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GKS Katowice crestGKS Katowice
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Wieczysta Kraków crestWieczysta Kraków

Ekstraklasa | Mon 12 Oct, 19:30

GKS Katowice v Wieczysta Kraków Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków meet in an Ekstraklasa clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. GKS Katowice, positioned fifth, have shown a potent offense but a leaky defense, conceding an average of two goals per game. Wieczysta Kraków, lower in the table, have struggled to keep clean sheets and score consistently. Both teams' recent matches suggest an open game with multiple goal opportunities, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter under floodlights on 12 October.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • GKS Katowice have a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Wieczysta Kraków's defensive record shows 1.4 goals conceded per game, suggesting vulnerability at the back.
  • Both teams average over 16 shots per match, reflecting offensive pressure and chance creation.
  • Top attackers like Jakub Kokosinski and I. Shkurin provide significant goal threat for GKS Katowice.
  • Wieczysta Kraków's attackers, including S. Feiertag, contribute to goal opportunities, supporting an open game scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 56% chance, exceeding the implied market chance of 45.5%. GKS Katowice's perfect recent over 2.5 goals rate and strong attacking stats, combined with Wieczysta Kraków's defensive frailties and offensive efforts, create conditions for a high-scoring match. The presence of prolific shooters and frequent shots on target from key players further supports the likelihood of multiple goals. The data quality is solid, with comprehensive stats for both teams enhancing in this selection.

Model Chance56% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+10.5 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance56% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+10.5 pts)
Strong positive
GKS Katowice Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Wieczysta Kraków Defensive Record1.4 goals conceded per game
Positive
Shots per Game (Both Teams)33.6 combined average
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as GKS Katowice's offensive firepower meets Wieczysta Kraków's defensive vulnerabilities. The statistical trends and player shot volumes suggest multiple goal-scoring opportunities, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features teams with contrasting defensive records but shared attacking ambition, setting up a likely goal-fest. The volume of shots and key attacking players on both sides underlines the potential for a high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

GKS Katowice have a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Wieczysta Kraków's defensive record shows 1.4 goals conceded per game, suggesting vulnerability at the back.

Both teams average over 16 shots per match, reflecting offensive pressure and chance creation.

Top attackers like Jakub Kokosinski and I. Shkurin provide significant goal threat for GKS Katowice.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In recent matches and available data samples, Over 2.5 Goals has been a frequent outcome for GKS Katowice, with a 100% rate in recent games.
  • Wieczysta Kraków's lower rate tempers this slightly, but combined attacking efforts and defensive gaps suggest a fast tempo and multiple goal chances, making a high total goals count likely.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

GKS Katowice2.2
Avg goals scored
Wieczysta Kraków1.2
GKS Katowice2
Avg goals conceded
Wieczysta Kraków1.4
GKS Katowice80%
BTTS rate
Wieczysta Kraków40%
GKS Katowice100%
Over 2.5 goals
Wieczysta Kraków40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form shows GKS Katowice averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, with 80% BTTS rate, while Wieczysta Kraków scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4 with 40% BTTS. This suggests a match prone to multiple goals and at least one team scoring, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals outlook.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGKS Katowice to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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GKS Katowice Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 56% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 45.5% implied by the current price (+10.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for GKS Katowice and 40% for Wieczysta Kraków, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

GKS Katowice

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 4L
09 Oct 2026A Raków Częstochowa4-1
19 Sep 2026H Cracovia Krakow3-2
12 Sep 2026A Zaglebie Lubin1-2
04 Sep 2026A Piast Gliwice0-3
30 Aug 2026A Gornik Zabrze3-2

Wieczysta Kraków

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 5L
09 Oct 2026H Wisla Plock3-0
18 Sep 2026A Widzew Łódź2-2
13 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin0-2
07 Sep 2026H Zaglebie Lubin1-1
29 Aug 2026A Wisla Krakow0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 75% · edge +10.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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GKS Katowice to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2
Check odds @ 2
GKS Katowice Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
GKS Katowice's recent matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, demonstrating a pattern of open, high-scoring games. Wieczysta Kraków's form is less prolific but still includes matches with multiple goals. This recent trend aligns well with the Over 3.5 Goals pick, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive challenges.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%GKS Katowice Over 2.5
40%Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches and available data samples, Over 2.5 Goals has been a frequent outcome for GKS Katowice, with a 100% rate in recent games. Wieczysta Kraków's lower rate tempers this slightly, but combined attacking efforts and defensive gaps suggest a fast tempo and multiple goal chances, making a high total goals count likely.

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