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Motor Lublin crestMotor Lublin
v
Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa | Fri 23 Oct, 17:00

Motor Lublin v Zaglebie Lubin Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 11:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motor Lublin face Zaglebie Lubin in Ekstraklasa on Fri 23 Oct, 17:00. Away struggles: Zaglebie have lost six of their previous ten away league matches. Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin Preview: Hosts Target Third Straight Win. Motor Lublin create more chances, leaving Zaglebie Lubin under pressure to match their attacking tempo.

BT4Y best bet

Is immediately defeated if a third goal is scored, whereas the Over 2

  • At 1.85, Is immediately defeated if a third goal is scored, whereas the Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin have both scored frequently in recent matches, supporting a high-scoring game.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Motor Lublin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Zaglebie Lubin at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Is immediately defeated if a third goal is scored, whereas the Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin have both scored frequently in recent matches, supporting a high-scoring game.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Motor Lublin.Visible data support
Positive
Motor Lublin are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin have both scored frequently.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin have both scored frequently in recent matches, supporting a high-scoring game. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The visitors have been more consistent across the campaign, although their away record presents a significant challenge.

Main risk

The visitors have been more consistent across the campaign, although their away record presents a significant challenge.

Key Data Signals

Is immediately defeated if a third goal is scored, whereas the Over 2 evidence

Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Lubin have both scored frequently in recent matches, supporting a high-scoring game.

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Motor Lublin are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Zaglebie Lubin at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Is immediately defeated if a third goal is scored, whereas the Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Motor Lublin1.8
Avg goals scored
Zaglebie Lubin1.4
Motor Lublin1.8
Avg goals conceded
Zaglebie Lubin1.6
Motor Lublin80%
BTTS rate
Zaglebie Lubin60%
Motor Lublin80%
Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 54% · edge +2.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Motor Lublin and 60% for Zaglebie Lubin, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 54% · edge +2.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Motor Lublin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Motor Lublin to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Motor Lublin v Zaglebie Lubin predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Motor Lublin

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
17 Oct 2026H Slask Wroclaw3-2
12 Oct 2026A Radomiak Radom3-2
19 Sep 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-0
11 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa1-2
05 Sep 2026H Legia Warszawa2-3

Zaglebie Lubin

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
18 Oct 2026H Jagiellonia1-0
10 Oct 2026A Cracovia Krakow1-3
20 Sep 2026H Wisla Plock0-2
15 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa3-2
12 Sep 2026H GKS Katowice2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Motor Lublin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Motor Lublin to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Motor Lublin Over 2.5
60%Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Motor Lublin sit at 80% and Zaglebie Lubin sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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