Football Stats Hub

Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 23 Oct, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash at The Showgrounds features Shamrock Rovers, league leaders with 47 points from 24 matches, facing Sligo Rovers, who sit ninth with 20 points from 22 games. Shamrock Rovers bring a dominant passing game with 83% accuracy and an average possession of 67.6% in recent matches, underpinning their territorial control. Sligo Rovers have struggled defensively, conceding 35 goals this season, though they showed resilience in a recent 2-2 draw with Shelbourne and a notable 2-1 win over Shamrock earlier. The tactical battle pits Shamrock's expansive 3-4-2-1 against Sligo's compact 4-2-3-1, setting up a contest of control versus counterattack.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Shamrock Rovers to Win

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 89%, above the 74% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Shamrock Rovers lead the league with 47 points, showing strong recent form with 9 points from last 6 matches.
  • Sligo Rovers have conceded 35 goals in 22 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Shamrock Rovers average 12.8 shots per game with 39% shot accuracy, indicating attacking efficiency.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, with 4 wins each and 2 draws in last 10 games.
Price warning

Shamrock Rovers to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 89% while the model sits nearer 74% (-15.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.25.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

Shamrock Rovers hold a clear statistical and tactical advantage, reflected in a 74% versus a 64.5% implied market chance, offering a 9.5% . Their superior passing accuracy and possession control allow them to control the game tempo and fatigue Sligo's defense, which has conceded heavily this season. The model recognizes Shamrock's consistent attacking output, averaging nearly 12 shots per game with high accuracy, and multiple goal threats, making their win highly probable. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance74% model chance vs 89.3% implied (-15.3 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance74% model chance vs 89.3% implied (-15.3 pts)
Positive
Value Edge74% model chance vs 89.3% implied (-15.3 pts)
Strong positive
Passing Accuracy83% for Shamrock Rovers
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilitySligo conceded 35 goals in 22 matches
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Shamrock Rovers are tactically and statistically superior, leveraging their high possession and passing accuracy to dominate matches. Their multiple attacking threats and recent form make them the clear favorites to secure victory, despite Sligo Rovers' home resilience and recent spirited performances.

Main risk

The visitors can dominate phases, but the road has still produced enough bumps to keep this contest alive.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking superiority

“Shamrock Rovers' ability to control possession and create quality chances through diverse attacking outlets makes them a formidable opponent, especially against a defensively fragile Sligo side.”

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to Win evidence

Shamrock Rovers lead the league with 47 points, showing strong recent form with 9 points from last 6 matches.

Sligo Rovers have conceded 35 goals in 22 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Shamrock Rovers average 12.8 shots per game with 39% shot accuracy, indicating attacking efficiency.

Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, with 4 wins each and 2 draws in last 10 games.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to Win notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Recent matches have seen both teams score and concede multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an open game with over 2.5 goals scored.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shamrock Rovers1.6
Avg goals scored
Sligo Rovers0.6
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Avg goals conceded
Sligo Rovers2.4
Shamrock Rovers60%
BTTS rate
Sligo Rovers60%
Shamrock Rovers60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sligo Rovers40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Both teams have shown tendencies towards open play, with Shamrock Rovers averaging 1.6 goals per game and Sligo Rovers 0.6. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate recently, and Sligo's defensive struggles suggest over 2.5 goals is plausible, aligning with recent matches where the home side conceded multiple goals.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Roverscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 89% · edge -15.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 74% for Shamrock Rovers to Win sits against roughly 89.3% implied by the current price (-15.3 pts). Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sligo Rovers. There is also too much defensive leakage.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shamrock Rovers

LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
16 Oct 2026A Galway United0-2
12 Oct 2026H Bohemians2-1
08 Oct 2026H Drogheda United3-1
18 Sep 2026H Waterford3-2
11 Sep 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2

Sligo Rovers

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
17 Oct 2026H Dundalk1-1
09 Oct 2026A Shelbourne1-5
19 Sep 2026H St Patrick's Athl.0-1
14 Sep 2026H Galway United1-3
11 Sep 2026A Drogheda United0-2
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 89% · edge -15.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.02
Check odds @ 1.02
Shamrock Rovers have collected 9 points from their last six matches, showcasing consistent winning form and offensive efficiency with 1.6 goals scored per game. Conversely, Sligo Rovers have managed only 1 point in the same period, conceding 2.4 goals per game, highlighting their defensive frailties and poor recent results.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
40%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Recent matches have seen both teams score and concede multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an open game with over 2.5 goals scored.

Loading deeper match data…