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Penicuik Athletic crestPenicuik Athletic
v
Clyde crestClyde

FA Cup | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Penicuik Athletic v Clyde Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The FA Cup tie between Penicuik Athletic and Clyde sets up an intriguing clash where attacking intent could dominate. Penicuik Athletic have shown a strong recent tendency for high-scoring games, netting three goals in their last outing and featuring in matches with over 2.5 goals 100% of the time recently. Clyde's data is limited, but the cup setting often encourages open play and goal opportunities as teams seek progression. This fixture promises an open contest with potential for multiple goals, reflecting the attacking momentum and stakes involved in knockout football.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Penicuik Athletic's last match featured 3 goals, with a 100% recent rate of games over 2.5 goals.
  • Clyde's limited data suggests uncertainty, but cup matches often see open, attacking play.
  • The model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, indicating a moderately strong likelihood.
  • The current of 1.92 offer a small positive on over 3.5 goals.
  • Recent form and match context both point to a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, reflecting Penicuik Athletic's recent high-scoring matches and the open nature of cup ties. The 1.92 imply a 52.1% chance, offering a positive of nearly 6%. Despite limited data on Clyde, the attacking momentum from Penicuik Athletic and the knockout stakes support a game with multiple goals. The model at 64% reinforces this as a solid selection without major price warnings or data concerns.

Penicuik Athletic recent scoringHigh (100% over 2.5 rate)
Strong positive
Cup match attacking contextEncourages open play
Positive
Odds vs model chance58% model chance vs 52.1% implied (+5.9 pts)
Positive
Data quality on ClydeLimited data available
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking FA Cup fixture where Penicuik Athletic's recent goal-scoring form meets Clyde's unknown defensive profile. The likelihood of multiple goals is supported by recent trends and the nature of knockout football, making Over 3.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice for this match.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“This FA Cup tie looks set for an entertaining, high-scoring contest given Penicuik Athletic's recent offensive output and the natural openness of cup football at this level.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Penicuik Athletic's last match featured 3 goals, with a 100% recent rate of games over 2.5 goals.

Clyde's limited data suggests uncertainty, but cup matches often see open, attacking play.

The model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, indicating a moderately strong likelihood.

The current of 1.92 offer a small positive on over 3.5 goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the recent matches involving Penicuik Athletic, there is a clear trend of games exceeding 2.5 goals, with a 100% rate in their last fixtures.
  • This trend, combined with the FA Cup's typically open tempo and attacking emphasis, suggests a high probability of goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Penicuik Athletic

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
03 Oct 2026H Kilwinning Rangers3-1

Clyde

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Clyde yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 35% · edge +12.7 pts
2.83
Check odds @ 2.83
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Penicuik Athletic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Clyde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Clyde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Penicuik Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 19%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
Penicuik Athletic's recent form strongly supports a high-scoring game, with their last match producing three goals and a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent outings. Clyde's form data is limited, but the knockout nature of the FA Cup often leads to open matches where teams prioritize attack, reinforcing the expectation of multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Penicuik Athletic3
Avg goals scored
Clyde-
Penicuik Athletic1
Avg goals conceded
Clyde-
Penicuik Athletic100%
BTTS rate
Clyde-
Penicuik Athletic100%
Over 2.5 goals
Clyde-
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.9 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
Penicuik Athletic's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, indicating a pattern of open games with defensive vulnerabilities. Although Clyde's data is sparse, the FA Cup setting typically encourages offensive play, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS scenarios in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 73% · edge +5.5 pts
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
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Penicuik Athletic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Clyde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Clyde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Penicuik Athletic to WinBetfred guide price · model 19%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 52.1% implied by the current price (+5.9 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Penicuik Athletic Over 2.5
-Clyde Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent matches involving Penicuik Athletic, there is a clear trend of games exceeding 2.5 goals, with a 100% rate in their last fixtures. This trend, combined with the FA Cup's typically open tempo and attacking emphasis, suggests a high probability of goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this match.

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