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America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali
v
Macara crestMacara

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 29 May, 01:30

America de Cali v Macara Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 12:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

America de Cali face Macara in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 29 May, 01:30. Group A remains painfully tight. With Macará needing only a draw to protect their leadership and América struggling to convert dominance into victories, a repeat scorecard looks highly probable.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 13/20, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Six of América de Cali's last seven matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, aligning with the low pricing of 13/20.
  • America de Cali are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Macara at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for America de Cali and 40% for Macara show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. America de Cali are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Macara at 1.2. Six of América de Cali's last seven matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, aligning with the low pricing of 13/20.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
America de Cali are carrying more of the scoring load.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 60% for America de Cali and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
Six of América de Cali's last seven matches have.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because six of América de Cali's last seven matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, aligning with the low pricing of 13/20. America de Cali are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Macara at 1.2. The concern is not just the results themselves.

Main risk

The concern is not just the results themselves.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Six of América de Cali's last seven matches have finished with under 2.

America de Cali are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Macara at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 60% for America de Cali and 40% for Macara show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

America de Cali1.2
Avg goals scored
Macara1.2
America de Cali1
Avg goals conceded
Macara0.6
America de Cali60%
BTTS rate
Macara40%
America de Cali20%
Over 2.5 goals
Macara20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 63% · edge +3.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for America de Cali and 20% for Macara, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

America de Cali

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
20 May 2026H Tigre1-1
07 May 2026A Alianza Atletico2-0
01 May 2026A Tigre0-2
16 Apr 2026H Alianza Atletico2-1
10 Apr 2026A Macara1-1

Macara

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 0L
22 May 2026H Alianza Atletico0-0
07 May 2026H Tigre2-2
01 May 2026A Alianza Atletico2-0
16 Apr 2026A Tigre1-0
10 Apr 2026H America de Cali1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 47% · edge +28.6 pts
2.14
Check odds @ 2.14
Load more odds for this section
Macara to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Macara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
America de Cali to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Macara1062403
3America de Cali962311
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 23% · edge +40.2 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Macara to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Macara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
America de Cali to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

America de Cali3.6
Avg corners for
Macara6.4
America de Cali7.4
Avg total corners
Macara10.4
America de Cali3
Avg yellow cards
Macara2.8
America de Cali12
Avg shots
Macara13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0.2 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0America de Cali wins
1Draws
0Macara wins
10 Apr 2026Macara v America de Cali1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 23% · edge +40.2 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Macara to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
America de Cali to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

America de Cali7
Played
Macara7
America de Cali1.1
Avg goals for
Macara1
America de Cali0.9
Avg goals against
Macara0.4
America de Cali2
Clean sheets
Macara5
Best odds for this sectionMacara to WinBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 17% · edge +29.8 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
Macara Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
America de Cali to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season data supports Macara to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%America de Cali Over 2.5
20%Macara Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: America de Cali sit at 20% and Macara sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

America de Cali v Macara prediction

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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