Football Stats Hub

Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali
v
Chico crestChico

Primera A | Sun 01 Nov, 21:05

Deportivo Cali v Chico Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Cali hosts Chico in a Primera A clash where defensive solidity and cautious tactics are expected to dominate. Deportivo Cali ranks third and boasts a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game recently, while Chico struggles near the bottom with a leaky defense. Both sides have shown limited goal-scoring form, with Deportivo Cali averaging 1.4 goals and Chico 0.6. The tactical setup suggests a low-tempo game with limited clear-cut chances, increasing the likelihood of a tight scoreline under 2.5 goals.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Deportivo Cali concedes only 0.4 goals per game recently, showing defensive strength.
  • Chico averages just 0.6 goals scored per game, indicating limited attacking threat.
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates at 40%, suggesting fewer matches with goals at both ends.
  • Recent matches show Deportivo Cali and Chico have over 2.5 goals rates of 40% and 20%, respectively, supporting a low-scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66% chance for under 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' strong defensive records and low scoring rates. Deportivo Cali's disciplined defense and Chico's limited offensive output combine to reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter. The at 1.85 offer positive value with an 11.9% edge, making under 2.5 goals a sensible selection. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is solid with balanced samples for both teams.

Defensive SolidityDeportivo Cali concedes 0.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Low Scoring RateChico averages 0.6 goals per game
Positive
BTTS RateBoth teams have 40% BTTS rate
Positive
Value Edge66% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+14.7 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 goals is a logical pick given Deportivo Cali's defensive discipline and Chico's limited attacking threat. The recent form and season stats both point to a low-scoring match where cautious tactics will likely prevail. This bet aligns well with the tactical and statistical context of the fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals

“This fixture features two teams with contrasting offensive capabilities but a shared tendency for tight defensive displays, making under 2.5 goals a compelling tactical and statistical angle.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Deportivo Cali concedes only 0.4 goals per game recently, showing defensive strength.

Chico averages just 0.6 goals scored per game, indicating limited attacking threat.

Both teams have low BTTS rates at 40%, suggesting fewer matches with goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.4, indicating a history of low-scoring games.
  • This trend aligns with the tactical caution and defensive focus expected, reinforcing the likelihood of under 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Cali1.4
Avg goals scored
Chico0.6
Deportivo Cali0.4
Avg goals conceded
Chico1.6
Deportivo Cali40%
BTTS rate
Chico40%
Deportivo Cali40%
Over 2.5 goals
Chico20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams have modest goal-scoring records and a 40% BTTS rate, indicating many matches end with one or no team scoring. Deportivo Cali's strong defense limits opponent chances, while Chico's low scoring output reduces goal volume, supporting a controlled, low-goal game scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Cali

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
25 Oct 2026A Fortaleza FC1-1
22 Oct 2026A Llaneros3-0
19 Oct 2026H Junior0-0
10 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-0
03 Oct 2026H Alianza Valledupar3-1

Chico

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
28 Oct 2026H Junior1-1
24 Oct 2026H Bucaramanga1-0
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-2
17 Oct 2026H Atletico Nacional1-4
12 Oct 2026H Cucuta0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Chico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Chico to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
Deportivo Cali has collected 9 points recently with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, while Chico has earned 4 points with a higher concession rate of 1.6 goals. Both teams have low over 2.5 goals rates (40% and 20%), reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring encounter based on current form.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 44% · edge +8.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Chico Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Chico to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+14.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Deportivo Cali and 20% for Chico, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
20%Chico Over 2.5
1.4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.4, indicating a history of low-scoring games. This trend aligns with the tactical caution and defensive focus expected, reinforcing the likelihood of under 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…