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Panama crestPanama
v
Dominican Republic crestDominican Republic

Friendlies | Thu 04 Jun, 01:45

Panama v Dominican Republic Stats

Data last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026, 13:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Panama hosts the Dominican Republic in a friendly that carries significant weight as Panama's final home match before a major summer tournament. Panama has shown strong home form with only two losses in their last 11 internationals, while the Dominican Republic arrives on the back of three consecutive draws. Panama's attacking unit, featuring Jose Fajardo and Cecilio Waterman, is expected to press high and create chances, but defensive vulnerabilities remain, conceding an average of two goals per friendly. The Dominican Republic, led by Dorny Romero and Heinz Mörschel, aims to exploit these gaps and challenge Panama's defensive compactness, setting up a competitive and open encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Panama to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Panama lost only 2 of their last 11 internationals, showing strong home consistency.
  • Panama concedes an average of 2 goals per friendly, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Dominican Republic averages 1.5 goals per friendly, suggesting they can score despite away challenges.
  • Both teams have attacking threats: Panama’s Fajardo and Waterman, Dominican Republic’s Romero and Mörschel.
  • Recent matches show Dominican Republic drawing 3 in a row, indicating competitive resilience but limited wins.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Panama to Win & Both Teams to Score with a 63% chance and a positive of 23%, reflecting Panama's strong home form and attacking potential combined with their defensive concessions. Panama's ability to score consistently, averaging 1.2 goals per friendly, aligns with the expectation that both teams will find the net. The Dominican Republic's attacking output, averaging 1.5 goals per friendly, further supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. Although Dominican Republic data is thinner, the model remains high, making this a well-supported selection without price sensitivity.

Panama home formOnly 2 losses in last 11 matches
Strong positive
Panama defensive concessions2 goals per friendly on average
Positive
Dominican Republic attacking output1.5 goals per friendly
Positive
Model confidence82% confidence in pick
Strong positive
Data qualityLimited Dominican Republic data
Neutral
Main risk

The main risk lies in Panama's defensive lapses and the possibility of a defensive tactical approach late in the game, which could reduce goal-scoring opportunities and affect the both teams to score component.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match preview and tactical outlook

“Panama's final home friendly before a major tournament is set to be a lively contest, with their attacking trio poised to break down the Dominican Republic's organized defense. The visitors' recent resilience and goal-scoring ability add an intriguing layer, making a both teams to score outcome highly plausible.”

Key Data Signals

Panama to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Panama lost only 2 of their last 11 internationals, showing strong home consistency.

Panama concedes an average of 2 goals per friendly, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Dominican Republic averages 1.5 goals per friendly, suggesting they can score despite away challenges.

Both teams have attacking threats: Panama’s Fajardo and Waterman, Dominican Republic’s Romero and Mörschel.

What To Watch In The Data

Panama to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 11 matches, Panama's games have averaged around 3 goals, with a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating a moderate tempo and goal frequency.
  • The single previous meeting averaged 3 goals, suggesting an open game.
  • These trends support an expectation of multiple goals and an engaging match tempo consistent with the combined market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPanama Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 86% · edge -14.9 pts
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Panama to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The of 2.5 for Panama to Win & Both Teams to Score offer positive value compared to the model's 63% chance, reflecting in Panama's home strength and attacking potential despite defensive concessions. The price is well-aligned with the football context, making this a sensible selection without major price caution.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Panama1.2
Avg goals scored
Dominican Republic-
Panama2
Avg goals conceded
Dominican Republic-
Panama80%
BTTS rate
Dominican Republic-
Panama40%
Over 2.5 goals
Dominican Republic-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +47.4 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Panama concedes an average of 2 goals per friendly, while the Dominican Republic scores 1.5 per game, indicating a likely open game with goals at both ends. The teams' attacking tendencies and recent friendly patterns support the expectation of both teams scoring and a moderate goal total under 3.5, consistent with the combined market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Panama

LWDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
31 May 2026A Brazil2-6
31 Mar 2026A South Africa2-1
27 Mar 2026A South Africa1-1
23 Jan 2026H Mexico0-1
18 Jan 2026A Bolivia1-1

Dominican Republic

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Dominican Republic yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 95% · edge -9.2 pts
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
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Panama Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Panama to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Panama's recent form shows 5 points with 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, reflecting a strong but defensively vulnerable side. The Dominican Republic's sequence of draws suggests resilience but limited winning momentum, reinforcing Panama's edge while anticipating a competitive match with goals from both sides.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Panama1
Avg corners for
Dominican Republic-
Panama5
Avg total corners
Dominican Republic-
Panama2
Avg yellow cards
Dominican Republic-
Panama7.75
Avg shots
Dominican Republic-
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 53% · edge -17.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Panama averages 7.75 shots and 4 shots on target per game, showing offensive pressure, while their low corner average suggests attacks focus more centrally. The average of 2 yellow cards per game reflects moderate discipline, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Panama wins
0Draws
0Dominican Republic wins
09 Jun 2021Panama v Dominican Republic3-0
Market aligned with main pickPanama to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 82% · edge -19 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The single previous meeting between Panama and the Dominican Republic featured an average of 3 goals, indicating a relatively open contest. While the limited sample size tempers conclusions, this past encounter aligns with expectations of goals from both sides and a competitive match dynamic.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Panama6
Played
Dominican Republic1
Panama1.7
Avg goals for
Dominican Republic2
Panama2
Avg goals against
Dominican Republic4
Panama0
Clean sheets
Dominican Republic0
Market aligned with main pickPanama Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 86% · edge -14.9 pts
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Load more odds for this section
Panama to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Panama's 25 goals in 2026 and strong home record underline their offensive capabilities and consistency. The Dominican Republic's 14 goals in six matches demonstrate efficient attacking output despite away challenges. These season stats support the expectation of a Panama win with both teams scoring, reflecting their contrasting strengths and vulnerabilities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Panama Over 2.5
-Dominican Republic Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last 11 matches, Panama's games have averaged around 3 goals, with a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating a moderate tempo and goal frequency. The single previous meeting averaged 3 goals, suggesting an open game. These trends support an expectation of multiple goals and an engaging match tempo consistent with the combined market.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Panama v Dominican Republic prediction

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