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Torino crestTorino
v
Monza crestMonza

Coppa Italia | Tue 01 Sep, 20:00

Torino v Monza Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 09:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Torino face Monza in Coppa Italia on Tue 01 Sep, 20:00. Despite Torino's own defensive issues, Monza's attacking intent and average of 3.5 goals conceded per league game support both teams scoring in this Coppa Italia tie.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Torino to win and Both Teams To Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 23%, above the 16% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 10/3, Torino to win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 23%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 16%.
  • The selection is sensitive to any extra goals or clean sheets, reflecting a tight contest.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Torino and 0% for Monza.
  • Torino to win and Both Teams To Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Torino and 3 for Monza are central to the read.
Price warning

Torino to win and Both Teams To Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 23% while the model sits nearer 16% (-7.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +12.4 pts edge at 1.8.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 16% for Torino to win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 23% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Torino and 0% for Monza. The selection is sensitive to any extra goals or clean sheets, reflecting a tight contest.

Model chance vs price16% model chance against roughly 23% implied
Negative
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Torino to win and Both Teams To Score needs both.Visible data support
Positive
The selection is sensitive to any extra goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Torino Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because the selection is sensitive to any extra goals or clean sheets, reflecting a tight contest. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Torino and 0% for Monza. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Torino to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

The selection is sensitive to any extra goals or clean sheets, reflecting a tight contest.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Torino and 0% for Monza.

Torino Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Torino and 3 for Monza are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Torino to win and Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Torino4
Avg corners for
Monza5
Torino7
Avg total corners
Monza6
Torino0
Avg yellow cards
Monza0
Torino11
Avg shots
Monza22
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
4
Check odds @ 4
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Torino1
Avg goals scored
Monza3
Torino0
Avg goals conceded
Monza0
Torino0%
BTTS rate
Monza0%
Torino0%
Over 2.5 goals
Monza100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTorino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Torino Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Torino

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Aug 2026H Carrarese1-0

Monza

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
14 Aug 2026H Avellino3-0
Market aligned with main pickTorino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.9 pts
2
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Torino wins
3Draws
0Monza wins
02 Mar 2025Monza v Torino0-2
24 Nov 2024Torino v Monza1-1
30 Mar 2024Torino v Monza1-0
11 Nov 2023Monza v Torino1-1
07 May 2023Torino v Monza1-1
28 Dec 2022Monza v Torino1-4
Market aligned with main pickTorino to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 56% · edge -9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for Torino to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Torino2
Played
Monza2
Torino0.5
Avg goals for
Monza2
Torino0.5
Avg goals against
Monza0
Torino1
Clean sheets
Monza2
Market aligned with main pickTorino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season data supports Torino Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Torino Over 2.5
100%Monza Over 2.5
2.43H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Torino sit at 0% and Monza sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.43 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.