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IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Fri 23 Oct, 18:00

IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 11:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Malmo FF approach this Allsvenskan clash against IF Elfsborg with strong attacking momentum under manager Gaute Helstrup, having secured 10 points from their last 12 and netting 12 goals in four matches. Despite defensive absences, Malmo's home games consistently feature high goal tallies, reflecting an open and dynamic style. IF Elfsborg, struggling with an eight-match winless streak but maintaining a reliable scoring record in 13 of 14 league games, remain a threat in attack. This fixture pits Malmo's offensive surge against Elfsborg's resilience, with both sides poised to influence the scoreline in a contest with European qualification implications.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Malmo FF to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 31%, above the 13% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Malmo FF have scored 12 goals in their last four matches, showing potent attacking form.
  • IF Elfsborg have scored in 13 of 14 league games, highlighting their consistent threat.
  • All six of Malmo's home league matches this season have featured four or more goals.
  • Both teams have scored in six of Elfsborg's last seven fixtures, supporting BTTS potential.
Price warning

Malmo FF to Win & Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 31% while the model sits nearer 13% (-18 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: IF Elfsborg to Win shows a +13.4 pts edge at 2.05.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

Malmo FF's recent surge in attacking output, scoring 12 goals in four unbeaten matches, contrasts with IF Elfsborg's persistent scoring despite an eight-match winless run. Both teams' tendency to find the net in most fixtures underpins the combined selection. However, the current are shorter than the model's estimated chance, indicating a price-sensitive scenario. the football read remains strong due to Malmo's home scoring patterns and Elfsborg's offensive resilience. Reduced staking is advised until improve or line-ups clarify.

Malmo FF attacking form12 goals in last 4 matches
Strong positive
IF Elfsborg scoring consistencyscored in 13 of 14 league games
Positive
Market price vs model chance13.3% model chance vs 31.3% implied (-18 pts)
Negative
Both teams scoring frequencyBTTS in 6 of last 7 Elfsborg games
Positive
Main risk

Injuries and suspensions weaken Malmo’s defence but their attack remains potent against Elfsborg’s vulnerable backline.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and scoring

“Malmo's recent offensive burst paired with Elfsborg's persistent scoring threat sets the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter where both teams are expected to contribute goals, making the combined win and BTTS a tactically sound choice.”

Key Data Signals

Malmo FF to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Malmo FF have scored 12 goals in their last four matches, showing potent attacking form.

IF Elfsborg have scored in 13 of 14 league games, highlighting their consistent threat.

All six of Malmo's home league matches this season have featured four or more goals.

Both teams have scored in six of Elfsborg's last seven fixtures, supporting BTTS potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Malmo FF to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture history.
  • Malmo's home games this season have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, and Elfsborg's scoring consistency suggests this trend will continue, supporting an expectation of an open game with multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Elfsborg2
Avg goals scored
Malmo FF1
IF Elfsborg1
Avg goals conceded
Malmo FF0.8
IF Elfsborg60%
BTTS rate
Malmo FF20%
IF Elfsborg80%
Over 2.5 goals
Malmo FF20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 48% · edge +1.8 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have demonstrated strong scoring records this season, with Malmo netting 12 goals in their last four matches and Elfsborg scoring in 13 of 14 league games. Six of Elfsborg's last seven matches have featured goals from both sides, reinforcing the likelihood of a BTTS outcome in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 44% · edge -2.4 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The 13.3% for Malmo FF to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 31.3% implied by the current price (-18 pts). Malmo FF need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show IF Elfsborg on 10 and Malmo FF on 7. Malmo’s offensive strength and Elfsborg’s ability to score despite defensive issues make 3-1 a plausible outcome.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Elfsborg

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
18 Oct 2026A Sirius2-2
12 Oct 2026H Halmstad4-0
20 Sep 2026A Djurgardens IF2-1
13 Sep 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
06 Sep 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-2

Malmo FF

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
18 Oct 2026H BK Hacken0-1
12 Oct 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
19 Sep 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-2
13 Sep 2026H Orgryte IS4-1
07 Sep 2026H AIK Stockholm0-0
Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 44% · edge -2.4 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Malmo FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Malmo FF have collected 10 points from their last four matches, scoring 12 goals and remaining unbeaten, reflecting a strong upward trajectory. IF Elfsborg, despite an eight-match winless streak, continue to score regularly, indicating resilience in attack even as results falter. This contrast in momentum sets a narrative of a confident Malmo side facing a determined but struggling Elfsborg.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
20%Malmo FF Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture history. Malmo's home games this season have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, and Elfsborg's scoring consistency suggests this trend will continue, supporting an expectation of an open game with multiple goals.

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