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Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 22 May, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026, 02:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers face Sligo Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 22 May, 20:00. Sligo Rovers host Shamrock Rovers at The Showgrounds on 3 July 2026. Their season record is strong and simple: 14 wins, five draws, five defeats, 38 goals scored and 21 conceded.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers Win

  • At 11/20, Shamrock Rovers Win implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • There is also too much defensive leakage.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sligo Rovers.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Shamrock Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Shamrock Rovers Win sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sligo Rovers. There is also too much defensive leakage.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Neutral
Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
There is also too much defensive leakage.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shamrock Rovers Win is the preferred angle because there is also too much defensive leakage. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sligo Rovers. The visitors can dominate phases, but the road has still produced enough bumps to keep this contest alive.

Main risk

The visitors can dominate phases, but the road has still produced enough bumps to keep this contest alive.

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers Win evidence

There is also too much defensive leakage.

Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Sligo Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Shamrock Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Shamrock Rovers5.4
    Avg corners for
    Sligo Rovers5.2
    Shamrock Rovers9
    Avg total corners
    Sligo Rovers14.2
    Shamrock Rovers2
    Avg yellow cards
    Sligo Rovers1
    Shamrock Rovers16.4
    Avg shots
    Sligo Rovers11.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Sligo Rovers0.8
    Shamrock Rovers0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Sligo Rovers1.2
    Shamrock Rovers40%
    BTTS rate
    Sligo Rovers40%
    Shamrock Rovers40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sligo Rovers20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14.5 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 75% · edge -7.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Shamrock Rovers to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shamrock Rovers

    LWWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    15 May 2026A Dundalk0-1
    08 May 2026A Galway United3-1
    04 May 2026H Drogheda United4-1
    01 May 2026H Waterford1-0
    24 Apr 2026A Derry City0-1

    Sligo Rovers

    LDDLW
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    16 May 2026H Galway United1-4
    08 May 2026A Shelbourne0-0
    04 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-1
    01 May 2026A Drogheda United0-1
    25 Apr 2026H Dundalk2-0
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 75% · edge -7.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Shamrock Rovers wins
    2Draws
    3Sligo Rovers wins
    13 Mar 2026Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers0-2
    01 Nov 2025Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers1-2
    05 Jul 2025Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers2-2
    05 May 2025Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers2-0
    03 Mar 2025Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers2-1
    13 Sep 2024Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers4-0
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 75% · edge -7.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Shamrock Rovers to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Shamrock Rovers26
    Played
    Sligo Rovers26
    Shamrock Rovers1.5
    Avg goals for
    Sligo Rovers0.9
    Shamrock Rovers0.8
    Avg goals against
    Sligo Rovers1.7
    Shamrock Rovers10
    Clean sheets
    Sligo Rovers5
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 75% · edge -7.3 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Season data supports Shamrock Rovers to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Shamrock Rovers5126156518
    10Sligo Rovers22265714-20
    Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, while Sligo Rovers sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Shamrock Rovers Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    20%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shamrock Rovers sit at 40% and Sligo Rovers sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.