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Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna
v
Osasuna crestOsasuna

La Liga | Mon 02 Nov, 20:00

Deportivo La Coruna v Osasuna Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 12:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna meet in a La Liga clash where both teams have shown cautious attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities. Deportivo La Coruna has struggled to score consistently, averaging just 0.8 goals per game recently, while Osasuna has a slightly higher but still modest 1 goal per match. Both sides have conceded goals regularly, but their recent matches have tended to be low scoring, reflecting tactical caution and defensive focus. With both teams mid-table and evenly matched, this fixture is likely to be a tight contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Deportivo La Coruna averages only 0.8 goals per game recently, indicating limited attacking threat.
  • Osasuna concedes 2.4 goals per game but scores just 1, suggesting defensive instability but low scoring matches.
  • Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: 20% for Deportivo La Coruna and 40% for Osasuna.
  • Recent form shows a tendency towards fewer goals, supporting an Under 2.5 Goals outcome.
  • Head-to-head matches average just over 2 goals, reinforcing a low-scoring trend.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting both teams' recent low scoring and defensive patterns. Deportivo La Coruna's modest attack and Osasuna's inconsistent offense combine with their defensive records to suggest fewer goals. The head-to-head average of 2.11 goals per game supports this view. The current of 1.67 offer positive value against the implied chance of 59.9%, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible selection based on tactical caution and recent output. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Recent scoring ratesLow goals per game for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals2.11 goals per match
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals frequencyLow for both teams (20% and 40%)
Strong positive
Current odds66% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+6.1 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given the cautious attacking approach and recent low scoring trends of both Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna. The teams' defensive vulnerabilities have not translated into high goal tallies, and their head-to-head history suggests tight matches. This bet aligns well with the tactical and form context of the fixture.

Main risk

It removes the need to predict the exact scoreline or the match winner, but fails if the game ends with zero, one or two goals.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“This fixture features two sides with limited offensive output and a tendency to keep games tight, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling choice. The low scoring averages and tactical caution suggest a match where defenses will largely contain attacks.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Deportivo La Coruna averages only 0.8 goals per game recently, indicating limited attacking threat.

Osasuna concedes 2.4 goals per game but scores just 1, suggesting defensive instability but low scoring matches.

Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: 20% for Deportivo La Coruna and 40% for Osasuna.

Recent form shows a tendency towards fewer goals, supporting an Under 2.5 Goals outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.11, indicating a consistent trend of low-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that limits goal opportunities, supporting the expectation of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo La Coruna0.8
Avg goals scored
Osasuna1
Deportivo La Coruna1.4
Avg goals conceded
Osasuna2.4
Deportivo La Coruna60%
BTTS rate
Osasuna40%
Deportivo La Coruna20%
Over 2.5 goals
Osasuna40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have shown low scoring outputs recently, with Deportivo La Coruna averaging 0.8 goals and Osasuna 1 goal per game. BTTS rates are moderate but not high, and the head-to-head average goals of 2.11 reinforce a trend towards fewer goals. This points to a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals, with limited goal-scoring chances for either side.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga hubfull betting preview for Deportivo La Coruna v Osasunacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Osasuna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Osasuna to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+6.1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Deportivo La Coruna and 40% for Osasuna, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Over 2.5 Goals: This requires the match to contain at least three total goals across 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo La Coruna

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
24 Oct 2026A Atletico Madrid0-1
16 Oct 2026H Levante1-1
11 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad2-3
20 Sep 2026H Real Betis1-1
16 Sep 2026H Sevilla0-1

Osasuna

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
26 Oct 2026A Sevilla0-2
18 Oct 2026H Racing Santander2-0
11 Oct 2026A Real Betis2-5
19 Sep 2026H Rayo Vallecano1-1
16 Sep 2026A Atletico Madrid0-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Osasuna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Osasuna to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Recent form data shows Deportivo La Coruna with only 2 points and 0.8 goals per game, while Osasuna has 4 points and 1 goal per game. Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates (20% and 40%), indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches. Defensive frailties have not resulted in high-scoring games, supporting an Under 2.5 Goals outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Deportivo La Coruna Over 2.5
40%Osasuna Over 2.5
2.11H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.11, indicating a consistent trend of low-scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that limits goal opportunities, supporting the expectation of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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