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Randers FC crestRanders FC
v
Brondby crestBrondby

Superliga | Fri 23 Oct, 18:00

Randers FC v Brondby Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Randers FC host Brondby in a Superliga clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Randers FC, sitting 9th with 11 points, have conceded 1.6 goals per game and average 4.6 corners, while Brondby, 5th with 16 points, concede 2.4 goals and average 5.6 corners per match. Both sides have recent form indicating open play and set-piece opportunities, suggesting a high-tempo game with frequent wide attacks and crosses. This fixture is poised for sustained pressure and territorial battles, increasing the likelihood of numerous corners.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Randers FC average 4.6 corners per game, Brondby 5.6, combining for over 10 on average
  • Both teams concede goals regularly, leading to attacking pressure and set-piece chances
  • Recent matches show Randers FC and Brondby favor wide play and crosses, boosting corner counts
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.73
  • High shot volumes and fouling rates support a dynamic, end-to-end contest with many dead-ball situations

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 69% probability for over 9.5 corners based on both teams' attacking styles and defensive openness. Randers FC and Brondby average a combined 10.2 corners per match, supported by high shot volumes and fouls that often lead to set-piece opportunities. The positive of 11.2% at 1.73 indicates this market is priced attractively. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in the corner count prediction for this fixture.

Combined average corners10.2 per match
Strong positive
Model corner probability69% chance over 9.5 corners
Strong positive
Implied market chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Positive
Shot volumeRanders 12, Brondby 13.8 per game
Positive
Fouls and set-piece frequencyHigh fouling rates increase corner chances
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with both Randers FC and Brondby pushing forward and creating chances from wide areas. Their combined corner averages and attacking tendencies suggest the match will feature numerous set-piece situations. This makes over 9.5 corners a tactically and statistically sound choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The corner market here reflects the attacking openness and defensive gaps both teams have shown this season. Given their combined corner averages and aggressive wide play, expecting double-digit corners is well justified.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Randers FC average 4.6 corners per game, Brondby 5.6, combining for over 10 on average

Both teams concede goals regularly, leading to attacking pressure and set-piece chances

Recent matches show Randers FC and Brondby favor wide play and crosses, boosting corner counts

Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.73

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • This tempo and openness often translate into increased corner counts, as both teams push for scoring chances and create set-piece scenarios.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Randers FC1.2
Avg goals scored
Brondby1.4
Randers FC1.6
Avg goals conceded
Brondby2.4
Randers FC40%
BTTS rate
Brondby60%
Randers FC60%
Over 2.5 goals
Brondby80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 86% · edge -1.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Both Randers FC and Brondby have shown tendencies toward open games with goals conceded regularly, leading to attacking pressure. Brondby's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Randers' 60% rate indicate matches often feature multiple goals, which correlates with increased attacking actions and corners.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRanders FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Randers FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Brondby Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Brondby lead the corner sample at 5.6 per match, with Randers FC lower at 4.6.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Randers FC

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
16 Oct 2026A AC Horsens0-0
11 Oct 2026H Viborg0-2
20 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske2-4
13 Sep 2026H Odense1-2
06 Sep 2026A Brondby3-0

Brondby

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 5L
18 Oct 2026A Odense1-2
11 Oct 2026H Lyngby5-2
20 Sep 2026H FC Copenhagen0-1
14 Sep 2026A FC Midtjylland1-4
06 Sep 2026H Randers FC0-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Randers FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Brondby Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Brondby to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form data shows Randers FC and Brondby both engage in matches with high corner counts, reflecting their attacking styles and defensive openness. The consistency of over 9.5 corners in their latest fixtures supports the expectation of a corner-rich game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Randers FC Over 2.5
80%Brondby Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating open games with attacking intent. This tempo and openness often translate into increased corner counts, as both teams push for scoring chances and create set-piece scenarios.

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