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Torino crestTorino
v
Monza crestMonza

Serie A | Fri 23 Oct, 19:45

Torino v Monza Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 18:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Torino face Monza in Serie A on Fri 23 Oct, 19:45. 8 in 10: Both teams scored in eight of Torino's last 10 league matches. Torino's recent strong form and unbeaten record against Monza support backing them to win. Monza create more chances, leaving Torino under pressure to match their attacking tempo.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Torino to win

  • At 6/5, Torino to win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • With seven goals scored and none conceded between them on Monday, both teams approach this Gameweek 8 encounter with renewed .
  • Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Monza.
  • Torino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Torino to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Torino sit 11 in the table, while Monza sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Torino to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 46% while the model sits nearer 28% (-17.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 28% for Torino to win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Monza. With seven goals scored and none conceded between them on Monday, both teams approach this Gameweek 8 encounter with renewed .

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Negative
Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Torino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
With seven goals scored and none conceded between them.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Monza Win is the preferred angle because with seven goals scored and none conceded between them on Monday, both teams approach this Gameweek 8 encounter with renewed . Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Monza. However, Monza’s severe difficulties on the road provide the counter-balance.

Main risk

However, Monza’s severe difficulties on the road provide the counter-balance.

Key Data Signals

Torino to win evidence

With seven goals scored and none conceded between them on Monday, both teams approach this Gameweek 8 encounter.

Torino have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Monza.

Torino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Monza Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Torino sit 11 in the table, while Monza sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Torino to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Torino1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Monza2
    Torino1
    Avg goals conceded
    Monza1.6
    Torino60%
    BTTS rate
    Monza80%
    Torino60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monza80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2
    Check odds @ 2

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Serie A hubTorino v Monza predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMonza to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 29% · edge -0.2 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Monza to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Torino

    WWDLW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 3L
    19 Oct 2026A Parma3-0
    12 Oct 2026H Udinese2-1
    19 Sep 2026A Bologna1-1
    14 Sep 2026H AS Roma0-2
    05 Sep 2026A Fiorentina2-1

    Monza

    WLWLD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 4L
    19 Oct 2026H Cagliari4-0
    11 Oct 2026A Lazio1-3
    18 Sep 2026H Sassuolo2-1
    13 Sep 2026A Lecce2-3
    06 Sep 2026A Parma1-1
    Market aligned with main pickMonza to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 29% · edge -0.2 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Torino Over 2.5
    80%Monza Over 2.5
    2.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Torino sit at 60% and Monza sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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