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New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution
v
Inter Miami crestInter Miami

Major League Soccer | Mon 02 Nov, 00:00

New England Revolution v Inter Miami Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Inter Miami promises an open and attacking encounter. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with New England averaging 1.8 goals per match and Inter Miami 2.2. The sides sit second and third in the standings respectively, intensifying the stakes as they push for playoff positioning. Recent form data highlights New England's 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Inter Miami also contributes with a solid 60%. This fixture is set for an entertaining offensive display with both sides eager to assert control.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • New England Revolution have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.
  • Inter Miami averages 2.2 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking potential.
  • The head-to-head average goals tally is 3.8 across 10 meetings, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams maintain solid shot volumes, with Inter Miami averaging 12.6 shots and New England 9.8 per game.
  • Key players like L. Suárez for Inter Miami, and P. Miller and Carles Gil for New England, contribute significantly to attacking threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a positive value bet with a 57.9% chance against an implied 50% chance from , reflecting a 7.9% . Both teams exhibit strong offensive metrics, including high average goals per game and frequent matches surpassing 2.5 goals. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals per match further supports the likelihood of a goal-rich contest. Player-level data highlights prolific attackers such as L. Suárez, enhancing scoring potential. This combination of team form, historical trends, and individual talent underpins the model's in a high-scoring outcome.

Model Chance57.9% model chance vs 50% implied (+7.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance from Odds57.9% model chance vs 50% implied (+7.9 pts)
Positive
Value Edge57.9% model chance vs 50% implied (+7.9 pts)
Strong positive
New England Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Inter Miami Goals For per Game2.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively and open match as both New England Revolution and Inter Miami possess strong attacking lineups and have demonstrated a propensity for high-scoring games recently. The combination of their offensive form and historical goal-rich encounters suggests Over 3.5 Goals is a plausible outcome, reflecting the tactical emphasis on attack and goal creation from both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and player influence

“This fixture features two of MLS's most potent offenses, with players like Messi and Suárez driving Inter Miami's attack, while New England's dynamic forwards maintain pressure. Their attacking styles and recent scoring trends make a high-goal game a compelling prospect.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

New England Revolution have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.

Inter Miami averages 2.2 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking potential.

The head-to-head average goals tally is 3.8 across 10 meetings, supporting a high-scoring trend.

Both teams maintain solid shot volumes, with Inter Miami averaging 12.6 shots and New England 9.8 per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This sample suggests that both teams' attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities combine to produce matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 Goals betting angles.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

New England Revolution1.8
Avg goals scored
Inter Miami2.2
New England Revolution1.6
Avg goals conceded
Inter Miami1
New England Revolution60%
BTTS rate
Inter Miami40%
New England Revolution80%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter Miami60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Both teams have shown a strong inclination towards high-scoring matches, with New England hitting Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of recent games and Inter Miami in 60%. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals per match further underscores the likelihood of multiple goals, supported by New England's 1.8 and Inter Miami's 2.2 goals per game averages.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.5 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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New England Revolution Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
New England Revolution to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Inter Miami to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The 57.9% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+7.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for New England Revolution and 60% for Inter Miami, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

New England Revolution

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
28 Oct 2026H New York Red Bulls3-2
25 Oct 2026A Philadelphia Union2-1
18 Oct 2026H Chicago Fire1-0
15 Oct 2026A FC Cincinnati3-2
11 Oct 2026H Seattle Sounders0-3

Inter Miami

DLWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
28 Oct 2026H FC Cincinnati2-2
24 Oct 2026A New York Red Bulls0-2
18 Oct 2026A Atlanta United FC3-1
15 Oct 2026H New York City FC2-0
11 Oct 2026H DC United4-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +14.7 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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New England Revolution Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
New England Revolution to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Inter Miami to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Recent form data supports a high-scoring outlook, with New England accumulating 12 points and maintaining an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Inter Miami has 10 points and a 60% rate. Both teams have conceded goals regularly, with New England allowing 1.6 and Miami just 1 per game, indicating openness at the back conducive to multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%New England Revolution Over 2.5
60%Inter Miami Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters. This sample suggests that both teams' attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities combine to produce matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 Goals betting angles.

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