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Cucuta crestCucuta
v
Águilas Doradas crestÁguilas Doradas

Primera A | Tue 27 Oct, 23:00

Cucuta v Águilas Doradas Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 10:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cucuta hosts Águilas Doradas in a crucial Primera A clash where both teams are fighting for valuable points late in the season. Cucuta holds a slight edge in recent form and league position, sitting 9th with 21 points compared to Águilas Doradas' 11th place and 19 points. Cucuta's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while their defense concedes fewer goals. Águilas Doradas rely on a slightly more open style, which could favor Cucuta's home advantage and tactical discipline in this tight contest.

BT4Y best bet

Cucuta to Win

  • Cucuta leads the league standings narrowly with 21 points versus 19 for Águilas Doradas.
  • Cucuta averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per game, showing solid defense.
  • Águilas Doradas have a higher BTTS rate (60%) but lower over 2.5 goals rate (40%) compared to Cucuta.
  • Cucuta's recent form includes 12 points from last matches, indicating momentum.
  • Cucuta's attack is supported by multiple players with strong shot and goal threat metrics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cucuta to win with a 63.8% chance, reflecting their stronger recent form and more efficient defense. Cucuta's home advantage and superior goal difference underpin this . The at 2.5 offer positive value given the implied chance of 40%, making this a solid pick. Player-level data shows Cucuta's attackers like J. Hernández consistently generate shots and scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of a home victory. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Recent FormCucuta has 12 points recently vs. Águilas Doradas' 8
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthCucuta concedes 0.8 goals per game vs. 1.0 for Águilas Doradas
Positive
Goal ThreatMultiple Cucuta players with strong shot and goal metrics
Positive
Market ValueOdds at 2.5 imply 40% chance vs. model 63.8%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cucuta's recent form and defensive solidity make them the tactical favorite to secure victory against Águilas Doradas. Their ability to control the game and create quality chances is supported by player data showing consistent attacking threat. This combination of form and player performance underpins in a home win.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cucuta's balance of solid defense and multiple attacking threats positions them well to capitalize on home advantage and pressure Águilas Doradas, who have struggled defensively in recent matches.”

Key Data Signals

Cucuta to Win evidence

Cucuta leads the league standings narrowly with 21 points versus 19 for Águilas Doradas.

Cucuta averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per game, showing solid defense.

Águilas Doradas have a higher BTTS rate (60%) but lower over 2.5 goals rate (40%) compared to Cucuta.

Cucuta's recent form includes 12 points from last matches, indicating momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Cucuta to Win notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.75, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals.
  • Cucuta's 60% over 2.5 goals rate compared to Águilas Doradas' 40% suggests this fixture may see enough attacking intent to surpass 2.5 goals, driven by Cucuta's offensive consistency.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cucuta1.8
Avg goals scored
Águilas Doradas1.4
Cucuta0.8
Avg goals conceded
Águilas Doradas1
Cucuta40%
BTTS rate
Águilas Doradas60%
Cucuta60%
Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Cucuta averages 1.8 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate, while Águilas Doradas score 1.4 per game but have a higher 60% BTTS rate. This suggests a moderate likelihood of goals from both sides but a stronger chance of a home win with controlled scoring rather than an open high-scoring game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cucuta

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
25 Oct 2026A America de Cali1-3
21 Oct 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0
12 Oct 2026A Chico1-0
04 Oct 2026H Deportivo Pereira4-0
27 Sep 2026H Llaneros2-1

Águilas Doradas

LWDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
24 Oct 2026A Junior0-1
18 Oct 2026H Deportes Tolima2-1
14 Oct 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
10 Oct 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-2
03 Oct 2026H Jaguares2-0
Market aligned with main pickCucuta to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Cucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Cucuta's recent form is superior, having earned 12 points compared to Águilas Doradas' 8 in recent matches. This momentum, combined with a tighter defense conceding fewer goals, indicates Cucuta is better positioned to control the match and secure a win at home.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCucuta to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Cucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The 55% for Cucuta to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cucuta have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Águilas Doradas.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cucuta Over 2.5
40%Águilas Doradas Over 2.5
3.75H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.75, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Cucuta's 60% over 2.5 goals rate compared to Águilas Doradas' 40% suggests this fixture may see enough attacking intent to surpass 2.5 goals, driven by Cucuta's offensive consistency.

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