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Malmo FF crestMalmo FF
v
Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF

Allsvenskan | Mon 12 Oct, 18:00

Malmo FF v Kalmar FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Malmo FF visits Guldfågeln Arena to face Kalmar FF in a clash where home strength meets a potent away attack. Kalmar FF boasts a formidable home record with four consecutive wins, leveraging creative players like Charles Sagoe Jr and Charlie Rosenqvist to press their advantage. Malmo FF, despite sitting higher in the league, have shown defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding 1.8 goals per match recently. Both teams possess attacking firepower but defensive frailties suggest a match ripe for goals at both ends, setting the stage for an open and tactical contest with high stakes for both sides.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 57%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Malmo FF averages 2.1 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per game, indicating open play.
  • Kalmar FF has won all 13 points at home with a current four-game winning streak.
  • Malmo FF faces 14.1 attempts and 5.5 shots on target per game, offering Kalmar attacking chances.
  • Kalmar FF’s Charles Sagoe Jr has six assists, providing creative threat to break down Malmo’s defense.
Price warning

Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 57% while the model sits nearer 33% (-23.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Malmo FF to Win shows a +15 pts edge at 1.73.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The Both Teams to Score pick is football-led rather than value-driven, as the (33.3%) is significantly below the market implied chance (59.9%), indicating a short price. The tactical context supports goals at both ends: Malmo FF’s strong attack is offset by defensive fragility, while Kalmar FF’s home form and attacking creativity suggest they can breach Malmo’s defense. Reduced staking or waiting for drift is advised due to the negative . Improved line-ups or late tactical news could enhance the value case.

Malmo FF attack and defense balanceStrong scoring (2.1 goals/game) but concedes 1.8 goals/game
Strong positive
Kalmar FF home formFour consecutive home wins, solid attacking output
Positive
Market price vs model chance33.3% model chance vs 57.1% implied (-23.8 pts)
Negative
Main risk

They have shown enough quality to compete, but not enough consistency to build sustained momentum.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Kalmar’s home control combined with Malmo’s attacking potency creates a compelling scenario for goals at both ends. Defensive fragilities on both sides mean this fixture is likely to be open and competitive, rewarding a Both Teams to Score approach.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Malmo FF averages 2.1 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per game, indicating open play.

Kalmar FF has won all 13 points at home with a current four-game winning streak.

Malmo FF faces 14.1 attempts and 5.5 shots on target per game, offering Kalmar attacking chances.

Kalmar FF’s Charles Sagoe Jr has six assists, providing creative threat to break down Malmo’s defense.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last ten meetings between these teams average 2.1 goals per game, with recent matches including a 2-2 draw at Guldfågeln Arena.
  • Both sides have shown tendencies for open play and goal-scoring chances in recent fixtures, supporting the trend for Over 2.5 goals and reinforcing the tactical expectation of an attacking, goal-filled encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Malmo FF1
Avg goals scored
Kalmar FF0
Malmo FF1.2
Avg goals conceded
Kalmar FF1.6
Malmo FF20%
BTTS rate
Kalmar FF0%
Malmo FF40%
Over 2.5 goals
Kalmar FF20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 57% · edge -23.8 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Malmo FF’s average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game combined with Kalmar FF’s potent home attack and recent four-match winning streak underpin a high probability of goals from both sides. The tactical setups, with Malmo’s offensive focus and Kalmar’s creative players like Sagoe Jr, support a scenario where both teams find the net.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Malmo FF v Kalmar FFcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 57% · edge -23.8 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Malmo FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Kalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The 33.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (-23.8 pts). Malmo FF show a 20% BTTS rate and Kalmar FF show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams to Score (Yes).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Malmo FF

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
19 Sep 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-2
13 Sep 2026H Orgryte IS4-1
07 Sep 2026H AIK Stockholm0-0
31 Aug 2026A Sirius1-0
24 Aug 2026H Djurgardens IF0-3

Kalmar FF

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
20 Sep 2026H BK Hacken0-5
13 Sep 2026A IF Elfsborg0-1
07 Sep 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1
29 Aug 2026A Halmstad0-1
23 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-0
Best odds for this sectionMalmo FF to WinBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Kalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form data shows Malmo FF scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.2 per game in their last matches, while Kalmar FF has struggled to score recently but concedes 1.6 goals per game. Malmo’s 40% rate of matches over 2.5 goals and 20% BTTS rate contrast with Kalmar’s lower offensive output but strong home performances, indicating a match where both teams are likely to score despite Kalmar’s recent scoring dips away from home.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Malmo FF Over 2.5
20%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The last ten meetings between these teams average 2.1 goals per game, with recent matches including a 2-2 draw at Guldfågeln Arena. Both sides have shown tendencies for open play and goal-scoring chances in recent fixtures, supporting the trend for Over 2.5 goals and reinforcing the tactical expectation of an attacking, goal-filled encounter.

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