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Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura
v
Potenza crestPotenza

Serie C - Girone C | Fri 23 Oct, 19:30

Team Altamura v Potenza Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone C fixture features Team Altamura hosting Potenza on Friday evening. Potenza leads the group and arrives in strong scoring form, averaging 3.4 goals per game and boasting a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Team Altamura, positioned lower in the table, has a more modest attack but has seen 60% of their recent games go over 2.5 goals. The clash promises open play and attacking intent, with Potenza's offensive prowess likely to test Altamura's defense under pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Potenza averages 3.4 goals per game, indicating strong attacking potential.
  • Team Altamura's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 60% of the time recently.
  • Potenza has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, showing consistent high-scoring games.
  • The last five meetings between these teams averaged 3.4 goals per game.
  • Both teams concede around 1.4 goals per match, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 71.4% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 52.6%. Potenza's prolific scoring and perfect over 2.5 record combine with Team Altamura's moderate scoring and defensive concessions to create a high likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. The recent head-to-head average of 3.4 goals per game further supports this expectation. No data quality issues reduce in this assessment.

Potenza scoring rate3.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Potenza over 2.5 rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Team Altamura over 2.5 rate60% recent matches
Positive
Head-to-head average goals3.4 goals per game
Positive
Defensive concessions1.4 goals against each team
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Potenza's high-scoring form meets Team Altamura's moderate offensive output. Potenza's consistent ability to push matches over 2.5 goals combined with the historical goal-rich encounters suggests this fixture will produce multiple goals. The data supports backing Over 2.5 Goals as a tactical and statistical choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Potenza's relentless attack and perfect over 2.5 record make this fixture a prime candidate for a high-scoring outcome, especially given the defensive frailties on both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Potenza averages 3.4 goals per game, indicating strong attacking potential.

Team Altamura's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 60% of the time recently.

Potenza has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, showing consistent high-scoring games.

The last five meetings between these teams averaged 3.4 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last five meetings between these teams have averaged 3.4 goals per game, indicating a historical trend toward open, goal-filled matches.
  • This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides contributing to the scoring opportunities and defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Team Altamura1
Avg goals scored
Potenza3.4
Team Altamura1.4
Avg goals conceded
Potenza1.4
Team Altamura40%
BTTS rate
Potenza100%
Team Altamura60%
Over 2.5 goals
Potenza100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown tendencies toward matches with multiple goals. Potenza's 100% over 2.5 rate and Team Altamura's 60% rate reflect attacking openness and defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head average of 3.4 goals per game supports expectations of goals from both sides, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Potenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Potenza to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Team Altamura Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
The 69.1% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Team Altamura and 100% for Potenza, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Team Altamura

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
18 Oct 2026A Cosenza3-1
11 Oct 2026H Catania0-3
04 Oct 2026A Audace Cerignola0-0
27 Sep 2026A Scafatese0-2
19 Sep 2026H AZ Picerno2-1

Potenza

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 1D 1L
17 Oct 2026H Catania2-1
11 Oct 2026A Foggia3-1
04 Oct 2026H AZ Picerno4-2
27 Sep 2026A Barletta4-1
20 Sep 2026H Cavese4-2
Best odds for this sectionPotenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Potenza to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Team Altamura Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.09
Check odds @ 2.09
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form data highlights Potenza's control with 15 points and a perfect over 2.5 goals record, reflecting consistent high-scoring performances. Team Altamura's 7 points and 60% over 2.5 rate indicate some goal involvement but less consistency. This contrast suggests Potenza will drive the match tempo and goal opportunities, supporting the Over 2.5 selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Team Altamura Over 2.5
100%Potenza Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The last five meetings between these teams have averaged 3.4 goals per game, indicating a historical trend toward open, goal-filled matches. This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides contributing to the scoring opportunities and defensive lapses.

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