws. Both teams emphasize possession-based football, creating a tactical midfield battle that could limit scoring opportunities. The fixture carries significant title implications, with only three points separating the sides, setting the stage for a tense, tightly contested encounter under the lights.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers Win & Under 2.5 Goals

  • Shamrock Rovers seek response after back-to-back league losses and key attacking absences.
  • Bohemians have scored nine goals in their last three matches, showing attacking sharpness.
  • Both teams average 1.6 goals per game over their last ten league fixtures, indicating balanced scoring.
  • Bohemians’ home form includes four draws in six matches, suggesting difficulty converting control into wins.
  • Possession stats are nearly identical, forecasting a midfield battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Shamrock Rovers to win while keeping the total goals under 2.5, reflecting the tactical and form context. Despite recent defeats and injury setbacks, Rovers maintain a strong defensive record conceding just 1.0 goal per game and possess key attackers like Graham Burke and John McGovern who contribute significantly to goal threat and creativity. Bohemians’ recent scoring surge is tempered by their inconsistent home results and tendency for draws. The model sees value in Rovers’ resilience and structured play combined with a likely cautious, low-scoring match. No price warning applies, supporting a standard stake.

Model chance vs. implied odds18.7% chance vs. 16.7% implied odds
Positive
Shamrock Rovers defensive solidity1.0 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Bohemians home draws4 draws in last 6 home matches
Positive
Key player goal threatG. Burke 7 goals, 1.04 SOT/90
Strong positive
Recent form momentumBohemians 3 wins in last 3, Rovers 2 losses in last 2
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Shamrock Rovers are expected to leverage their defensive strength and experience to edge this tightly matched Dublin derby. Despite injury setbacks, their structured midfield and key attackers like Graham Burke provide a solid platform. Bohemians’ recent scoring form adds intrigue, but their home draws suggest difficulty breaking down resilient defenses. This match likely favors a narrow Rovers victory with limited goals.

Main risk

Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical discipline and key player influence

“Shamrock Rovers’ ability to maintain defensive composure under pressure and rely on key creators like Burke and McGovern makes them the slight favorites in a fixture where tactical discipline will limit scoring chances.”

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers Win & Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Shamrock Rovers seek response after back-to-back league losses and key attacking absences.

Bohemians have scored nine goals in their last three matches, showing attacking sharpness.

Both teams average 1.6 goals per game over their last ten league fixtures, indicating balanced scoring.

Bohemians’ home form includes four draws in six matches, suggesting difficulty converting control into wins.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers Win & Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, slightly above the league averages, indicating occasional openness.
  • However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a trend toward tighter scorelines.
  • Both teams’ recent matches show a high rate of under 2.5 goals, reflecting a tempo-controlled, possession-heavy style that limits goal-scoring opportunities, making an over 2.5 goals outcome less likely in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shamrock Rovers2.2
Avg goals scored
Bohemians2.4
Shamrock Rovers1.4
Avg goals conceded
Bohemians1.4
Shamrock Rovers80%
BTTS rate
Bohemians60%
Shamrock Rovers80%
Over 2.5 goals
Bohemians60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams average 1.6 goals per game over their last ten league matches, and Shamrock Rovers concede only 1.0 goal per game, supporting an under 3.5 goals and BTTS No scenario. The tactical emphasis on possession and midfield control suggests limited open-play chances, aligning with a cautious, low-scoring contest.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 58% · edge -2.2 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The 5/1 for Shamrock Rovers Win & Under 2.5 Goals reflect a slightly favorable value position, with the model assigning an 18.7% chance versus a 16.7% implied probability. This pricing rewards the combination of Rovers’ defensive resilience and the expected low-scoring nature of the match, making the market attractive without being overly short-priced.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shamrock Rovers2.5
Avg corners for
Bohemians5.5
Shamrock Rovers6.75
Avg total corners
Bohemians9.5
Shamrock Rovers2.75
Avg yellow cards
Bohemians0.75
Shamrock Rovers12.75
Avg shots
Bohemians16.25

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shamrock Rovers

DWDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
30 Aug 2026A Derry City3-3
07 Aug 2026H Dundalk3-2
31 Jul 2026A Drogheda United0-0
03 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-1
26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1

Bohemians

WWLDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
28 Aug 2026H Sligo Rovers3-0
21 Aug 2026H Derry City5-3
09 Aug 2026A Waterford1-3
02 Aug 2026H Galway United1-1
03 Jul 2026A Drogheda United2-0
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 74% · edge +1.4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Shamrock Rovers have suffered two consecutive league defeats after a strong run, indicating a recent dip in form and vulnerability, especially with missing senior attackers. Bohemians, conversely, have surged with three straight wins and nine goals scored, showing attacking . However, Bohemians’ home form includes multiple draws, suggesting difficulty converting control into wins. This recent form dynamic sets up a competitive match where Rovers seek to reassert control and Bohemians aim to maintain momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Shamrock Rovers wins
0Draws
6Bohemians wins
25 May 2026Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers1-2
17 Apr 2026Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-1
27 Feb 2026Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers3-2
26 Sep 2025Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-1
23 Jun 2025Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers2-0
21 Apr 2025Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-3
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 46% · edge +0.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The last ten head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians average 2.7 goals per game, showing moderate scoring but not excessive openness. Historical results reflect a competitive rivalry with balanced outcomes. While past meetings suggest potential for goals, current tactical and form factors point toward a more cautious encounter, making the H2H data a useful background but less decisive than recent team dynamics.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers28
Played
Bohemians29
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Avg goals for
Bohemians1.7
Shamrock Rovers1
Avg goals against
Bohemians1.2
Shamrock Rovers10
Clean sheets
Bohemians11
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 58% · edge -2.2 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per game across the season, highlighting balanced offensive capabilities. Shamrock Rovers concede fewer goals (1.4 per game) than Bohemians (also 1.4), but Rovers’ defensive discipline is notable given their league-leading status. Possession statistics are nearly identical, reflecting similar tactical approaches focused on control and patient build-up. These season-long stats support a close, low-scoring match with Shamrock Rovers’ defensive edge likely decisive.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Shamrock Rovers5528167519
3Bohemians5029148716
Shamrock Rovers lead the Premier Division with 55 points, just three ahead of third-placed Bohemians on 50 points. This narrow gap intensifies the stakes, with Rovers aiming to maintain their lead and Bohemians pushing to close the distance. The standings pressure adds urgency and heightens the tactical caution expected, as both sides seek to avoid costly mistakes in a pivotal title race encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
60%Bohemians Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, slightly above the league averages, indicating occasional openness. However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a trend toward tighter scorelines. Both teams’ recent matches show a high rate of under 2.5 goals, reflecting a tempo-controlled, possession-heavy style that limits goal-scoring opportunities, making an over 2.5 goals outcome less likely in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.