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Mallorca crestMallorca
v
Cadiz crestCadiz

Segunda División | Mon 02 Nov, 20:00

Mallorca v Cadiz Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mallorca hosts Cadiz in a Segunda División clash where both teams show contrasting league positions and styles. Mallorca sits comfortably in 7th place with 19 points, while Cadiz struggles near the relegation zone at 19th with 10 points. Recent form shows both sides averaging around 6-7 points in their last matches, with Mallorca's defense slightly tighter. The fixture promises territorial battles and attacking intent from both sides, setting the stage for a contest where set-piece opportunities and wide play could be decisive, especially given the teams' corner statistics and attacking tendencies.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Mallorca averages 6.2 corners per game, Cadiz 4.8, combining for over 11 corners on average.
  • Recent matches show both teams generating solid attacking pressure, reflected in shot volumes near 13 per game each.
  • Cadiz's aggressive style leads to more fouls and set-piece chances, increasing corner potential.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.
  • Both teams' recent form and tactical setups favor sustained pressure and wing play, boosting corner likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 9.5 Corners at 69% probability, well above the implied market chance of 54.6%, highlighting clear value at 1.83 . Mallorca and Cadiz both produce high corner counts, with Mallorca averaging 6.2 and Cadiz 4.8 per match, supported by their attacking styles and shot volumes near 13 per game combined. Cadiz's fouling tendency and Mallorca's territorial control suggest frequent set-piece situations. No data limitations affect , making this a statistically robust pick with standard staking advised.

Model Probability69% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance69% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive
Average Corners per Game11+ combined
Strong positive
Recent Form PressureHigh attacking and fouling rates
Positive
Data QualityComplete for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and attacking pressure from both Mallorca and Cadiz, driving a high number of corners. Mallorca's territorial control combined with Cadiz's fouling and set-piece generation supports the likelihood of over 9.5 corners. The statistical edge and tactical context make this a compelling angle for corner markets.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“Mallorca's ability to control possession and Cadiz's aggressive defensive style create a fertile ground for numerous corners, making Over 9.5 Corners a logical and data-backed choice for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Mallorca averages 6.2 corners per game, Cadiz 4.8, combining for over 11 corners on average.

Recent matches show both teams generating solid attacking pressure, reflected in shot volumes near 13 per game each.

Cadiz's aggressive style leads to more fouls and set-piece chances, increasing corner potential.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 1.7, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily a defensive stalemate.
  • The tempo and attacking transitions in these matches have historically produced frequent wide plays and set pieces, aligning with a trend favoring higher corner counts rather than high goal totals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mallorca1
Avg goals scored
Cadiz1.6
Mallorca0.8
Avg goals conceded
Cadiz1
Mallorca60%
BTTS rate
Cadiz40%
Mallorca20%
Over 2.5 goals
Cadiz40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
While goal scoring rates are moderate, with an average of 1.7 goals in head-to-head matches, both teams' styles generate set-piece chances leading to corners. The BTTS rates and over 2.5 goal percentages suggest open play phases that encourage wing attacks and corners rather than high scoring, supporting the corner market more than goal markets.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mallorca

DDWDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
24 Oct 2026A Leganes1-1
17 Oct 2026A Eibar1-1
11 Oct 2026H Las Palmas3-1
04 Oct 2026A Girona0-0
27 Sep 2026H Almeria0-1

Cadiz

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
25 Oct 2026H AD Ceuta FC3-1
18 Oct 2026A Granada CF0-2
11 Oct 2026H Sporting Gijon0-1
03 Oct 2026H Leganes4-0
26 Sep 2026A Tenerife1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Cadiz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Cadiz to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Mallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Mallorca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Recent form shows Mallorca and Cadiz maintaining steady attacking pressure, with Mallorca scoring 1 goal per game and Cadiz 1.6, while both teams generate high shot volumes. Mallorca's corners average 6.2 and Cadiz's 4.8 in recent matches, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Cadiz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Cadiz to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Mallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Mallorca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+14.4 pts). Mallorca lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Cadiz lower at 4.8.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Mallorca Over 2.5
40%Cadiz Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 1.7, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily a defensive stalemate. The tempo and attacking transitions in these matches have historically produced frequent wide plays and set pieces, aligning with a trend favoring higher corner counts rather than high goal totals.

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