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Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Mon 12 Oct, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Thu 24 Sep 2026, 11:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers face Bohemians in Premier Division on Mon 12 Oct, 20:00. Bohemians have found excellent rhythm, scoring nine goals across three consecutive league wins. Bohemians enter with a strong three-game winning run, matching the historical performance of top division leaders who hit minor form speedbumps.

BT4Y lean · price warning

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 46%, above the 27% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 2.2, S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park.
  • Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes angle more than a raw possession.
Price warning

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 46% while the model sits nearer 27% (-18.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.67.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers. Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Negative
Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shamrock Rovers Win is the preferred angle because bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount Park. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers. Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Main risk

Nine goals in three games tells its own story, but the manner of the performances matters too.

Key Data Signals

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes evidence

Bohemians have struggled to finish matches cleanly at home, drawing four of their last six games at Dalymount.

Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Shamrock Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Shamrock Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shamrock Rovers sit 2 in the table, while Bohemians sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Shamrock Rovers4.8
    Avg corners for
    Bohemians8
    Shamrock Rovers9.6
    Avg total corners
    Bohemians10.8
    Shamrock Rovers2.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Bohemians0.8
    Shamrock Rovers12.6
    Avg shots
    Bohemians22

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shamrock Rovers1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Bohemians2.8
    Shamrock Rovers1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Bohemians1.8
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    BTTS rate
    Bohemians80%
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bohemians100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 46% · edge -18.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Shamrock Rovers to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shamrock Rovers

    WLDDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 4D 1L
    18 Sep 2026H Waterford3-2
    11 Sep 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    04 Sep 2026H Shelbourne0-0
    30 Aug 2026A Derry City3-3
    07 Aug 2026H Dundalk3-2

    Bohemians

    WWWWL
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    18 Sep 2026H Drogheda United2-1
    11 Sep 2026A Galway United3-2
    28 Aug 2026H Sligo Rovers3-0
    21 Aug 2026H Derry City5-3
    09 Aug 2026A Waterford1-3
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 46% · edge -18.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Shamrock Rovers wins
    0Draws
    6Bohemians wins
    25 May 2026Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers1-2
    17 Apr 2026Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-1
    27 Feb 2026Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers3-2
    26 Sep 2025Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-1
    23 Jun 2025Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers2-0
    21 Apr 2025Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians2-3
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 46% · edge -18.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Shamrock Rovers to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Shamrock Rovers31
    Played
    Bohemians31
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Avg goals for
    Bohemians1.8
    Shamrock Rovers1
    Avg goals against
    Bohemians1.2
    Shamrock Rovers11
    Clean sheets
    Bohemians11
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 46% · edge -18.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.72
    Check odds @ 1.72
    Season data supports Shamrock Rovers to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Shamrock Rovers5931178618
    3Bohemians5631168718
    Shamrock Rovers sit in position 2, while Bohemians sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the S carry high baseline volatility because they require absolute precision over ninety minutes assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    100%Bohemians Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% and Bohemians sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.