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Granada CF crestGranada CF
v
Valladolid crestValladolid

Segunda División | Fri 23 Oct, 19:30

Granada CF v Valladolid Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 08:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Granada CF and Valladolid meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Granada CF has scored 2 goals in recent matches while conceding 1.6 on average, and Valladolid averages 2.6 goals scored with 1.4 conceded. Valladolid's higher over 2.5 goals rate of 80% versus Granada's 60% suggests an open game. Both sides have fluctuated in form but maintain offensive threats, setting up a contest likely to see goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Granada CF and Valladolid both have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively this season.
  • Valladolid averages 2.6 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking output.
  • Granada CF concedes 1.6 goals per match on average, showing defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have solid shot volumes: Granada CF 17 shots/game, Valladolid 14.6 shots/game.
  • Recent form shows both sides scoring and conceding, supporting BTTS likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance to both teams scoring, reflecting strong attacking profiles and defensive lapses on both sides. Valladolid's 80% BTTS rate and Granada CF's 60% rate, combined with their goals conceded averages, underpin this . Shot data supports sustained offensive pressure from both teams. The at 1.83 offer positive value against the 54.6% implied chance, making BTTS a compelling selection. No data limitations affect this fixture, reinforcing model reliability.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Valladolid BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Granada CF BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Average Goals ConcededGranada 1.6, Valladolid 1.4
Positive
Shot VolumeGranada 17, Valladolid 14.6 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Granada CF and Valladolid have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities that make both teams scoring a likely outcome. Valladolid's higher goal output and Granada's willingness to attack create a dynamic game where both sides can find the net. The data supports this with strong BTTS rates and shot volumes, making this bet a sound choice for those expecting an open contest.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two teams with clear offensive strengths but defensive gaps, making both teams to score a logical expectation. Valladolid's consistent attacking threat combined with Granada's goal concessions sets the stage for goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Granada CF and Valladolid both have BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively this season.

Valladolid averages 2.6 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking output.

Granada CF concedes 1.6 goals per match on average, showing defensive frailty.

Both teams have solid shot volumes: Granada CF 17 shots/game, Valladolid 14.6 shots/game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a relatively high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (Granada 60%, Valladolid 80%) suggest a fast tempo and open play style, increasing the probability of multiple goals and supporting the BTTS and over 2.5 goals narratives.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Granada CF2
Avg goals scored
Valladolid2.6
Granada CF1.6
Avg goals conceded
Valladolid1.4
Granada CF60%
BTTS rate
Valladolid80%
Granada CF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Valladolid80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have strong BTTS rates this season, with Valladolid at 80% and Granada CF at 60%. Their goals conceded averages (1.4 and 1.6 respectively) and recent scoring patterns suggest a match prone to goals at both ends. This aligns with the model's high BTTS probability and supports expectations of an open, goal-filled game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Valladolid to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Valladolid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Granada CF to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Granada CF Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
The 69.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Granada CF show a 60% BTTS rate and Valladolid show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Granada CF

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
18 Oct 2026H Cadiz2-0
12 Oct 2026A Burgos1-0
04 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad II3-2
26 Sep 2026H FC Andorra2-3
20 Sep 2026A Leganes2-3

Valladolid

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
18 Oct 2026H Eldense2-3
12 Oct 2026H Albacete5-0
04 Oct 2026A Las Palmas2-2
27 Sep 2026H Cordoba3-1
20 Sep 2026A AD Ceuta FC1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 62% · edge +10.2 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Valladolid to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Valladolid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Granada CF to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Granada CF Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form data shows Granada CF has earned 9 points with 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Valladolid has 8 points with 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede recently, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Granada CF Over 2.5
80%Valladolid Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a relatively high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (Granada 60%, Valladolid 80%) suggest a fast tempo and open play style, increasing the probability of multiple goals and supporting the BTTS and over 2.5 goals narratives.

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