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Vitória SC crestVitória SC
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Maritimo crestMaritimo

Primeira Liga | Fri 23 Oct, 20:45

Vitória SC v Maritimo Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 17:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vitória SC and Maritimo meet in a Primeira Liga clash where both sides have struggled for consistent attacking output recently. Vitória SC have scored just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches, while Maritimo have been slightly more productive with 0.8 goals per game. Despite Vitória SC's defensive vulnerabilities conceding 1.2 goals per game, Maritimo have conceded heavily at 2.2 goals per game. This fixture offers potential for goals from both teams given their defensive records and attacking efforts, with Maritimo's more frequent BTTS occurrences adding intrigue to the encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Maritimo have an 80% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating frequent goals scored and conceded.
  • Vitória SC average 16.6 shots per game with 4.4 on target, showing attacking intent despite low scoring.
  • Both teams have conceded multiple goals recently, with Maritimo allowing 2.2 goals per game.
  • H2H matches average 1.5 goals, suggesting moderate scoring but combined with current form, BTTS is likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Vitória SC's and Maritimo's defensive frailties and attacking patterns. Maritimo's high BTTS rate of 80% and Vitória SC's decent shot volume create a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. The model estimates a 70% chance for BTTS, well above the implied market chance, indicating strong value. The attacking roles of Gustavo and Maurice Osei Boakye further enhance the likelihood of goals from both sides. No price warnings apply, making this a solid BTTS selection.

Maritimo BTTS Rate80% in recent matches
Strong positive
Vitória SC Shot Volume16.6 shots per game
Positive
Defensive ConcessionMaritimo concedes 2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Market66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and attacking willingness, especially Maritimo with a high BTTS rate. Vitória SC's shot creation supports the chance of them scoring despite recent struggles. This match is likely to see goals at both ends, making Both Teams to Score a tactically and statistically sound pick.

Main risk

Home performances provide another concern.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Maritimo's consistent ability to score and concede, combined with Vitória SC's attacking shot volume, makes Both Teams to Score a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Maritimo have an 80% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating frequent goals scored and conceded.

Vitória SC average 16.6 shots per game with 4.4 on target, showing attacking intent despite low scoring.

Both teams have conceded multiple goals recently, with Maritimo allowing 2.2 goals per game.

H2H matches average 1.5 goals, suggesting moderate scoring but combined with current form, BTTS is likely.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.5, a relatively low figure.
  • However, recent form and BTTS rates indicate a shift towards more open play and goal scoring.
  • The trend panel suggests that Over 2.5 goals is possible given Maritimo's defensive struggles and Vitória SC's attacking attempts, supporting a lively match tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vitória SC0.4
Avg goals scored
Maritimo0.8
Vitória SC1.2
Avg goals conceded
Maritimo2.2
Vitória SC40%
BTTS rate
Maritimo80%
Vitória SC20%
Over 2.5 goals
Maritimo80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Maritimo's recent matches show an 80% BTTS rate, highlighting their tendency for open games with goals at both ends. Vitória SC's lower scoring but decent shot creation and defensive lapses suggest they can also contribute goals. The combined data supports a game where both teams find the net, despite a moderate average of 1.5 goals in their head-to-head meetings.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Maritimo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Maritimo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Vitória SC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 66.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Vitória SC show a 40% BTTS rate and Maritimo show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both Teams to Score is supported by Marítimo’s strong attack and poor defence, conceding 14 goals in eight matches.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vitória SC

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
11 Oct 2026A Benfica0-2
20 Sep 2026H Moreirense1-1
12 Sep 2026A Academico Viseu1-2
06 Sep 2026H Casa Pia0-0
31 Aug 2026A SC Braga0-1

Maritimo

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
10 Oct 2026H FC Porto1-2
19 Sep 2026A GIL Vicente1-1
14 Sep 2026A Moreirense1-3
05 Sep 2026H Benfica0-3
29 Aug 2026A Arouca1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Maritimo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Maritimo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Vitória SC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Vitória SC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Recent form shows Vitória SC scoring only 0.4 goals per game but conceding 1.2, while Maritimo scores 0.8 and concedes 2.2. Maritimo's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Vitória SC's 40%, suggesting Maritimo's games are more open and goal-rich. This form data supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Vitória SC Over 2.5
80%Maritimo Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.5, a relatively low figure. However, recent form and BTTS rates indicate a shift towards more open play and goal scoring. The trend panel suggests that Over 2.5 goals is possible given Maritimo's defensive struggles and Vitória SC's attacking attempts, supporting a lively match tempo.

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