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Montenegro crestMontenegro

Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 17:30

Slovakia v Montenegro Stats

Data last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026, 03:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Slovakia and Montenegro meet in an international friendly that carries significant tactical and developmental stakes for both sides ahead of their upcoming Nations League campaigns. Slovakia, under Vladimir Weiss Sr., are in a transitional phase, integrating new players and adjusting their defensive structure, while Montenegro, led by Mirko Vucinic, continue to build a disciplined, compact team focused on efficient transitions. Both teams have shown recent tendencies to concede and score, with Slovakia missing key defensive leaders and Montenegro relying on sharp counter-attacks, setting the stage for an open game where both sides are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in four of Montenegro's last six matches, highlighting offensive consistency.
  • Slovakia's recent matches show defensive vulnerabilities, especially without captain Milan Skriniar.
  • The last meeting between these teams ended 2-2, indicating a history of goals at both ends.
  • Montenegro's tactical approach under Vucinic emphasizes quick transitions and exploiting defensive gaps.
  • Slovakia's attacking midfielders like Duda and Benes are key to breaking down Montenegro's compact defense.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score selection aligns with the tactical and statistical profile of this fixture. Slovakia's ongoing defensive adjustments and absence of key defenders increase their susceptibility to conceding, while Montenegro's efficient counter-attacking style and recent scoring record support their likelihood of netting. Historical encounters between these teams have frequently produced goals at both ends, reinforcing this expectation. Although the are slightly short, the football context justifies cautious optimism for this outcome. Reduced stakes are advisable given the price sensitivity.

Slovakia Defensive VulnerabilityOngoing tactical reset and missing key defenders
Positive
Montenegro Transition ThreatClinical counter-attacks and recent scoring form
Positive
Historical BTTS RateHigh scoring last meetings including a 2-2 draw
Strong positive
Price SensitivityOdds slightly short versus model chance
Neutral
Main risk

The main risk lies in cautious pacing or experimental line-ups that could limit offensive output and reduce scoring chances for either side.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture's tactical dynamics and recent scoring patterns strongly indicate that both Slovakia and Montenegro will find the net. Defensive adjustments and transition-based threats set the stage for an open game with goals at each end.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored in four of Montenegro's last six matches, highlighting offensive consistency.

Slovakia's recent matches show defensive vulnerabilities, especially without captain Milan Skriniar.

The last meeting between these teams ended 2-2, indicating a history of goals at both ends.

Montenegro's tactical approach under Vucinic emphasizes quick transitions and exploiting defensive gaps.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches involving Montenegro and recent fixtures for Slovakia, the Over 2.5 goals rate stands at 33-50%, indicating moderate goal-scoring frequency.
  • The last head-to-head match produced 4 goals, suggesting that when these teams meet, the game can open up with multiple scoring opportunities.
  • These trends support the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends, consistent with the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Slovakia2
Avg goals scored
Montenegro1.67
Slovakia0.5
Avg goals conceded
Montenegro1
Slovakia50%
BTTS rate
Montenegro33%
Slovakia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Montenegro33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Recent form data shows Montenegro have scored in four of their last six matches, while Slovakia have conceded in two of their last three internationals. The last head-to-head ended 2-2, underscoring a pattern of goals at both ends. These trends indicate a high likelihood of both teams scoring, supported by tactical openness and transitional play.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Slovakia

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
01 Jun 2026H Malta2-1
31 Mar 2026H Romania2-0

Montenegro

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
01 Jun 2026A Bulgaria1-0
31 Mar 2026H Slovenia2-3
27 Mar 2026H Andorra2-0
Best odds for this sectionMontenegro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 19% · edge +17 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
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Montenegro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Slovakia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Slovakia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Both teams have earned 6 points in their recent matches, with Slovakia scoring 2 goals and conceding 0.5 on average, while Montenegro scores 1.67 and concedes 1. Montenegro's lower BTTS rate (33%) compared to Slovakia's 50% reflects a more cautious approach, but their recent win and scoring consistency suggest they can breach Slovakia's defense. Slovakia's narrow victory over Malta and defensive lapses indicate a match prone to goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Montenegro to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Montenegro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Slovakia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 2.05 (21/20), reflecting a near 49% implied probability that slightly exceeds the model's 48% chance. This suggests the market is fairly efficient but slightly short, warranting cautious staking rather than a strong value claim. The football context of defensive vulnerabilities and offensive threats supports this price as reasonable but not generous.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Slovakia-
Avg corners for
Montenegro9
Slovakia-
Avg total corners
Montenegro10
Slovakia-
Avg yellow cards
Montenegro0
Slovakia-
Avg shots
Montenegro0
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 58% · edge +17.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Montenegro average 9 shots and 9 corners per match, indicating active offensive pressure and set-piece involvement. Their disciplined defensive style limits fouls and cards, with low yellow card averages. Slovakia's data is limited but their attacking midfielders are expected to generate chances, suggesting a game with sustained pressure and multiple shooting opportunities from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Slovakia wins
1Draws
0Montenegro wins
17 Nov 2022Montenegro v Slovakia2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Montenegro to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Slovakia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The single recent meeting between Slovakia and Montenegro ended in a 2-2 draw, demonstrating a high-scoring contest with goals from both sides. Montenegro has yet to secure a win against Slovakia since independence, but their ability to score in that match and previous friendlies indicates that historical encounters support the expectation of both teams finding the net again.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Slovakia2
Played
Montenegro3
Slovakia2
Avg goals for
Montenegro1.7
Slovakia0.5
Avg goals against
Montenegro1
Slovakia1
Clean sheets
Montenegro2
Best odds for this sectionMontenegro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 19% · edge +17 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Montenegro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Slovakia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Slovakia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Slovakia's season stats show a 50% BTTS rate and 50% Over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting balanced attacking and defensive performances. Montenegro's BTTS rate is lower at 33%, with a 33% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a tendency for tighter games but with occasional scoring bursts. These season-long patterns align with the expectation of goals from both teams, especially given Slovakia's current defensive transition and Montenegro's counter-attacking style.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Slovakia Over 2.5
33%Montenegro Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches involving Montenegro and recent fixtures for Slovakia, the Over 2.5 goals rate stands at 33-50%, indicating moderate goal-scoring frequency. The last head-to-head match produced 4 goals, suggesting that when these teams meet, the game can open up with multiple scoring opportunities. These trends support the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends, consistent with the BTTS selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Slovakia v Montenegro prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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