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Northampton crestNorthampton
v
Oldham crestOldham

League Two | Tue 03 Nov, 19:45

Northampton v Oldham Stats

Data last updated: Tue 03 Nov 2026, 12:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Northampton and Oldham meet in a League Two clash where both teams have shown contrasting styles in recent matches. Northampton has been solid defensively, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Oldham has struggled more at the back, allowing 1.2 goals per match. Both sides have moderate attacking output, with Northampton averaging 1.2 goals and Oldham 1.0. The fixture is likely to see tactical battles on the flanks, with Northampton’s higher corner rate suggesting they will press for set-piece opportunities. Oldham’s lower corner average may be offset by Northampton’s attacking intent, setting the stage for a corner-heavy game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Northampton averages 6.5 corners per game, significantly higher than Oldham's 2.33.
  • Both teams have similar shot volumes, indicating open play and attacking attempts.
  • Recent form shows Northampton conceding fewer goals, suggesting defensive resilience but also potential for attacking set pieces.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.
  • The corner market shows positive value with an 11.2% edge over implied .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% chance, driven by Northampton’s high average of 6.5 corners per game combined with Oldham’s attacking attempts that generate additional corners. Both teams’ shot volumes and attacking patterns support sustained pressure and wide play, increasing corner opportunities. The positive of 11.2% confirms the price is attractive. No data limitations reduce , making this a statistically and tactically sound corner market selection.

Northampton average corners6.5 per game
Strong positive
Oldham average corners2.33 per game
Positive
Model corner chance69%
Strong positive
Value edge69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Recent formConsistent attacking pressure from Northampton
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where Northampton’s attacking style and higher corner frequency will create numerous set-piece opportunities. Oldham’s defensive vulnerabilities and willingness to attack also contribute to corner chances. The data and tactical context align well for a corner-heavy game, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market analysis

“Northampton’s strong corner generation combined with Oldham’s attacking attempts sets up a fixture ripe for corner accumulation. The statistical edge and tactical patterns clearly favor the Over 9.5 Corners market.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Northampton averages 6.5 corners per game, significantly higher than Oldham's 2.33.

Both teams have similar shot volumes, indicating open play and attacking attempts.

Recent form shows Northampton conceding fewer goals, suggesting defensive resilience but also potential for attacking set pieces.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.6, indicating moderately open matches.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests an active tempo and attacking play that often correlates with increased corner counts, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Northampton1.2
Avg goals scored
Oldham1
Northampton0.6
Avg goals conceded
Oldham1.2
Northampton40%
BTTS rate
Oldham40%
Northampton0%
Over 2.5 goals
Oldham40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates and a 40% BTTS rate, indicating a controlled scoring environment. This suggests the game may not be overly open or high-scoring, but set-piece opportunities like corners remain likely due to attacking pressure rather than open-goal exchanges.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Northampton

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Accrington ST1-1
24 Oct 2026H Colchester2-0
20 Oct 2026H Tranmere0-1
17 Oct 2026A Grimsby2-0
10 Oct 2026A York1-1

Oldham

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
31 Oct 2026H Crawley Town0-1
24 Oct 2026A Barnet1-1
20 Oct 2026A Walsall0-3
17 Oct 2026H Cheltenham4-1
10 Oct 2026H Accrington ST0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 74% · edge +11.3 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Northampton to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Northampton Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Oldham to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Northampton’s recent form shows solid defensive performance with only 0.6 goals conceded per game, but their attacking output and corner generation remain high at 6.5 per match. Oldham’s form is less robust defensively but they maintain attacking attempts that can generate corners. This form supports a game with multiple corner opportunities.

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Useful next reads

League Two fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNorthampton to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Northampton Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Northampton lead the corner sample at 6.6 per match, with Oldham lower at 3.2.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Northampton Over 2.5
40%Oldham Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.6, indicating moderately open matches. While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests an active tempo and attacking play that often correlates with increased corner counts, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners market.

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