Mexico

South Korea

World Cup | Fri 19 Jun, 02:00

Mexico v South Korea Stats

Data last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026, 01:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mexico face South Korea in World Cup on Fri 19 Jun, 02:00. A meeting with early control of Group A on the table. Both teams are unbeaten at half-time across long current runs: Mexico in their last 14 matches and South Korea in their last 16. With Mexico conceding just 0.

BT4Y best bet

Mean? An Under 2

An Under 2 implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
In shot terms, South Korea have more recent overall volume.
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Mexico and 100% for South Korea, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Mexico are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with South Korea at 2.
BTTS rates of 0% for Mexico and 100% for South Korea show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

An Under 2 sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Mexico and 100% for South Korea, so the goals angle is not just a price call. In shot terms, South Korea have more recent overall volume.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 15% implied

Strong positive

The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Mexico and 100%.Visible data support

Positive

Mexico are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support

Positive

In shot terms, South Korea have more recent overall.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because mexico’s last nine listed matches include six games under 2.5 goals. Mexico are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with South Korea at 2. There is an edge to them at home, but it is not all fireworks.

Main risk

There is an edge to them at home, but it is not all fireworks.

Key Data Signals

Mean? An Under 2 evidence

Mexico’s last nine listed matches include six games under 2.5 goals.

Mexico are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with South Korea at 2.

BTTS rates of 0% for Mexico and 100% for South Korea show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Mean? An Under 2 notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mexico3

Avg corners for

South Korea4

Mexico4

Avg total corners

South Korea9

Mexico1

Avg yellow cards

South Korea1

Mexico16

Avg shots

South Korea15

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 50% · edge +1 pts

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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

3.4

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.88

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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 42%

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Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

World Cup hub Mexico v South Korea prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mexico2

Avg goals scored

South Korea2

Mexico0

Avg goals conceded

South Korea1

Mexico0%

BTTS rate

South Korea100%

Mexico0%

Over 2.5 goals

South Korea100%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 60% · edge -14.3 pts

1.67

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

2.2

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.36

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.75

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Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%

1.25

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Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Mexico and 100% for South Korea, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.9 pts

2.2

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Mexico Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 58%

2.08

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.75

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South Korea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%

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Mexico to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.88

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Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mexico

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

11 Jun 2026H South Africa2-0

South Korea

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

12 Jun 2026H Czechia2-1

Best odds for this sectionMexico Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +9.9 pts

2.08

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%

1.73

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%

1.25

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South Korea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

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Mexico to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

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DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%

3.3

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South Korea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%

1.72

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Mexico wins

1Draws

0South Korea wins

10 Sep 2025Mexico v South Korea2-2

14 Nov 2020Mexico v South Korea3-2

23 Jun 2018South Korea v Mexico1-2

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.9 pts

2.2

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.75

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South Korea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

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Mexico to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

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DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%

3.3

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The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

World Cup

Mexico5

Played

South Korea3

Mexico2

Avg goals for

South Korea0.7

Mexico0.6

Avg goals against

South Korea1

Mexico4

Clean sheets

South Korea0

Best odds for this sectionMexico Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +9.9 pts

2.08

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South Korea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

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Mexico to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 2

South Korea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Season data supports Mexico Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	L	GD
1	Mexico	9	3	3	0	6
3	South Korea	3	3	1	2	-1
10	South Korea	3	3	1	2	-1

World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Mexico Over 2.5

100%South Korea Over 2.5

4H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Mexico sit at 0% and South Korea sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Mexico v South Korea Stats

Match Report

Mean? An Under 2

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Mexico

South Korea

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Football Stats Hub

Mexico v South Korea Stats

Match Report

Mean? An Under 2

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Mexico

South Korea

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