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RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Santos crestSantos

Serie A | Mon 02 Nov, 23:00

RB Bragantino v Santos Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino hosts Santos in a tightly contested Serie A clash where both sides are closely matched in the league standings, with Santos just three points ahead. RB Bragantino has shown solid attacking intent recently, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Santos have been slightly less prolific but maintain a strong defensive record. The match promises tactical discipline and a battle for midfield control, with RB Bragantino aiming to capitalize on home advantage to close the gap in points. Both teams have fluctuated in form, adding an element of unpredictability to this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

RB Bragantino to Win

  • RB Bragantino holds a 55.9% to win, offering positive value at 2.05 .
  • RB Bragantino averages 20.6 shots per game with 7.6 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Santos have a higher BTTS rate at 80%, suggesting openness in defense.
  • RB Bragantino ranks 9th with 44 points, just behind Santos in 8th with 47 points, highlighting competitive stakes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors RB Bragantino to win based on their superior shot volume and home advantage, reflected in a 55.9% win probability. Their offensive metrics, including an average of 20.6 shots and 7.6 shots on target per match, surpass Santos, who average fewer attempts. Despite Santos' higher BTTS rate, RB Bragantino's balanced attack and defense, combined with the close league positions, support a confident home win prediction. No price warning applies as the offer positive value relative to the .

Model Win Probability55.9%
Strong positive
Home Team Shot Volume20.6 shots per game
Strong positive
Opponent BTTS Rate80% (Santos)
Neutral
League Position Proximity9th vs 8th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

RB Bragantino's higher shot volume and home advantage provide a tactical edge in this closely matched Serie A fixture. Their ability to create more chances and maintain defensive discipline makes them a solid choice to secure victory against a Santos side that concedes goals frequently but also scores.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form advantage

“RB Bragantino's offensive intensity and home comfort should tip the balance in their favor, especially given Santos' vulnerability in defense despite their attacking threat.”

Key Data Signals

RB Bragantino to Win evidence

RB Bragantino holds a 55.9% to win, offering positive value at 2.05 .

RB Bragantino averages 20.6 shots per game with 7.6 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Santos have a higher BTTS rate at 80%, suggesting openness in defense.

RB Bragantino ranks 9th with 44 points, just behind Santos in 8th with 47 points, highlighting competitive stakes.

What To Watch In The Data

RB Bragantino to Win notes

  • In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.4, with a notable frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend suggests a moderately high-tempo game with opportunities for both sides, aligning with the attacking profiles and BTTS rates observed.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RB Bragantino1.8
Avg goals scored
Santos1.2
RB Bragantino1.2
Avg goals conceded
Santos1.2
RB Bragantino60%
BTTS rate
Santos80%
RB Bragantino40%
Over 2.5 goals
Santos60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams show tendencies toward goals, with Santos having an 80% BTTS rate and RB Bragantino 60%. The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game where both sides are likely to find the net, supporting a competitive scoring environment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 49% · edge +7.1 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 55.9% for RB Bragantino to Win sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+7.1 pts). RB Bragantino have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Santos.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RB Bragantino

WLDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
28 Oct 2026H Chapecoense-sc3-0
24 Oct 2026A Palmeiras0-2
18 Oct 2026A Remo1-1
13 Oct 2026H Cruzeiro4-2
07 Oct 2026H Mirassol1-1

Santos

DDWLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
28 Oct 2026H Palmeiras0-0
25 Oct 2026H Bahia1-1
18 Oct 2026A Fluminense2-1
11 Oct 2026A Atletico-MG1-2
08 Oct 2026H Flamengo2-2
Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 49% · edge +7.1 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Recent form data shows RB Bragantino accumulating 8 points with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game, reflecting effective attacking play. Santos have 6 points and a slightly lower scoring rate, indicating RB Bragantino's momentum and offensive consistency could be decisive in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
60%Santos Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.4, with a notable frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend suggests a moderately high-tempo game with opportunities for both sides, aligning with the attacking profiles and BTTS rates observed.

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