Football Stats Hub

HJK Helsinki crestHJK Helsinki
v
Ilves crestIlves

Suomen Cup | Wed 01 Jul, 17:00

HJK Helsinki v Ilves Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 15:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

HJK Helsinki face Ilves in Suomen Cup on Wed 01 Jul, 17:00. Ilves' high seasonal average of 3.64 total goals heavily suggests an open, high-scoring game at the Bolt Arena. Form, Chaos, and Emotional Dynamics HJK's historical dominance combined with their solid 55 per cent ball possession makes them highly clear home favorites over Ilves.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score

  • At 4/9, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 69%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • The Both Teams to Score market requires each competing side to score at least one goal within the standard 90-minute period plus stoppage time.
  • HJK Helsinki show a 67% BTTS rate and Ilves show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • HJK Helsinki average 7.33 goals scored and Ilves average 3.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 69% implied by the current price. HJK Helsinki show a 67% BTTS rate and Ilves show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams to Score market requires each competing side to score at least one goal within the standard 90-minute period plus stoppage time.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 69% implied
Neutral
HJK Helsinki show a 67% BTTS rate and Ilves show.Visible data support
Positive
HJK Helsinki average 7.33 goals scored and Ilves average 3.33.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams to Score market requires each competing.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams to Score market requires each competing side to score at least one goal within the standard 90-minute period plus stoppage time. HJK Helsinki show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Ilves show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, their was brutally shattered on the 27th of June when they suffered a humiliating 0-4 thrashing at the hands of KuPS.

Main risk

However, their was brutally shattered on the 27th of June when they suffered a humiliating 0-4 thrashing at the hands of KuPS.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

The Both Teams to Score market requires each competing side to score at least one goal within the.

HJK Helsinki show a 67% BTTS rate and Ilves show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

HJK Helsinki average 7.33 goals scored and Ilves average 3.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

HJK Helsinki7.33
Avg goals scored
Ilves3.33
HJK Helsinki0.67
Avg goals conceded
Ilves0.67
HJK Helsinki67%
BTTS rate
Ilves33%
HJK Helsinki100%
Over 2.5 goals
Ilves67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 67% for HJK Helsinki and 33% for Ilves, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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HJK Helsinki to WinBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
HJK Helsinki Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Ilves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Ilves to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

HJK Helsinki

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
09 Jun 2026A Honka7-1
26 May 2026H MyPa11-1
13 May 2026A Rops4-0

Ilves

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
10 Jun 2026H Lahti5-2
27 May 2026H Turku PS1-0
13 May 2026A P-Iirot4-0
Best odds for this sectionHJK Helsinki to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 63% · edge +10.7 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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HJK Helsinki Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Ilves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Ilves to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2HJK Helsinki wins
4Draws
4Ilves wins
16 May 2026HJK Helsinki v Ilves2-2
30 Oct 2025Ilves v HJK Helsinki3-1
29 Sep 2025HJK Helsinki v Ilves2-2
11 Aug 2025HJK Helsinki v Ilves5-1
05 Apr 2025Ilves v HJK Helsinki3-2
28 Sep 2024HJK Helsinki v Ilves0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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HJK Helsinki to WinBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Ilves to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Suomen Cup

HJK Helsinki4
Played
Ilves4
HJK Helsinki6
Avg goals for
Ilves2.8
HJK Helsinki0.8
Avg goals against
Ilves1
HJK Helsinki1
Clean sheets
Ilves2
Best odds for this sectionHJK Helsinki to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 63% · edge +10.7 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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HJK Helsinki Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Ilves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Ilves to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season data supports HJK Helsinki to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%HJK Helsinki Over 2.5
67%Ilves Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: HJK Helsinki sit at 100% and Ilves sit at 67% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.