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Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Mon 12 Oct, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 18:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers face Bohemians in Premier Division on Mon 12 Oct, 20:00. Bohemians have found excellent rhythm, scoring nine goals across three consecutive league wins. Bohemians enter with a strong three-game winning run, matching the historical performance of top division leaders who hit minor form speedbumps.

BT4Y lean · price warning

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes

  • At 2.2, S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park.
  • Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers.
  • Bohemians have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Bohemians sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 46% while the model sits nearer 27% (-18.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.67.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers. Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Negative
Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shamrock Rovers Win is the preferred angle because bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers. Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Main risk

Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Key Data Signals

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes evidence

Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount.

Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers.

Bohemians have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Shamrock Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Bohemians sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shamrock Rovers1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Bohemians3
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Bohemians1.4
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    BTTS rate
    Bohemians80%
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bohemians100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 87%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 46% · edge -18.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Shamrock Rovers to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shamrock Rovers

    WWLDD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 4D 1L
    08 Oct 2026H Drogheda United3-1
    18 Sep 2026H Waterford3-2
    11 Sep 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    04 Sep 2026H Shelbourne0-0
    30 Aug 2026A Derry City3-3

    Bohemians

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 1D 1L
    02 Oct 2026A Dundalk2-1
    18 Sep 2026H Drogheda United2-1
    11 Sep 2026A Galway United3-2
    28 Aug 2026H Sligo Rovers3-0
    21 Aug 2026H Derry City5-3
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 46% · edge -18.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
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    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    100%Bohemians Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% and Bohemians sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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