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Valladolid crestValladolid
v
Leganes crestLeganes

Segunda División | Mon 02 Nov, 17:30

Valladolid v Leganes Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Valladolid and Leganes meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams sit close in the standings with 12 points each, making this a crucial fixture for momentum. Valladolid's recent form shows stronger attacking output and a perfect record in over 2.5 goal matches, while Leganes struggle to score and concede more frequently. Valladolid's offensive approach and home advantage position them as favorites, though Leganes' defensive resilience and set-piece threat add tactical intrigue to this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Valladolid to Win

  • Valladolid has a 74% to win with strong attacking stats.
  • Leganes have scored only 0.2 goals per game recently, struggling offensively.
  • Valladolid averages 15.2 shots and 6.8 shots on target per match, dominating chances.
  • Both teams have similar points but Valladolid's form and goal threat are superior.
  • Leganes have a higher average of yellow cards, indicating potential discipline issues.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Valladolid to win due to their superior recent form, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game compared to Leganes' 0.2, and a strong offensive profile with 15.2 shots per match. Valladolid's defensive record is also better, conceding fewer goals on average. The price offers positive value with a 19.4% edge, reflecting the clear statistical advantage. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent Goal ScoringValladolid 2.6 vs Leganes 0.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Shots and Shots on TargetValladolid 15.2 shots, 6.8 SOT; Leganes 11.2 shots, 2 SOT
Strong positive
Defensive RecordValladolid concedes 1.6 goals; Leganes concedes 2.2
Positive
DisciplineLeganes average 4.6 yellow cards vs Valladolid 3.4
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Valladolid's attacking control and superior recent form make them the clear choice to win this fixture. Their ability to create and convert chances outmatches Leganes' struggling offense, while the home side's defensive solidity provides a solid foundation for victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage

“Valladolid's offensive firepower and control over the game tempo give them a decisive edge in this match, especially against a Leganes side that has struggled to find the net consistently.”

Key Data Signals

Valladolid to Win evidence

Valladolid has a 74% to win with strong attacking stats.

Leganes have scored only 0.2 goals per game recently, struggling offensively.

Valladolid averages 15.2 shots and 6.8 shots on target per match, dominating chances.

Both teams have similar points but Valladolid's form and goal threat are superior.

What To Watch In The Data

Valladolid to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, aligning with Valladolid's high over 2.5 goals rate this season.
  • This trend indicates a likelihood of an open game with multiple scoring chances, favoring the over 2.5 goals scenario.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Valladolid2.6
Avg goals scored
Leganes0.2
Valladolid1.6
Avg goals conceded
Leganes2.2
Valladolid80%
BTTS rate
Leganes20%
Valladolid100%
Over 2.5 goals
Leganes40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Valladolid's matches have consistently featured goals, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and 80% BTTS rate, highlighting their attacking openness. Leganes' lower scoring and BTTS rates suggest a more defensive approach, but Valladolid's offensive pressure likely ensures goals in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickValladolid to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Valladolid Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 69.6% for Valladolid to Win sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Valladolid have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Leganes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Valladolid

LLWDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
23 Oct 2026A Granada CF1-2
18 Oct 2026H Eldense2-3
12 Oct 2026H Albacete5-0
04 Oct 2026A Las Palmas2-2
27 Sep 2026H Cordoba3-1

Leganes

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026H Mallorca1-1
16 Oct 2026H Cordoba0-1
11 Oct 2026A Almeria0-3
03 Oct 2026A Cadiz0-4
28 Sep 2026H Castellón0-2
Market aligned with main pickValladolid to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Valladolid Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Valladolid's recent form shows 7 points gained with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, reflecting effective offense and reasonable defense. Leganes have only 1 point recently, scoring 0.2 goals and conceding 2.2, indicating struggles in both attack and defense, which supports Valladolid's winning prospects.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Valladolid Over 2.5
40%Leganes Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, aligning with Valladolid's high over 2.5 goals rate this season. This trend indicates a likelihood of an open game with multiple scoring chances, favoring the over 2.5 goals scenario.

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