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IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg
v
Halmstad crestHalmstad

Allsvenskan | Mon 12 Oct, 18:00

IF Elfsborg v Halmstad Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Elfsborg hosts Halmstad in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where both teams seek vital points. Elfsborg, positioned fourth, aims to consolidate their playoff push, while Halmstad, struggling near the bottom, fights to avoid relegation. Recent matches show both sides capable of scoring but also conceding, suggesting an open game with tactical emphasis on attack and defensive resilience. The fixture promises intensity with Elfsborg's home advantage and Halmstad's need to respond, setting the stage for a contest where both teams are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams average 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Elfsborg scores 1.4 goals per game and concedes 0.8, showing attacking strength and some defensive vulnerability.
  • Halmstad averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match, reflecting openness at both ends.
  • Recent form shows Elfsborg with 10 points and Halmstad with 7 points from their last five games, both scoring regularly.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, well above the 52.4% implied by current , offering a strong of 20.9%. Both sides demonstrate consistent attacking output and defensive lapses, with Elfsborg's 60% BTTS rate and Halmstad's similar figure reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The attacking roles of players like M. Carneil further enhance scoring potential. No data limitations affect , making this a robust selection based on balanced offensive and defensive profiles.

Model Probability67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent BTTS Rates60% for both teams
Positive
Player Attacking ProfilesStrong goal threat from key attackers
Positive
Data QualityComplete data sets for both teams
Strong positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking balance and defensive lapses on both sides make this fixture ripe for goals from each team. Expect Elfsborg's creative midfielders and Halmstad's forward line to break through, underpinning the BTTS selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams average 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Elfsborg scores 1.4 goals per game and concedes 0.8, showing attacking strength and some defensive vulnerability.

Halmstad averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match, reflecting openness at both ends.

Recent form shows Elfsborg with 10 points and Halmstad with 7 points from their last five games, both scoring regularly.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a relatively high-scoring trend.
  • This suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline.
  • Such trends support an expectation of an open game with goals from both sides, aligning with the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Elfsborg1.4
Avg goals scored
Halmstad1
IF Elfsborg0.8
Avg goals conceded
Halmstad1.2
IF Elfsborg60%
BTTS rate
Halmstad60%
IF Elfsborg40%
Over 2.5 goals
Halmstad40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by Elfsborg's 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, and Halmstad's 1.0 goals scored with 1.2 conceded. The average 2.9 goals in their last 10 meetings further confirms an open game with goals expected at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS angle.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Halmstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Halmstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
IF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 67.4% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). IF Elfsborg show a 60% BTTS rate and Halmstad show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Elfsborg

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Djurgardens IF2-1
13 Sep 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
06 Sep 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-2
29 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
23 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg1-1

Halmstad

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
20 Sep 2026H AIK Stockholm2-1
12 Sep 2026A IFK Goteborg1-2
05 Sep 2026A Degerfors IF0-2
29 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
22 Aug 2026A Orgryte IS1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Halmstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.65
Check odds @ 4.65
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Halmstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
IF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Recent form data shows Elfsborg earning 10 points with 1.4 goals scored per game and a 60% BTTS rate, while Halmstad has 7 points, scoring 1 goal per match with an identical BTTS rate. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede in recent matches, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
40%Halmstad Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a relatively high-scoring trend. This suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline. Such trends support an expectation of an open game with goals from both sides, aligning with the BTTS selection.

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