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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga | Fri 23 Oct, 19:30

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 14:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach meet in a Bundesliga clash where both sides have shown contrasting defensive and attacking tendencies. Stuttgart has earned 6 points with a moderate attacking output, while Gladbach sits bottom with no points and a leaky defense conceding 3.4 goals per game. Both teams have active attacking players and a tendency to create set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a contest likely to feature sustained wing play and frequent corner situations. The match timing on a Friday evening adds to the intensity as both teams seek to improve their standings early in the season.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • VfB Stuttgart averages 7.4 corners per game, Gladbach 6.0, combining for a strong corner count.
  • Gladbach concedes 3.4 goals per game, leading to more defensive clearances and corner opportunities.
  • Recent form shows Stuttgart with 6 points and Gladbach with none, indicating aggressive play from both sides.
  • Both teams have attacking players with high shot volumes, increasing pressure and corner likelihood.
  • for Over 9.5 Corners is 69%, with positive value at 1.67 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners due to both teams' attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities. Stuttgart's average of 7.4 corners per match combined with Gladbach's 6.0 creates a strong baseline for frequent corner occurrences. Gladbach's porous defense increases defensive clearances leading to corners. The match's tempo and attacking intent from players like E. Honorat further support sustained pressure and wing play. The current offer positive value with a 9.1% edge, making this a compelling corner market selection.

VfB Stuttgart average corners7.4 per game
Strong positive
Borussia Mönchengladbach average corners6.0 per game
Positive
Model corner chance69%
Strong positive
Implied market chance69% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+9.1 pts)
Positive
Attacking player shot volumeHigh for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a high-tempo match with both VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach pushing forward and generating wing attacks. Stuttgart's solid corner average and Gladbach's defensive struggles suggest a good chance of frequent corners. The attacking roles of key players and the teams' recent form support a lively contest with multiple set-piece opportunities.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market rationale

“The corner market stands out here because both teams rely heavily on wing play and have defensive vulnerabilities that lead to frequent clearances and corners. Stuttgart's consistent corner production combined with Gladbach's need to defend under pressure creates a natural environment for this bet.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

VfB Stuttgart averages 7.4 corners per game, Gladbach 6.0, combining for a strong corner count.

Gladbach concedes 3.4 goals per game, leading to more defensive clearances and corner opportunities.

Recent form shows Stuttgart with 6 points and Gladbach with none, indicating aggressive play from both sides.

Both teams have attacking players with high shot volumes, increasing pressure and corner likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.3, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Over the last five matches for both teams, there is a strong trend towards games with multiple goals and active wing play, which typically correlates with higher corner counts and supports the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VfB Stuttgart1.4
Avg goals scored
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
VfB Stuttgart1
Avg goals conceded
Borussia Mönchengladbach3.4
VfB Stuttgart40%
BTTS rate
Borussia Mönchengladbach80%
VfB Stuttgart40%
Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
While Gladbach concedes heavily and both teams have moderate scoring rates, the focus here is on set-piece creation rather than goals. The attacking intent and defensive lapses increase the likelihood of corners rather than goals alone, with BTTS rates less relevant to the corner market but indicative of open play.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
VfB Stuttgart to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+9.1 pts). VfB Stuttgart lead the corner sample at 7.4 per match, with Borussia Mönchengladbach lower at 6.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VfB Stuttgart

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 4L
17 Oct 2026A Hamburger SV0-1
10 Oct 2026A SC Paderborn 072-0
19 Sep 2026H Borussia Dortmund0-1
12 Sep 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
04 Sep 2026H 1. FC Köln4-1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 6L
18 Oct 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
11 Oct 2026A 1. FC Köln1-2
19 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 053-4
12 Sep 2026A SC Freiburg0-5
05 Sep 2026H SV Elversberg3-4
Best odds for this sectionBorussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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VfB Stuttgart to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
5
Check odds @ 5
Stuttgart's recent form includes 6 points with a 40% over 2.5 goals rate and 40% BTTS, while Gladbach has no points but an 80% BTTS rate and 100% over 2.5 goals in recent matches. This indicates open, attacking games with frequent pressure, supporting the likelihood of multiple corners as both teams push forward.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.3, indicating open games with attacking intent. Over the last five matches for both teams, there is a strong trend towards games with multiple goals and active wing play, which typically correlates with higher corner counts and supports the Over 9.5 Corners selection.

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