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ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
Celtic crestCeltic

Premiership | Sat 05 Sep, 20:00

ST Mirren v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face Celtic in Premiership on Sat 05 Sep, 20:00. Celtic have scored 11 goals in four league matches, four more than St Mirren, underlining the attacking gap the hosts must manage.

BT4Y match pick

Celtic to win and both teams to score

  • At 9/5, Celtic to win and both teams to score implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 35%.
  • Celtic hold the stronger winning edge, while St Mirren still offer enough threat for BTTS.
  • Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Mirren on 10 and Celtic on 12.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 25% for ST Mirren and 50% for Celtic.
  • Celtic to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.75 for ST Mirren and 2.75 for Celtic are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 35% for Celtic to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Mirren on 10 and Celtic on 12. Celtic hold the stronger winning edge, while St Mirren still offer enough threat for BTTS.

Model chance vs price35% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Neutral
Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic hold the stronger winning edge, while St Mirren.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celtic Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because celtic hold the stronger winning edge, while St Mirren still offer enough threat for BTTS. Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Mirren on 10 and Celtic on 12. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Celtic to win and both teams to score evidence

Celtic hold the stronger winning edge, while St Mirren still offer enough threat for BTTS.

Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show ST Mirren on 10 and Celtic on 12.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 25% for ST Mirren and 50% for Celtic.

Celtic Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.75 for ST Mirren and 2.75 for Celtic are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

ST Mirren5.5
Avg corners for
Celtic9.25
ST Mirren11.25
Avg total corners
Celtic13.5
ST Mirren2.5
Avg yellow cards
Celtic0.75
ST Mirren15.25
Avg shots
Celtic24.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 55% · edge +4.5 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Mirren1.75
Avg goals scored
Celtic2.75
ST Mirren0.75
Avg goals conceded
Celtic0.5
ST Mirren25%
BTTS rate
Celtic50%
ST Mirren25%
Over 2.5 goals
Celtic75%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 36% · edge +9.5 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCeltic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 79% · edge -11.8 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Celtic Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Mirren

WDWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
02 Sep 2026A Kilmarnock1-0
30 Aug 2026H Motherwell3-3
08 Aug 2026H ST Johnstone1-0
01 Aug 2026A Falkirk2-0

Celtic

WWWW
Last 54W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 0L
02 Sep 2026H Aberdeen3-0
29 Aug 2026H Falkirk2-1
09 Aug 2026A Kilmarnock5-1
03 Aug 2026H Dundee1-0
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 89% · edge -6.4 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1ST Mirren wins
1Draws
8Celtic wins
19 Apr 2026Celtic v ST Mirren6-2
11 Apr 2026Celtic v ST Mirren1-0
14 Dec 2025ST Mirren v Celtic3-1
22 Nov 2025ST Mirren v Celtic0-1
03 Aug 2025Celtic v ST Mirren1-0
17 May 2025Celtic v ST Mirren1-1
Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 68% · edge -9.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample gives context for Celtic to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premiership

ST Mirren4
Played
Celtic4
ST Mirren1.8
Avg goals for
Celtic2.8
ST Mirren0.8
Avg goals against
Celtic0.5
ST Mirren3
Clean sheets
Celtic2
Market aligned with main pickCeltic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 79% · edge -11.8 pts
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
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Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season data supports Celtic Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Celtic1244009
2ST Mirren1043104
ST Mirren sit in position 2, while Celtic sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Celtic to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%ST Mirren Over 2.5
75%Celtic Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Mirren sit at 25% and Celtic sit at 75% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.