Football Stats Hub

Sweden crestSweden
v
Greece crestGreece

Friendlies | Thu 04 Jun, 18:00

Sweden v Greece Stats

Data last updated: Wed 03 Jun 2026, 04:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sweden hosts Greece in a friendly that serves as a final World Cup preparation for Sweden and a rebuilding opportunity for Greece. Sweden, under Graham Potter, have struggled defensively, conceding 11 goals in five matches without a clean sheet, but maintain a strong attack averaging 1.6 goals per game, boosted by the return of Alexander Isak. Greece, despite recent goal droughts, average 1.8 goals over their last ten matches and bring a youthful squad eager to prove themselves. Both sides have reasons to push for goals, setting the stage for an open and competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sweden have conceded 11 goals in five matches under Graham Potter, failing to keep a clean sheet.
  • Sweden average 1.6 goals per game, with Alexander Isak returning to lead the attack.
  • Greece average 1.8 goals per match over their last ten games despite recent scoring struggles.
  • Recent head-to-head matches, including a 2-1 Sweden home win, suggest competitive, goal-filled games.
  • Sweden's matches average 3.4 total goals, indicating open play and defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick reflects Sweden's defensive vulnerabilities under Graham Potter, having conceded 11 goals in five matches without a clean sheet, alongside their consistent attacking output averaging 1.6 goals per game. Greece, while experiencing recent scoring difficulties, maintain a solid 1.8 goals per match average over ten games, indicating offensive capability. Despite the being below the market implied probability, the tactical context and player quality, including Alexander Isak's return, support the likelihood of goals at both ends. Given the short price, a reduced stake is advised, awaiting potential price drift or stronger line-up confirmations.

Sweden Defensive Record11 goals conceded in 5 matches, 0 clean sheets
Strong positive
Sweden Attacking Output1.6 goals per game average
Positive
Greece Scoring Average1.8 goals per match over last 10
Positive
Market Price vs Model ChanceImplied chance 57.1% vs model chance 33.8%
Negative
Alexander Isak ReturnKey attacking presence expected to start
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have attacking quality but defensive lapses make goals likely at both ends. Sweden's ongoing struggles to keep clean sheets combined with Greece's offensive potential create a scenario where both sides scoring is a realistic outcome. This bet captures the tactical openness and player strengths shaping this friendly.

Main risk

The main risk is the short market price compared to the , suggesting the bet is price-sensitive and requires cautious staking or waiting for better before committing fully.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Sweden's defensive fragility under Potter and Greece's need to rediscover scoring form set up a fixture ripe for goals at both ends, making the BTTS market a compelling football-led choice despite the short price.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sweden have conceded 11 goals in five matches under Graham Potter, failing to keep a clean sheet.

Sweden average 1.6 goals per game, with Alexander Isak returning to lead the attack.

Greece average 1.8 goals per match over their last ten games despite recent scoring struggles.

Recent head-to-head matches, including a 2-1 Sweden home win, suggest competitive, goal-filled games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.33, with recent encounters featuring competitive scorelines including a 2-1 Sweden home win.
  • Sweden's recent ten-match average of 3.4 goals per game reflects a high-tempo, open style conducive to over 2.5 goals.
  • These trends suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals and attacking intent from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sweden1
Avg goals scored
Greece0
Sweden3
Avg goals conceded
Greece0.5
Sweden100%
BTTS rate
Greece0%
Sweden100%
Over 2.5 goals
Greece0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Sweden's matches have averaged 3.4 goals over their last ten games, highlighting an open style with defensive vulnerabilities. Greece maintain a 1.8 goals per match average despite recent scoring droughts, indicating offensive capability. The combination of Sweden's defensive lapses and Greece's attacking potential supports the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Greece Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Sweden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.75, implying a 57.1% chance, which is notably higher than the model's 33.8% probability. This discrepancy reflects market in an open game but signals a price-sensitive selection. The current suggest limited value, recommending cautious staking and monitoring for price improvements or line-up confirmations to enhance value.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sweden1
Avg corners for
Greece8
Sweden7
Avg total corners
Greece11
Sweden1
Avg yellow cards
Greece2
Sweden9
Avg shots
Greece10
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -3.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Sweden average fewer corners (1) compared to Greece (8), suggesting Greece may exert more wide pressure and set-piece opportunities. Sweden's shots on target average 5 per game, reflecting active attacking play, while Greece average 3 shots on target, indicating some offensive threat. Card averages are moderate, with Greece showing slightly higher yellow card rates, hinting at a competitive and physical encounter.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sweden

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
01 Jun 2026A Norway1-3

Greece

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
31 Mar 2026A Hungary0-0
27 Mar 2026H Paraguay0-1
Best odds for this sectionGreece Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 43% · edge +17.1 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Sweden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Sweden to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form shows Sweden conceding 3 goals in their last match while scoring once, with a 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rate, indicating open games. Greece have kept clean sheets in recent matches but have a 0% BTTS rate, reflecting recent scoring struggles. This contrast suggests Sweden's defensive issues may allow Greece to score, while Sweden's attack remains potent, supporting the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Sweden wins
0Draws
1Greece wins
12 Oct 2021Sweden v Greece2-0
08 Sep 2021Greece v Sweden2-1
10 Jun 2008Greece v Sweden0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Sweden to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
The recent head-to-head record between Sweden and Greece includes three matches averaging 2.33 goals per game, with Sweden winning the last meeting 2-1 at home. This balanced and competitive history supports the expectation of goals from both teams, though the sample size is limited, so current form and tactical context carry more weight in predicting the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Sweden1
Played
Greece2
Sweden1
Avg goals for
Greece0
Sweden3
Avg goals against
Greece0.5
Sweden0
Clean sheets
Greece1
Best odds for this sectionGreece Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 43% · edge +17.1 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Sweden Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Sweden to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Season-long data reveals Sweden's matches average 3.4 goals, with Sweden scoring 1.6 per game but conceding heavily, reflecting an open and attacking style with defensive frailties. Greece's 1.8 goals per match average over ten games indicates consistent offensive output despite recent droughts. These season stats align with an expectation of goals from both sides in this friendly.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sweden Over 2.5
0%Greece Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.33, with recent encounters featuring competitive scorelines including a 2-1 Sweden home win. Sweden's recent ten-match average of 3.4 goals per game reflects a high-tempo, open style conducive to over 2.5 goals. These trends suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals and attacking intent from both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sweden v Greece prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Haiti v New ZealandFriendlies · Wed 03 Jun 01:00Philippines v GuamFriendlies · Wed 03 Jun 12:30Kyrgyzstan v KenyaFriendlies · Wed 03 Jun 15:30Croatia U21 v Qatar U20Friendlies · Wed 03 Jun 16:30

Competition and hubs

Friendlies hubmore Friendlies analysisfull betting preview for Sweden v Greececorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre