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Oviedo crestOviedo
v
Las Palmas crestLas Palmas

Segunda División | Mon 02 Nov, 15:15

Oviedo v Las Palmas Stats

Data last updated: Mon 02 Nov 2026, 21:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Oviedo hosts Las Palmas in a Segunda División clash where Oviedo's recent form and attacking intent stand out. Oviedo has collected 10 points in their last five matches, showing a more potent offense with 2 goals per game compared to Las Palmas' 1.2. Las Palmas struggles defensively, conceding 2.2 goals per game, while Oviedo's defense is more resilient. The home side's higher shot volume and territorial control suggest they will press for victory in this mid-table battle, with Oviedo aiming to climb further up the standings.

BT4Y best bet

Oviedo to Win

  • Oviedo has a 74% to win, with positive value at 1.73 .
  • Oviedo averages 17 shots and 6.8 shots on target per game, nearly double Las Palmas' output.
  • Las Palmas concedes 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability against Oviedo's attack.
  • Oviedo's recent form includes 10 points from last five games, showing momentum over Las Palmas' 4 points.
  • Oviedo ranks 9th with 18 points, ahead of Las Palmas in 14th with 14 points, reflecting current superiority.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Oviedo to win based on their superior recent form, stronger offensive metrics, and defensive stability compared to Las Palmas. Oviedo's high shot volume and shots on target indicate sustained attacking pressure, while Las Palmas' defensive frailties and lower scoring output increase the likelihood of a home victory. The price offers positive value given the model's 74% win probability against an implied 57.8% chance from , making Oviedo a solid pick without major price sensitivity.

Recent formOviedo 10 points vs Las Palmas 4 points in last 5 matches
Strong positive
Offensive statsOviedo averages 17 shots and 6.8 shots on target per game
Strong positive
Defensive statsLas Palmas concedes 2.2 goals per game, Oviedo concedes 1.6
Positive
Value edge73.8% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence level74% model confidence
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Oviedo's recent momentum and attacking control make them the clear favorite to secure victory against Las Palmas. Their ability to generate significantly more shots and maintain defensive discipline underpins this advantage. Las Palmas' struggles at the back and lower form level suggest they will find it difficult to contain Oviedo's offensive threats.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Oviedo's superior shot creation and recent point haul highlight their control in this fixture, making them the logical choice for a home win against a defensively vulnerable Las Palmas side.”

Key Data Signals

Oviedo to Win evidence

Oviedo has a 74% to win, with positive value at 1.73 .

Oviedo averages 17 shots and 6.8 shots on target per game, nearly double Las Palmas' output.

Las Palmas concedes 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability against Oviedo's attack.

Oviedo's recent form includes 10 points from last five games, showing momentum over Las Palmas' 4 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Oviedo to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 1.8, slightly below the teams' current over 2.5 goal rates.
  • This suggests a potential increase in tempo and attacking intent for this match, with both teams likely to push for goals, especially Oviedo given their recent offensive form.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Oviedo2
Avg goals scored
Las Palmas1.2
Oviedo1.6
Avg goals conceded
Las Palmas2.2
Oviedo80%
BTTS rate
Las Palmas60%
Oviedo80%
Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates at 80%, with Oviedo scoring 2 goals per game and Las Palmas 1.2. Las Palmas concedes heavily, increasing the likelihood of goals. BTTS rates favor Oviedo's attacking consistency and Las Palmas' defensive lapses, indicating a match with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOviedo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Oviedo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The 73.8% for Oviedo to Win sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Oviedo have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Las Palmas.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Oviedo

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
24 Oct 2026A Almeria2-2
18 Oct 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-1
12 Oct 2026H Eibar3-1
02 Oct 2026A Eldense1-4
27 Sep 2026H Sporting Gijon2-0

Las Palmas

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026H Real Sociedad II1-0
17 Oct 2026H Castellón0-3
11 Oct 2026A Mallorca1-3
04 Oct 2026H Valladolid2-2
27 Sep 2026A Eibar2-3
Market aligned with main pickOviedo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Oviedo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Oviedo's recent form shows 10 points from their last five matches, including consistent goal scoring and defensive solidity. Las Palmas has struggled, earning only 4 points and conceding more goals, indicating Oviedo's momentum and advantage heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Oviedo Over 2.5
80%Las Palmas Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 1.8, slightly below the teams' current over 2.5 goal rates. This suggests a potential increase in tempo and attacking intent for this match, with both teams likely to push for goals, especially Oviedo given their recent offensive form.

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