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Motor Lublin crestMotor Lublin
v
Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa | Fri 23 Oct, 17:00

Motor Lublin v Zaglebie Lubin Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motor Lublin hosts Zaglebie Lubin in an Ekstraklasa clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Motor Lublin, positioned 12th, have scored and conceded at a rate of 1.8 goals per game, reflecting an open style that has produced high-scoring matches. Zaglebie Lubin, sitting 7th, also average over a goal scored and conceded per game, indicating potential for goals at both ends. Recent form shows both teams frequently involved in matches with goals at both ends, setting the stage for an engaging contest with offensive emphasis and defensive lapses on either side.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin both have BTTS rates of 80% and 60% respectively this season.
  • Motor Lublin averages 18.8 shots and 7.2 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Zaglebie Lubin concedes 1.6 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailties that Motor Lublin can exploit.
  • Recent matches show Motor Lublin has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2 goals per game, reflecting a moderate scoring history between these teams.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score with a 76% chance, supported by strong attacking stats and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Motor Lublin's high shot volume and BTTS rate of 80% combine with Zaglebie Lubin's tendency to concede goals and a 60% BTTS rate. The of 14.3% at of 1.62 reflects a solid statistical case for goals at both ends. This aligns with recent form and season-long trends, making BTTS a compelling pick for this fixture.

Motor Lublin BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Zaglebie Lubin BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Motor Lublin Shots per Game18.8
Strong positive
Zaglebie Lubin Goals Against per Game1.6
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance76% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown offensive capabilities but also defensive weaknesses, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Motor Lublin's aggressive shot profile and Zaglebie Lubin's concession rate suggest goals at both ends. This pick reflects the tactical openness and recent scoring trends of the fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking tendencies and defensive lapses on both sides create a fertile ground for goals at each end, making Both Teams to Score a well-supported selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin both have BTTS rates of 80% and 60% respectively this season.

Motor Lublin averages 18.8 shots and 7.2 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Zaglebie Lubin concedes 1.6 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailties that Motor Lublin can exploit.

Recent matches show Motor Lublin has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Motor Lublin has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a high-tempo, open style conducive to multiple goals.
  • Zaglebie Lubin's 60% rate also supports this trend.
  • The average of 2 goals in their five head-to-head meetings suggests moderate scoring, but recent form points to a more goal-laden encounter this time.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Motor Lublin1.8
Avg goals scored
Zaglebie Lubin1.4
Motor Lublin1.8
Avg goals conceded
Zaglebie Lubin1.6
Motor Lublin80%
BTTS rate
Zaglebie Lubin60%
Motor Lublin80%
Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have high BTTS rates this season, with Motor Lublin at 80% and Zaglebie Lubin at 60%. Their average goals scored and conceded per game indicate open play and defensive vulnerabilities, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. This trend is reinforced by their recent matches showing frequent goal exchanges.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Motor Lublin to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Motor Lublin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Motor Lublin show a 80% BTTS rate and Zaglebie Lubin show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Motor Lublin

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
17 Oct 2026H Slask Wroclaw3-2
12 Oct 2026A Radomiak Radom3-2
19 Sep 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-0
11 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa1-2
05 Sep 2026H Legia Warszawa2-3

Zaglebie Lubin

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
18 Oct 2026H Jagiellonia1-0
10 Oct 2026A Cracovia Krakow1-3
20 Sep 2026H Wisla Plock0-2
15 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa3-2
12 Sep 2026H GKS Katowice2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Motor Lublin to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Motor Lublin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Recent form data shows Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin have earned 7 and 9 points respectively in their last matches, with both sides involved in games featuring multiple goals. Motor Lublin's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and 80% BTTS rate in recent fixtures emphasize their open style, while Zaglebie Lubin's 60% BTTS rate confirms their participation in goal-rich matches.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Motor Lublin Over 2.5
60%Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Motor Lublin has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a high-tempo, open style conducive to multiple goals. Zaglebie Lubin's 60% rate also supports this trend. The average of 2 goals in their five head-to-head meetings suggests moderate scoring, but recent form points to a more goal-laden encounter this time.

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