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Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF
v
Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF

Allsvenskan | Mon 02 Nov, 18:00

Mjallby AIF v Kalmar FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 18:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kalmar FF hosts Mjallby AIF at Guldfageln Arena in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where both sides seek momentum. Kalmar boasts a strong home record, unbeaten in six league matches with consistent scoring, led by Rosenqvist and Sagoe Jr. Mjallby arrives off a confident 3-0 European win but faces a quick turnaround that may challenge their defensive cohesion. Both teams have clear attacking threats and contrasting tactical approaches, setting up an open contest with high chances of goals at both ends. The fixture carries significant stakes as Kalmar aims to distance from relegation danger while Mjallby looks to revive their title defense.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams to Score

  • Kalmar has scored 2+ goals in each of their last 5 home league matches.
  • Mjallby recently won 3-0 in Champions League qualifying, boosting attacking .
  • Both teams have reliable goal scorers and creative players influencing attacks.
  • Kalmar is unbeaten in their last 6 home league games, showing strong form.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Mjallby but Kalmar’s home strength is notable.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Kalmar's consistent home scoring and Mjallby's renewed attacking threat after European success. Kalmar’s offensive duo Rosenqvist and Sagoe Jr create quality chances, while Mjallby’s forwards Bergström and Samuelsen have proven goal-scoring form. Despite the being slightly below the market implied probability, the football context justifies this selection. The short turnaround for Mjallby introduces some defensive risk, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Reduced staking is advised due to the current price being short, with potential for better value if drift or line-ups clarify.

Kalmar’s home scoring consistencyStrong (5 consecutive matches with 2+ goals)
Strong positive
Mjallby’s recent European attacking formPositive (3-0 win with multiple scorers)
Positive
Model chance vs. market implied probability53.3% model chance vs 55.6% implied (-2.3 pts)
Negative
Player attacking roles and formSupportive (key players in form)
Positive
Fatigue and defensive risk for MjallbyIncreases BTTS likelihood
Positive
Main risk

However, competing so aggressively against Malmo should strengthen the belief that Kalmar can trouble the reigning champions too.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Kalmar’s home offensive consistency combined with Mjallby’s fresh attacking from Europe sets the stage for a lively match where both sides find the net. The tactical interplay on the wings and key players’ form underline the likelihood of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Kalmar has scored 2+ goals in each of their last 5 home league matches.

Mjallby recently won 3-0 in Champions League qualifying, boosting attacking .

Both teams have reliable goal scorers and creative players influencing attacks.

Kalmar is unbeaten in their last 6 home league games, showing strong form.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Kalmar’s home matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Mjallby’s matches see a 40% rate.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides, combined with recent form, suggest the match is likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mjallby AIF0.6
Avg goals scored
Kalmar FF0.4
Mjallby AIF1.6
Avg goals conceded
Kalmar FF2.2
Mjallby AIF40%
BTTS rate
Kalmar FF20%
Mjallby AIF40%
Over 2.5 goals
Kalmar FF60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -2.3 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Kalmar’s recent home matches have consistently featured multiple goals, with at least two scored in each of their last five games. Mjallby’s attacking resurgence, highlighted by a 3-0 European win, complements this trend. Both teams have reliable goal scorers and creative players, making goals at both ends probable. Defensive vulnerabilities and tactical openness further increase the likelihood of BTTS.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mjallby AIF

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
29 Oct 2026A Orgryte IS2-1
25 Oct 2026H Hammarby FF0-2
18 Oct 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
10 Oct 2026H Degerfors IF1-1
20 Sep 2026H Gais0-3

Kalmar FF

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
29 Oct 2026H Gais0-1
24 Oct 2026H IF Brommapojkarna0-3
19 Oct 2026A Degerfors IF2-1
12 Oct 2026A Malmo FF0-1
20 Sep 2026H BK Hacken0-5
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Mjallby AIF to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Kalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Kalmar’s recent form at home is strong, with a six-match unbeaten streak and consistent scoring output, averaging 0.4 goals conceded but maintaining offensive pressure. Mjallby’s form is mixed domestically with a six-game winless run but boosted by a confident 3-0 European win, indicating renewed attacking sharpness. This contrast in momentum and form supports a match where both teams can find the net.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -2.3 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Mjallby AIF to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
The 53.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (-2.3 pts). Mjallby AIF show a 40% BTTS rate and Kalmar FF show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Kalmar’s home matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Mjallby’s matches see a 40% rate. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides, combined with recent form, suggest the match is likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo.

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