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Eyüpspor crestEyüpspor
v
Kasımpaşa crestKasımpaşa

Süper Lig | Sat 24 Oct, 11:30

Eyüpspor v Kasımpaşa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eyüpspor and Kasımpaşa meet in a Süper Lig clash where Kasımpaşa's superior form and attacking threat contrast with Eyüpspor's defensive struggles. Kasımpaşa ranks 7th with 13 points, showing offensive efficiency and a solid defensive record, while Eyüpspor languishes 18th with only 3 points and a leaky defense. Both teams' playing styles suggest a dynamic encounter with sustained wing play and set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a match rich in corner kicks and territorial battles.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Kasımpaşa averages 5.4 corners per match, Eyüpspor 4.4, combining for a high corner count.
  • Recent form shows Eyüpspor concedes many chances, increasing corner potential.
  • Both teams have active attacking players generating shots and pressure from wide areas.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong value at 2.0 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% probability for over 9.5 corners, well above the 50% implied by current , signaling clear value. Both teams exhibit attacking tendencies with Kasımpaşa's 5.4 and Eyüpspor's 4.4 corners per game, supported by active wide players and frequent fouls leading to set-piece opportunities. The match context of contrasting defensive records and offensive pressure further supports a high-corner count. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Model Probability65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Average Corners per GameKasımpaşa 5.4, Eyüpspor 4.4
Strong positive
Attacking PressureHigh shot volume and fouls won leading to corners
Positive
Price Value65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Over 9.5 Corners bet is supported by Kasımpaşa's strong wing play and Eyüpspor's defensive vulnerabilities, which together create frequent corner situations. Statistical data confirms both teams generate a high number of corners per match, making this a tactically sound and data-backed selection for bettors.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“Kasımpaşa's attacking width combined with Eyüpspor's defensive frailties sets up a fixture ripe for numerous corners. The statistical corner averages and fouling patterns strongly indicate this market is worth backing.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Kasımpaşa averages 5.4 corners per match, Eyüpspor 4.4, combining for a high corner count.

Recent form shows Eyüpspor concedes many chances, increasing corner potential.

Both teams have active attacking players generating shots and pressure from wide areas.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong value at 2.0 .

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring but not directly correlating with corner counts.
  • However, recent league trends show both teams involved in matches with frequent set pieces and over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to a high number of corners in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eyüpspor0
Avg goals scored
Kasımpaşa1.8
Eyüpspor3.8
Avg goals conceded
Kasımpaşa1.4
Eyüpspor0%
BTTS rate
Kasımpaşa80%
Eyüpspor60%
Over 2.5 goals
Kasımpaşa80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +6.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
While goal scoring is moderate, with Kasımpaşa averaging 1.8 goals and Eyüpspor struggling to score, the attacking intent and pressure from both sides still generate frequent set-piece situations. Kasımpaşa's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Eyüpspor's 0%, highlighting differing offensive efficiencies but both contributing to corner opportunities through sustained attacks and defensive fouls.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Kasımpaşa to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Eyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2
Check odds @ 2
Kasımpaşa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Eyüpspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
The 65% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Kasımpaşa lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Eyüpspor lower at 4.4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eyüpspor

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 7L
17 Oct 2026A Erzurumspor FK0-2
12 Oct 2026H Göztepe0-4
20 Sep 2026A Fenerbahçe0-8
12 Sep 2026H Rizespor0-2
06 Sep 2026A Çorum FK0-3

Kasımpaşa

WLDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 1L
18 Oct 2026H Samsunspor4-1
09 Oct 2026A Galatasaray1-3
18 Sep 2026H Konyaspor0-0
13 Sep 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-1
06 Sep 2026H Amed2-2
Best odds for this sectionKasımpaşa to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +5.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
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Eyüpspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Kasımpaşa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Eyüpspor to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form data shows Kasımpaşa averaging 5.4 corners per game with a strong attacking output, while Eyüpspor averages 4.4 corners despite struggling defensively. This combination suggests sustained pressure and territorial advantage for Kasımpaşa, increasing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Eyüpspor Over 2.5
80%Kasımpaşa Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring but not directly correlating with corner counts. However, recent league trends show both teams involved in matches with frequent set pieces and over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to a high number of corners in this fixture.

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